Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 24
August 23, 2026 21:00
Lucas Lima
54'
86'
(ast. Wendell)
Derek
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave São Bernardo a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Nautico Recife 29%). The final result was São Bernardo 1–1 Nautico Recife. In 1 previous meetings, São Bernardo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nautico Recife.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
1
0.79
Actual xG
0.45
1
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
3
9
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
40'
Arnaldo
46'
Reginaldo
/
Arnaldo
⚽Lucas Lima
54'
62'
Betao
/
Leo Indio
Pedrinho
/ Leo Jaba
65'
Pedro Vitor
/ Hyoran
66'
74'
P. Nunez
/
Samuel Felix
75'
Luiz Claudio
/
Kauan Maranhao
Romisson
/ Hugo Sanches
81'
Felipe Garcia
/ D. Davi
81'
85'
Wendell
/
B. Borasi
86'
ast. Wendell ·
Derek⚽
Dudu Miraima
/ Galdino
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
45.33%
São
25.55%
X ←
29.12%
Nautico
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.79
-0.65
1.12
0.45
-0.67
São Bernardo dominated by xG (0.79 vs 0.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Alex Alves
84'
G
Alex Alves
84'
G
6
Pará
84'
D
Pará
84'
D
3
Hélder
84'
D
Hélder
84'
D
35
Jemerson
84'
D
Jemerson
84'
D
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
84'
D
Rodrigo Ferreira
84'
D
26
Eduardo
84'
M
Eduardo
84'
M
14
Lucas Lima
1 ⚽
84'
M
Lucas Lima
1 ⚽
84'
M
29
Pedrinho
65'
M
Pedrinho
65'
M
17
Romisson
81'
M
Romisson
81'
M
11
Pedro Vitor
65'
M
Pedro Vitor
65'
M
9
Felipe Garcia
81'
F
Felipe Garcia
81'
F
Bench
97
Augusto
D
Augusto
D
30
Breninho
M
Breninho
M
89
Daniel Amorim
F
Daniel Amorim
F
37
D. Davi
3'
F
D. Davi
3'
F
36
Galdino
M
Galdino
M
21
Hugo Sanches
3'
D
Hugo Sanches
3'
D
42
Hyoran
19'
M
Hyoran
19'
M
12
Júnior Oliveira
G
Júnior Oliveira
G
98
Léo Jabá
19'
F
Léo Jabá
19'
F
31
Lucas Fernandes
M
Lucas Fernandes
M
90
Luizão
D
Luizão
D
33
Mário Sérgio
D
Mário Sérgio
D
1
Muriel
84'
G
Muriel
84'
G
6
Ryan
84'
D
Ryan
84'
D
23
Igor Fernandes
84'
D
Igor Fernandes
84'
D
15
Léo Índio
62'
D
Léo Índio
62'
D
2
Arnaldo
45'
D
Arnaldo
45'
D
41
Samuel
74'
M
Samuel
74'
M
8
Wenderson
84'
M
Wenderson
84'
M
24
B. Borasi
84'
M
B. Borasi
84'
M
10
Jean Carlos
84'
M
Jean Carlos
84'
M
72
Derek
1 ⚽
84'
M
Derek
1 ⚽
84'
M
19
Kaua Almeida da Costa
74'
F
Kaua Almeida da Costa
74'
F
Bench
3
Alberto
22'
D
Alberto
22'
D
5
Auremir
M
Auremir
M
21
Felipe Redaelli
M
Felipe Redaelli
M
55
G. Guruceaga
G
G. Guruceaga
G
48
Guilherme
D
Guilherme
D
16
Luiz Cláudio
10'
F
Luiz Cláudio
10'
F
22
P. Núñez
10'
M
P. Núñez
10'
M
93
Reginaldo Lopes
39'
D
Reginaldo Lopes
39'
D
34
Wanderson
D
Wanderson
D
17
Wendell
1 👟
M
Wendell
1 👟
M
Best on the pitch
Eduardo
M · São
7.90
2 shots
· 57 pass
Lucas Lima
M · São
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Jemerson
D · São
7.50
· 52 pass
Hélder
D · São
7.20
· 50 pass
Rodrigo Ferreira
D · São
7.20
1 shots
· 29 pass
Romisson
M · São
7.20
2 shots
· 30 pass
São Bernardo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Alves | G | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Pará | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Hélder | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Jemerson | D | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ferreira | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 84 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Lima | M | 84 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedrinho | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Romisson | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Vitor | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Garcia | F | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Davi | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Sanches | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Hyoran | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Léo Jabá | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ryan | D | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Léo Índio | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Arnaldo | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Samuel | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Borasi | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Derek | M | 84 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaua Almeida da Costa | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alberto | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Cláudio | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Núñez | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Reginaldo Lopes | D | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife?
The final score was São Bernardo 1–1 Nautico Recife.
What did the model predict before São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife?
The model assigned 45% probability to a São Bernardo win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an Nautico Recife win.