Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 26
September 05, 2026 23:30
Luciano
(ast. Artur Victor Guimarães)
67'
Iago Amaral Borduchi
(ast. Lucas Ramon)
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Atletico-MG 31%). The final result was Sao Paulo 2–0 Atletico-MG. In 1 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico-MG.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
0
0
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
16
Corners
2
18
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
45'
Mateo Cassierra
/
Reinier Jesus Carvalho
45'
Frederico Rodrigues de Paula Santos
/
Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
45'
Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza
/
Kevin Castaño
Danielzinho
/ Pablo Maia
63'
Gustavo Santana
/ Jonathan Calleri
63'
Wendell
/ Iago Amaral Borduchi
64'
⚽Luciano
· ast. Artur Victor Guimarães
67'
⚽Iago Amaral Borduchi
· ast. Lucas Ramon
69'
70'
Alan Minda
/
Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa
Artur Victor Guimarães
/ Djhordney Ferreira
81'
81'
Gustavo Scarpa
/
Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
Luciano
/ Aldemir Ferreira
85'
Djhordney Ferreira
90'+1
90'+4
Tomás Cuello
Pre-match prediction
37.98%
Sao ←
30.6%
X
31.41%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Sao Paulo)
37.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
—
—
0.90
—
—
Lineups
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
5
R. Arboleda
D
R. Arboleda
D
22
Domingos Duarte
D
Domingos Duarte
D
18
Wendell
64'
M
Wendell
64'
M
8
Marcos Antônio
M
Marcos Antônio
M
94
Danielzinho
63'
M
Danielzinho
63'
M
19
Lucas Ramon
1 👟
M
Lucas Ramon
1 👟
M
43
G. Santana
63'
M
G. Santana
63'
M
37
Artur
1 👟
81'
M
Artur
1 👟
81'
M
10
Luciano
1 ⚽
85'
F
Luciano
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
17
André Silva
F
André Silva
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
M
Cauly
M
48
D. Ferreira
9'
M
D. Ferreira
9'
M
11
Ferreira
5'
F
Ferreira
5'
F
12
Iago
1 ⚽
26'
D
Iago
1 ⚽
26'
D
9
J. Calleri
27'
F
J. Calleri
27'
F
28
Newton
M
Newton
M
29
Pablo Maia
27'
M
Pablo Maia
27'
M
2
R. Tolói
D
R. Tolói
D
49
Ryan Francisco
F
Ryan Francisco
F
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
Gabriel Delfim
G
21
A. Franco
D
A. Franco
D
40
D
2
Natanael
D
Natanael
D
6
Renan Lodi
M
Renan Lodi
M
5
Alexsander
70'
M
Alexsander
70'
M
30
Victor Hugo
81'
M
Victor Hugo
81'
M
28
T. Cuello
M
T. Cuello
M
15
K. Castaño
45'
M
K. Castaño
45'
M
11
Bernard
45'
F
Bernard
45'
F
19
Reinier
45'
F
Reinier
45'
F
Bench
27
A. Minda
20'
F
A. Minda
20'
F
23
A. Preciado
D
A. Preciado
D
92
Dudu
F
Dudu
F
7
Fred
45'
M
Fred
45'
M
10
Gustavo Scarpa
9'
M
Gustavo Scarpa
9'
M
36
K. Pascini
D
K. Pascini
D
39
Mamady Cisse
M
Mamady Cisse
M
9
M. Cassierra
45'
F
M. Cassierra
45'
F
46
Pedro Cobra
G
Pedro Cobra
G
53
Pedro Lemos
D
Pedro Lemos
D
31
Robert
G
Robert
G
14
Vitor Hugo
45'
D
Vitor Hugo
45'
D
Best on the pitch
Luciano
F · Sao
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 26 pass
Iago
D · Sao
7.64
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Artur
M · Sao
7.52
1 👟
4 shots
· 31 pass
R. Arboleda
D · Sao
7.27
1 shots
· 47 pass
Domingos Duarte
D · Sao
7.19
1 shots
· 57 pass
Sabino
D · Sao
7.15
1 shots
· 63 pass
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 90 | 7.15 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Arboleda | D | 90 | 7.27 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Domingos Duarte | D | 90 | 7.19 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Wendell | M | 64 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 4 | 70 | 60% | 6 | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 63 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | M | 90 | 7.09 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Santana | M | 63 | 6.31 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 81 | 7.52 | — | 1 | 4 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano | F | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 26 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Ferreira | M | 9 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Ferreira | F | 5 | 6.88 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Iago | D | 26 | 7.64 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 27 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 27 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Delfim | G | 90 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| Natanael | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| Renan Lodi | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexsander | M | 70 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 81 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cuello | M | 90 | 5.46 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 25% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Castaño | M | 45 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Bernard | F | 45 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Reinier | F | 45 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Minda | F | 20 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Fred | M | 45 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Gustavo Scarpa | M | 9 | 5.81 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Cassierra | F | 45 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Vitor Hugo | D | 45 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Sao Paulo 2–0 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Atletico-MG win.