Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 11
May 31, 2026 16:00
Pedro Vitor
17'
(pen.)
6'
Romulo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave São Bernardo a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Novorizontino 29%). The final result was São Bernardo 1–1 Novorizontino.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
1.55
Actual xG
1.01
2
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
5
Corners
1
15
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
(pen.)
Romulo⚽
⚽Pedro Vitor
17'
20'
Enderson Moreira
Dudu Miraima
38'
62'
Juninho
/
Vinicius Paiva
Hyoran
/ Lucas Fernandes
65'
Echapora
/ D. Davi
71'
Pedro Vitor
72'
Foguinho
/ Marcao Silva
78'
Pedro Vitor
/ Junior Urso
78'
Felipe Garcia
/ Pablo Dyego
78'
83'
Ronald Barcellos
/
Tavinho
83'
C. Ortiz
/
Leo Naldi
86'
Kauan Alemao
89'
Carlao
/
Romulo
89'
Ivan Alvarino
/
Kauan Alemao
90'+1
C. Ortiz
Pre-match prediction
41.49%
São
29.09%
X ←
29.42%
Novorizontino
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
1.55
+0.06
1.08
1.01
-0.07
São Bernardo dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Alex Alves
G
Alex Alves
G
6
Pará
D
Pará
D
97
Augusto
D
Augusto
D
35
Jemerson
D
Jemerson
D
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
D
Rodrigo Ferreira
D
8
Foguinho
77'
M
Foguinho
77'
M
26
Eduardo
M
Eduardo
M
27
Echaporã
71'
M
Echaporã
71'
M
42
Hyoran
64'
M
Hyoran
64'
M
11
Pedro Vitor
1 ⚽
77'
M
Pedro Vitor
1 ⚽
77'
M
9
Felipe Garcia
77'
F
Felipe Garcia
77'
F
Bench
89
Daniel Amorim
F
Daniel Amorim
F
37
Daniel Davi Simão Roque
24'
F
Daniel Davi Simão Roque
24'
F
21
Hugo
D
Hugo
D
30
Júnior Urso
M
Júnior Urso
M
31
Lucas Fernandes
31'
M
Lucas Fernandes
31'
M
7
Lucas Rian
18'
F
Lucas Rian
18'
F
77
Marcão Silva
18'
M
Marcão Silva
18'
M
33
Mário Sergio
D
Mário Sergio
D
40
Matheus Nogueira
G
Matheus Nogueira
G
22
Pablo Dyego
18'
F
Pablo Dyego
18'
F
29
Pedrinho
F
Pedrinho
F
25
Wellington Manzoli
D
Wellington Manzoli
D
93
Jordi
G
Jordi
G
66
Maykon
D
Maykon
D
4
Patrick
D
Patrick
D
3
Carlinhos
D
Carlinhos
D
21
Alemão
89'
D
18
Léo Naldi
82'
M
Léo Naldi
82'
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
M
Matheus Bianqui
M
15
Tavinho
81'
M
10
Romulo
1 ⚽
89'
M
Romulo
1 ⚽
89'
M
16
Vinicius Paiva
61'
M
Vinicius Paiva
61'
M
11
Robson
F
Robson
F
Bench
22
A. Alvariño
6'
M
A. Alvariño
6'
M
9
Carlão
6'
F
Carlão
6'
F
31
César
G
César
G
8
C. Ortíz
13'
F
C. Ortíz
13'
F
19
Diego Galo
M
26
Gabriel Bahia
D
77
Hélio Borges
F
Hélio Borges
F
50
Juninho
34'
M
Juninho
34'
M
36
Miguel Tavares Contiero
M
Miguel Tavares Contiero
M
33
Renato Silveira
D
Renato Silveira
D
7
Ronald Barcellos
14'
F
Best on the pitch
Pedro Vitor
M · São
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
Eduardo
M · São
7.20
· 44 pass
Daniel Davi Simão Roque
F · São
7.00
· 4 pass
Alex Alves
G · São
6.90
· 30 pass
Jemerson
D · São
6.90
· 56 pass
Lucas Fernandes
M · São
6.90
· 6 pass
São Bernardo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Alves | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Pará | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Augusto | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Jemerson | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ferreira | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Foguinho | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Echaporã | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Hyoran | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Vitor | M | 77 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Felipe Garcia | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Davi Simão Roque | F | 24 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Fernandes | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rian | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marcão Silva | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Dyego | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordi | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Maykon | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlinhos | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Alemão | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Léo Naldi | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bianqui | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Tavinho | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Romulo | M | 89 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Paiva | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Robson | F | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Alvariño | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Carlão | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Ortíz | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Juninho | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ronald Barcellos | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
The final score was São Bernardo 1–1 Novorizontino.
What did the model predict before São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
The model assigned 41% probability to a São Bernardo win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Novorizontino win.