Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 14
June 21, 2026 22:00
66'
(ast. Mandaca)
Alisson Safira
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave São Bernardo a 42% win probability (draw 27%, Juventude 29%). The final result was São Bernardo 0–1 Juventude.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
3
0.85
Actual xG
0.60
57%
Possession
43%
1
Corners
4
Match Events
Luizao
33'
Pedro Vitor
/ Lucas Rian
49'
51'
Rai Silva
54'
Aderlan
62'
Luan Martins
/
Lucas Mineiro
62'
Mandaca
/
Rai Silva
66'
ast. Mandaca ·
Alisson Safira⚽
69'
Gabriel Pinheiro
/
Messias
69'
M. Castro
/
MP
Lucas Rian
71'
Augusto
75'
Foguinho
/ Hyoran
78'
Echapora
/ D. Davi
78'
85'
Gabriel Pinheiro
87'
Allanzinho
/
Aderlan
Felipe Garcia
/ Pablo Dyego
90'+1
90'+6
Mandaca
Para
/ Mario Sergio
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.82%
São
27.42%
X
29.76%
Juventude ←
we assigned to the actual result (Juventude)
29.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
0.85
-0.54
1.11
0.60
-0.51
xG dominance was balanced (0.85 – 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of São Bernardo vs Juventude?
The final score was São Bernardo 0–1 Juventude.
What did the model predict before São Bernardo vs Juventude?
The model assigned 42% probability to a São Bernardo win, 27% to a draw, and 29% to an Juventude win.