Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 19
July 23, 2026 02:30
Artur
19'
46'
Leozinho
51'
(ast. L. Esquivel)
Leozinho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 38% win probability (draw 24%, Atletico Paranaense 36%). The final result was Sao Paulo 1–2 Atletico Paranaense. In 2 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Paranaense.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
3
0.85
Actual xG
1.79
1
Saves
2
70%
Possession
30%
7
Corners
3
21
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
18'
Arthur Dias
⚽Artur
19'
R. Toloi
/ Luis Osorio
23'
46'
C. Teran
/
Arthur Dias
46'
Claudinho
/
Joao Cruz
46'
Leozinho⚽
51'
ast. L. Esquivel ·
Leozinho⚽
Pablo Maia
/ Ferreira
64'
Jonathan Calleri
/ Andre Silva
64'
D. Bobadilla
/ Danielzinho
74'
Lucas Ramon
/ Victor Sa
75'
76'
Isaac
/
Leozinho
83'
Gilberto Junior
/
Gilberto
Pre-match prediction
38.66%
Sao
24.82%
X
36.52%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense)
36.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
0.85
-0.44
1.42
1.79
+0.37
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.85).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
18
Wendell
D
Wendell
D
2
Rafael Tolói
23'
D
Rafael Tolói
23'
D
5
Robert Arboleda
D
Robert Arboleda
D
19
Lucas Ramon
75'
D
Lucas Ramon
75'
D
8
Marcos Antônio
M
Marcos Antônio
M
29
Pablo Maia
64'
M
Pablo Maia
64'
M
16
Damián Bobadilla
74'
M
Damián Bobadilla
74'
M
10
Luciano
F
Luciano
F
9
Jonathan Calleri
64'
F
Jonathan Calleri
64'
F
37
Artur
1 ⚽
F
Artur
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
André Silva
31'
F
André Silva
31'
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
M
Cauly
M
94
Danielzinho
21'
M
Danielzinho
21'
M
48
Djhordney
M
Djhordney
M
11
Ferreirinha
31'
F
Ferreirinha
31'
F
43
Gustavo Santana
M
Gustavo Santana
M
53
Isac
D
Isac
D
54
Luis Osorio
72'
D
Luis Osorio
72'
D
56
Nicolas Bosshardt
D
Nicolas Bosshardt
D
34
Tetê
F
Tetê
F
27
Victor Sá
20'
F
Victor Sá
20'
F
23
Santos
G
Santos
G
37
L. Esquivel
1 👟
D
L. Esquivel
1 👟
D
33
F. Aguirre
D
F. Aguirre
D
4
Arthur Dias
45'
D
Arthur Dias
45'
D
7
S. Mendoza
M
S. Mendoza
M
14
Luiz Gustavo
M
Luiz Gustavo
M
16
Jadson
M
Jadson
M
12
Gilberto
83'
M
Gilberto
83'
M
8
Joao Cruz
45'
F
Joao Cruz
45'
F
21
Leozinho
2 ⚽
76'
F
Leozinho
2 ⚽
76'
F
9
K. Viveros
F
K. Viveros
F
Bench
26
Claudinho
50'
D
Claudinho
50'
D
22
C. Terán
50'
D
C. Terán
50'
D
63
Diogo Riquelme
M
Diogo Riquelme
M
53
Dudu Kogitzki
M
Dudu Kogitzki
M
2
Gilberto Junior
12'
D
Gilberto Junior
12'
D
11
Isaac
19'
F
Isaac
19'
F
27
J. Portilla
M
J. Portilla
M
19
J. Rivaldo
F
J. Rivaldo
F
3
Léo
D
Léo
D
6
Leo Derik
D
Leo Derik
D
42
Matheus Soares
G
Matheus Soares
G
70
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
F
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
F
Best on the pitch
Leozinho
F · Atletico
8.30
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 27 pass
Marcos Antônio
M · Sao
8.20
· 102 pass
Robert Arboleda
D · Sao
7.90
1 shots
· 70 pass
Artur
F · Sao
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
C. Terán
D · Atletico
7.30
1 shots
· 10 pass
Pablo Maia
M · Sao
7.20
2 shots
· 64 pass
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Tolói | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Arboleda | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 66% | 5 | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 102 | 95% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Damián Bobadilla | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Luciano | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Calleri | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Artur | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | F | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Luis Osorio | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| Victor Sá | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Esquivel | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Aguirre | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Mendoza | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Jadson | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Gilberto | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Joao Cruz | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Leozinho | F | 76 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 4 | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| K. Viveros | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Claudinho | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Terán | D | 50 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Gilberto Junior | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense?
The final score was Sao Paulo 1–2 Atletico Paranaense.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 24% to a draw, and 36% to an Atletico Paranaense win.