Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 23
August 16, 2026 02:00
Pablo Maia
(ast. Victor Sa)
43'
57'
(ast. Breno Lopes)
Tiago Coser
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 41% win probability (draw 32%, Coritiba 25%). The final result was Sao Paulo 1–1 Coritiba. In 1 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Coritiba.
Match statistics
Match Events
5'
Tiago Coser
20'
Joao Pedro Chermont
/
Tinga
Pablo Maia
41'
⚽Pablo Maia
· ast. Victor Sa
43'
57'
ast. Breno Lopes ·
Tiago Coser⚽
Victor Sa
/ Artur
63'
Newton
/ Ferreira
63'
66'
Tissi
/
Thiago Santos
Lucas Ramon
68'
74'
Vini Paulista
/
S. Gomez
74'
Paulo Roberto
/
Pedro Rocha
74'
Keno
/
Fernando Sobral
Wendell
/ Iago Borduchi
78'
Luciano
/ Ryan Francisco
78'
Pre-match prediction
41.67%
Sao
32.76%
X ←
25.57%
Coritiba
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
—
—
0.72
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Coritiba?
The final score was Sao Paulo 1–1 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an Coritiba win.