Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 10
April 04, 2026 23:30
Jonathan Calleri
12'
(pen.)
Ferreira
(ast. Artur)
16'
Ferreira
62'
Ferreira
(ast. Marcos Antonio)
90'
47'
(ast. K. Arroyo)
Christian
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 44% win probability (draw 30%, Cruzeiro 25%). The final result was Sao Paulo 4–1 Cruzeiro.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
7
2.01
Actual xG
1.45
6
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
6
Corners
4
24
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Jonathan Calleri
(pen.)
12'
⚽Ferreira
· ast. Artur
16'
Sabino
/ Matheus Doria
46'
46'
Kaua Moraes
/
William Furtado
46'
Lucas Silva
/
Matheus Henrique
47'
ast. K. Arroyo ·
Christian⚽
Luciano
/ Cauly
60'
⚽Ferreira
62'
66'
Wendell
67'
Wendell
/ E. Diaz
68'
68'
Wanderson
/
Gerson
68'
Chico
/
K. Arroyo
Jonathan Calleri
/ Andre Silva
76'
D. Bobadilla
/ Pablo Maia
77'
83'
Jonathan Jesus
/
Fabricio Bruno
83'
N. Villarreal
/
Kaio Jorge
Ferreirinha
90'+3
⚽Ferreira
· ast. Marcos Antonio
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.29%
Sao ←
30.11%
X
25.6%
Cruzeiro
we assigned to the actual result (Sao Paulo)
44.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
2.01
+0.65
0.77
1.45
+0.68
Sao Paulo dominated by xG (2.01 vs 1.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
18
Wendell
68'
D
Wendell
68'
D
35
Sabino
45'
D
Sabino
45'
D
2
R. Tolói
D
R. Tolói
D
19
Lucas Ramon
8
Marcos Antônio
1 👟
M
Marcos Antônio
1 👟
M
16
Damián Bobadilla
77'
M
Damián Bobadilla
77'
M
11
Ferreira
3 ⚽
M
Ferreira
3 ⚽
M
10
Luciano
60'
M
Luciano
60'
M
37
Artur
1 👟
M
Artur
1 👟
M
9
J. Calleri
1 ⚽
76'
F
J. Calleri
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
17
André Silva
14'
F
André Silva
14'
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
30'
M
Cauly
30'
M
21
Cédric Soares
D
Cédric Soares
D
94
Danielzinho
M
Danielzinho
M
13
E. Díaz
22'
D
E. Díaz
22'
D
14
G. Tapia
F
G. Tapia
F
33
Luan Santos
M
Luan Santos
M
29
Pablo Maia
13'
M
Pablo Maia
13'
M
34
Tetê
F
Tetê
F
31
Matheus Cunha
G
Matheus Cunha
G
6
Kaiki
D
Kaiki
D
25
L. Villalba
D
L. Villalba
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
83'
D
Fabrício Bruno
83'
D
12
William
45'
D
William
45'
D
11
Gerson
68'
M
Gerson
68'
M
8
Matheus Henrique
45'
M
Matheus Henrique
45'
M
88
Christian
1 ⚽
M
Christian
1 ⚽
M
10
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
99
K. Arroyo
1 👟
68'
M
K. Arroyo
1 👟
68'
M
19
Kaio Jorge
83'
F
Kaio Jorge
83'
F
Bench
23
Fágner
D
Fágner
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
17'
D
Jonathan Jesus
17'
D
2
Kauã Moraes
45'
D
Kauã Moraes
45'
D
16
Lucas Silva
45'
M
Lucas Silva
45'
M
22
Néiser Villarreal
17'
M
Néiser Villarreal
17'
M
94
Wanderson
22'
F
Wanderson
22'
F
Best on the pitch
Ferreira
M · Sao
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots
· 23 pass
Artur
M · Sao
8.30
1 👟
· 17 pass
Rafael
G · Sao
8.00
· 15 pass
J. Calleri
F · Sao
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
R. Tolói
D · Sao
7.30
1 shots
· 25 pass
K. Arroyo
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 12 pass
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sabino | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Tolói | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Damián Bobadilla | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ferreira | M | 90 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 4 | 23 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luciano | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 76 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Cauly | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Díaz | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 4 | — | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Cunha | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Kaiki | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Villalba | D | 90 | 4.90 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 63% | — | — | — |
| William | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Gerson | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Christian | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 32% | 6 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 36% | — | — | — |
| K. Arroyo | M | 68 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Kauã Moraes | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Néiser Villarreal | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wanderson | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was Sao Paulo 4–1 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 30% to a draw, and 25% to an Cruzeiro win.