Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sao Paulo
Artur
(ast. Andre Silva)
5'
J. Acosta
18'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Boston River 15%). The final result was Sao Paulo 2–0 Boston River. In 1 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Boston River.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
0
1.69
Actual xG
0.62
0
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
7
Corners
3
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Artur
· ast. Andre Silva
5'
⚽J. Acosta
(og)
18'
58'
G. Ramirez
Pablo Maia
58'
66'
A. Lima
/
F. Dafonte
66'
Y. Gonzalez
/
G. Ramirez
Andre Silva
/ Lucca Marques
69'
Ferreira
/ Pedro Ferreira
69'
74'
G. Reyna
Jonathan Calleri
/ G. Tapia
81'
Artur
/ P. dos Santos
81'
Pablo Maia
/ Felipe Negrucci
81'
81'
L. Suhr
/
F. Munoa
81'
A. Gonzalez
/
F. Bonfiglio
82'
F. Perez
/
G. Reyna
Pre-match prediction
66.61%
Sao ←
17.51%
X
15.88%
Boston
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sao Paulo)
66.61%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.35
1.69
-0.66
1.12
0.62
-0.5
Sao Paulo dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
18
Wendell
D
Wendell
D
54
Luis Osorio
D
Luis Osorio
D
28
A. Franco
D
A. Franco
D
19
Lucas Ramon
D
Lucas Ramon
D
29
Pablo Maia
81'
M
Pablo Maia
81'
M
94
Danielzinho
M
Danielzinho
M
11
Ferreirinha
70'
M
Ferreirinha
70'
M
17
André Silva
1 👟
69'
M
André Silva
1 👟
69'
M
37
Artur
1 ⚽
81'
M
Artur
1 ⚽
81'
M
9
Jonathan Calleri
81'
F
Jonathan Calleri
81'
F
Bench
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
21
Cédric Soares
D
Cédric Soares
D
48
Djhordney
M
Djhordney
M
13
E. Díaz
D
E. Díaz
D
30
Felipe Negrucci
9'
M
Felipe Negrucci
9'
M
14
G. Tapia
9'
F
G. Tapia
9'
F
38
Leonardo Hugo
D
Leonardo Hugo
D
33
Luan Santos
M
Luan Santos
M
45
Lucca
21'
F
Lucca
21'
F
46
Pedro Ferreira
20'
M
Pedro Ferreira
20'
M
2
Rafael Tolói
D
Rafael Tolói
D
34
Tetê
9'
F
Tetê
9'
F
12
J. González
G
13
Ignacio Fernandez
D
25
A. Aguirre
D
23
Mateo Rivero
D
Mateo Rivero
D
31
J. Acosta
1 ⚽
D
14
Federico Dafonte
66'
M
17
R. Haller
M
99
G. Añasgo
82'
M
G. Añasgo
82'
M
11
G. Ramírez
66'
M
26
F. Muñoa
82'
M
8
F. Bonfiglio
82'
F
Bench
19
Agustín Granja
D
Agustín Granja
D
9
Alexander González
8'
F
29
A. Lima
24'
M
1
B. Antúnez
G
21
F. Pérez
8'
M
28
Francisco Martinicorena
F
80
José Torres
G
José Torres
G
2
Kevin Sotto
D
Kevin Sotto
D
16
L. Suhr
8'
F
20
Marcelo Hornos
M
3
M. Mancebo
D
32
Yair González
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Artur
M · Sao
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Lucas Ramon
D · Sao
8.20
1 shots
· 44 pass
Danielzinho
M · Sao
7.70
1 shots
· 62 pass
Luis Osorio
D · Sao
7.50
· 67 pass
André Silva
M · Sao
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
J. González
G · Boston
7.30
· 24 pass
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Osorio | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| André Silva | M | 69 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 81 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Calleri | F | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Negrucci | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Tapia | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Boston River — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. González | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Fernandez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Aguirre | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Rivero | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Acosta | D | 90 | 5.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Federico Dafonte | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Haller | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| G. Añasgo | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Ramírez | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Muñoa | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Bonfiglio | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alexander González | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Lima | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Pérez | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Suhr | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Yair González | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Boston River?
The final score was Sao Paulo 2–0 Boston River.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Boston River?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Boston River win.