Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sao Paulo
Artur
(ast. Andre Silva)
5'
J. Acosta
18'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Boston River 15%). The final result was Sao Paulo 2–0 Boston River. In 1 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Boston River.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
0
1.69
Actual xG
0.62
0
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
7
Corners
3
13
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Artur
· ast. Andre Silva
5'
⚽J. Acosta
(og)
18'
58'
G. Ramirez
Pablo Maia
58'
66'
A. Lima
/
F. Dafonte
66'
Y. Gonzalez
/
G. Ramirez
Andre Silva
/ Lucca Marques
69'
Ferreira
/ Pedro Ferreira
69'
74'
G. Reyna
Jonathan Calleri
/ G. Tapia
81'
Artur
/ P. dos Santos
81'
Pablo Maia
/ Felipe Negrucci
81'
81'
L. Suhr
/
F. Munoa
81'
A. Gonzalez
/
F. Bonfiglio
82'
F. Perez
/
G. Reyna
Pre-match prediction
66.61%
Sao ←
17.51%
X
15.88%
Boston
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sao Paulo)
66.61%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.35
1.69
-0.66
1.12
0.62
-0.5
Sao Paulo dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
18
Wendell
D
Wendell
D
54
Luis Osorio
D
Luis Osorio
D
28
Alan Javier Franco
D
Alan Javier Franco
D
19
Lucas Ramon
D
Lucas Ramon
D
29
Pablo Maia
81'
M
Pablo Maia
81'
M
94
Danielzinho
M
Danielzinho
M
11
Ferreirinha
70'
M
Ferreirinha
70'
M
17
André Silva
1 👟
69'
M
André Silva
1 👟
69'
M
37
Artur
1 ⚽
81'
M
Artur
1 ⚽
81'
M
9
J. Calleri
81'
F
J. Calleri
81'
F
Bench
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
21
Cédric Soares
D
Cédric Soares
D
48
Djhordney Ferreira
M
Djhordney Ferreira
M
13
E. Díaz
D
E. Díaz
D
30
Felipe Negrucci
9'
M
Felipe Negrucci
9'
M
14
Gonzalo Tapia
9'
F
Gonzalo Tapia
9'
F
38
Hugo Leonardo
D
Hugo Leonardo
D
33
Luan Santos
M
Luan Santos
M
45
Lucca
21'
F
Lucca
21'
F
46
Pedro Ferreira
20'
M
Pedro Ferreira
20'
M
2
Rafael Tolói
D
Rafael Tolói
D
34
Tetê
9'
F
Tetê
9'
F
12
Juan Ignacio González
G
13
Ignacio Fernandez
D
25
Agustín Aguirre
D
23
Mateo Rivero
D
Mateo Rivero
D
31
Juan Acosta
1 ⚽
D
14
Federico Dafonte
66'
M
17
Rafael Haller
M
99
Gonzalo Reyna
82'
M
11
Gastón Ramírez
66'
M
26
Facundo Muñoa
82'
M
8
F. Bonfiglio
82'
F
F. Bonfiglio
82'
F
Bench
19
Agustín Granja
D
Agustín Granja
D
9
Alexander González
8'
F
29
Andy López
24'
M
1
Bruno Antúnez
G
28
Francisco Martinicorena
F
21
Franco Pérez
8'
M
80
José Torres
G
José Torres
G
2
Kevin Sotto
D
Kevin Sotto
D
16
L. Suhr
8'
F
L. Suhr
8'
F
20
Marcelo Hornos
M
3
Marco Mancebo
D
32
Y. González
24'
F
Y. González
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Artur
M · Sao
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Lucas Ramon
D · Sao
8.20
1 shots
· 44 pass
Danielzinho
M · Sao
7.70
1 shots
· 62 pass
Luis Osorio
D · Sao
7.50
· 67 pass
André Silva
M · Sao
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
Juan Ignacio González
G · Boston
7.30
· 24 pass
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Osorio | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Javier Franco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| André Silva | M | 69 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 81 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Negrucci | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Boston River — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Ignacio González | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Fernandez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Agustín Aguirre | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Rivero | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Acosta | D | 90 | 5.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Federico Dafonte | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Haller | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Reyna | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gastón Ramírez | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Facundo Muñoa | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Bonfiglio | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alexander González | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Andy López | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Franco Pérez | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Suhr | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Y. González | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Boston River?
The final score was Sao Paulo 2–0 Boston River.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Boston River?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Boston River win.