← Brasileirão Série D

São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé

Brasileirão Série D May 16, 2026 21:00
São Luiz
#4 · 8 pts
vs
Guarany de Bagé
#6 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.22%
Win
São Luiz
33.97%
Draw
24.81%
Win
Guarany de Bagé
1.01
Expected xG
0.3

The ForzaPitch prediction gives São Luiz a 41% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Guarany de Bagé. Expected goals are 1.0 for São Luiz and 0.3 for Guarany de Bagé (total 1.3), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 27.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, São Luiz have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Guarany de Bagé.

Score Matrix
↕ São Luiz Guarany de Bagé →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 26.9% 8.1% 1.2% 0.1% — —
1 27.3% 8.2% 1.2% 0.1% — —
2 13.8% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% — —
3 4.7% 1.4% 0.2% — — —
4 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% — — —
5 0.2% 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
São Luiz São Luiz
W Cianorte 0–1
L Cianorte 0–1
W Guarany de Bagé 0–1
D Santa Catarina 4–4
D Cascavel 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé
W Santa Catarina 1–0
L Santa Catarina 3–0
L São Luiz 0–1
L Cascavel 2–0
D Joinville 0–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
São Luiz São Luiz
Attack
25
Defence
72
Form
49
Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé
Attack
8
Defence
63
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
São Luiz
0
Draw
0
Guarany de Bagé
W 26 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série D 1–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 CSA CSA 6 13
1 Nacional AM Nacional AM 6 13
1 Portuguesa Portuguesa 6 11
1 Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá 6 12
1 Democrata GV Democrata GV 6 10
1 Iguatu Iguatu 6 14
1 Joinville Joinville 6 11
1 Ferroviario Ferroviario 6 11
1 Blumenau Blumenau 6 13
1 Gama Gama 6 16
1 Uberlandia Uberlandia 6 15
1 ABC ABC 6 13
1 Sergipe Sergipe 6 13
1 Araguaína Araguaína 6 14
1 XV de Piracicaba XV de Piracicaba 6 12
1 Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 6 14
2 Vitória ES Vitória ES 6 9
2 Cascavel Cascavel 6 11
2 Manauara Manauara 6 12
2 Água Santa Água Santa 6 10
2 Aparecidense Aparecidense 6 10
2 Guaporé Guaporé 6 14
2 Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia 6 13
2 Parnahyba Parnahyba 6 10
2 Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias 6 11
2 Treze Treze 5 10
2 Ivinhema Ivinhema 6 11
2 Fluminense PI Fluminense PI 6 9
2 Juazeirense Juazeirense 6 12
2 Trem Trem 6 11
2 America-RN America-RN 6 11
2 Velo Clube Velo Clube 6 9
3 Ceilândia Ceilândia 6 7
3 Sousa Sousa 6 9
3 Imperatriz Imperatriz 6 9
3 Piauí Piauí 6 8
3 Porto BA Porto BA 6 9
3 Primavera MG Primavera MG 6 8
3 Noroeste Noroeste 6 8
3 Porto Velho Porto Velho 6 10
3 Cianorte Cianorte 6 9
3 Serra Branca Serra Branca 6 10
3 Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo 6 9
3 CRAC CRAC 6 8
3 ASA ASA 6 10
3 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 6 9
3 Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ 6 11
3 Maracanã Maracanã 6 9
4 Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ 6 8
4 Maguary PE Maguary PE 6 8
4 Mixto Mixto 6 6
4 Tuna Luso Tuna Luso 6 6
4 Moto Club Moto Club 6 8
4 Lagarto Lagarto 6 5
4 CSE CSE 6 7
4 Tombense Tombense 6 9
4 Madureira Madureira 6 7
4 Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas 6 7
4 São Luiz São Luiz 6 8
4 Betim Betim 6 8
4 Monte Roraima Monte Roraima 6 6
4 Uniclinic Atletico Clube Uniclinic Atletico Clube 6 7
4 Luverdense Luverdense 6 8
4 Galvez Galvez 6 7
5 CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá 6 7
5 União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis 6 5
5 Brasiliense Brasiliense 6 7
5 Jacuipense Jacuipense 6 7
5 Altos Altos 6 7
5 Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre 6 7
5 Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis 6 6
5 Santa Catarina Santa Catarina 6 7
5 Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa 6 4
5 Central SC Central SC 6 8
5 Sao Jose Sao Jose 6 5
5 Manaus FC Manaus FC 6 5
5 Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES 6 9
5 Operario Ferroviario Operario Ferroviario 6 3
5 Retrô Retrô 6 5
5 Independência Independência 6 5
6 ABECAT Ouvidorense ABECAT Ouvidorense 6 3
6 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu 6 3
6 Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas 6 3
6 Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé 6 4
6 Inhumas Inhumas 6 0
6 Oratório Oratório 6 3
6 Decisão Decisão 5 4
6 CEOV Operário CEOV Operário 6 4
6 Humaitá Humaitá 6 0
6 Tirol/CEFAT Tirol/CEFAT 6 5
6 Real Noroeste Real Noroeste 6 4
6 Laguna Laguna 6 1
6 IAPE IAPE 6 2
6 América RJ América RJ 6 5
6 GAS GAS 6 2
6 Azuriz Azuriz 6 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win São Luiz vs Guarany de Bagé?
The model gives São Luiz a 41% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 24% for an Guarany de Bagé win.
How many goals are expected in São Luiz vs Guarany de Bagé?
Expected goals: São Luiz 1.0, Guarany de Bagé 0.3 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in São Luiz vs Guarany de Bagé?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 27.3%.