Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 20, 2026 02:30
Luciano
(ast. D. Bobadilla)
9'
81'
J. Hurtado
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Sao Paulo 33%). The final result was Sao Paulo 1–1 Millonarios. In 1 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Millonarios.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
1.29
Actual xG
1.84
3
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
7
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Luciano
· ast. D. Bobadilla
9'
30'
S. Mosquera
Jonathan Calleri
47'
Ferreira
52'
58'
A. Castro
/
D. Silva
59'
S. Viveros
Ferreira
/ Wendell
63'
70'
A. Castro
Artur
73'
Jonathan Calleri
/ G. Tapia
75'
75'
J. Hurtado
/
L. Castro
76'
S. Vega
/
M. Garcia
D. Bobadilla
78'
81'
J. Hurtado⚽
E. Diaz
/ Lucca Marques
85'
Luciano
/ Andre Silva
85'
Danielzinho
/ Luan Silva
85'
85'
D. Banguero
/
S. Valencia
88'
(missed pen.)
R. Contreras⚽
Pre-match prediction
33.14%
Sao
23.44%
X ←
43.42%
Millonarios
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
1.29
+0.07
1.63
1.84
+0.21
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.29).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
13
E. Díaz
85'
D
E. Díaz
85'
D
28
A. Franco
D
A. Franco
D
4
Dória
D
Dória
D
19
Lucas Ramon
D
Lucas Ramon
D
16
Damián Bobadilla
1 👟
M
Damián Bobadilla
1 👟
M
94
Danielzinho
85'
M
Danielzinho
85'
M
11
Ferreira
63'
M
Ferreira
63'
M
10
Luciano
1 ⚽
85'
M
Luciano
1 ⚽
85'
M
37
Artur
M
Artur
M
9
J. Calleri
76'
F
J. Calleri
76'
F
Bench
17
André Silva
10'
F
André Silva
10'
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
21
Cédric Soares
D
Cédric Soares
D
48
D. Ferreira
M
D. Ferreira
M
14
G. Tapia
19'
F
G. Tapia
19'
F
38
Hugo Leonardo
D
Hugo Leonardo
D
33
Luan Santos
10'
M
Luan Santos
10'
M
45
Lucca
10'
F
Lucca
10'
F
54
Osorio Luis
D
Osorio Luis
D
46
Pedro Ferreira
M
Pedro Ferreira
M
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
18
Wendell
32'
D
Wendell
32'
D
12
D. Novoa
G
D. Novoa
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
85'
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
85'
D
17
Jorge Arias
D
Jorge Arias
D
6
S. Mosquera
D
S. Mosquera
D
26
A. Llinás
D
A. Llinás
D
30
Sebastián del Castillo
D
Sebastián del Castillo
D
14
D. Silva
58'
M
D. Silva
58'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. García
76'
M
M. García
76'
M
27
R. Contreras
F
R. Contreras
F
23
L. Castro
76'
F
L. Castro
76'
F
Bench
33
Alex Castro
37'
F
Alex Castro
37'
F
29
Alex Moreno
D
Alex Moreno
D
2
Carlos Sarabia
D
Carlos Sarabia
D
20
D. Banguero
10'
D
D. Banguero
10'
D
4
Edgar Elizalde
D
1
Guillermo De Amores
G
Guillermo De Amores
G
99
J. Cabezas
1 ⚽
19'
F
J. Cabezas
1 ⚽
19'
F
24
Julian Angulo
F
Julian Angulo
F
3
M. Diaz Samuel
D
M. Diaz Samuel
D
35
Sebastián Mosquera
F
Sebastián Mosquera
F
28
Stiven Vega
19'
M
Stiven Vega
19'
M
Best on the pitch
Danielzinho
M · Sao
8.20
1 shots
· 59 pass
Luciano
M · Sao
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 48 pass
Lucas Ramon
D · Sao
7.50
· 43 pass
Alex Castro
F · Millonarios
7.30
· 13 pass
J. Cabezas
F · Millonarios
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Damián Bobadilla
M · Sao
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 75 pass
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Díaz | D | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | — | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Dória | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Damián Bobadilla | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 75 | 69% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 85 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Ferreira | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Luciano | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 48 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| André Silva | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Tapia | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luan Santos | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Novoa | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Arias | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Mosquera | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Llinás | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián del Castillo | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Silva | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M. García | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Castro | F | 37 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Banguero | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Cabezas | F | 19 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Stiven Vega | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
The final score was Sao Paulo 1–1 Millonarios.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 23% to a draw, and 43% to an Millonarios win.