Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 13
April 26, 2026 02:00
Luciano
(ast. Wendell)
76'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Mirassol 22%). The final result was Sao Paulo 1–0 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mirassol.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
1
1.02
Actual xG
1.09
1
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
12
Corners
4
17
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Danielzinho
41'
45'+4
Jose Aldo
45'+5
Nathan Fogaca
65'
Neto Moura
/
Jose Aldo
65'
Denilson
/
Shaylon
Cauly
/ Lucca Marques
66'
D. Bobadilla
/ Luan Silva
76'
⚽Luciano
· ast. Wendell
76'
81'
Everton Galdino
/
Eduardo
81'
Tiquinho Soares
/
Lucas Oliveira
84'
Edson Carioca
/
Alesson
Luciano
/ Matheus Doria
88'
Pre-match prediction
50.39%
Sao ←
27.52%
X
22.09%
Mirassol
we assigned to the actual result (Sao Paulo)
50.39%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.02
-0.52
0.71
1.09
+0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 1.09).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
18
Wendell
1 👟
D
Wendell
1 👟
D
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
2
Rafael Tolói
D
Rafael Tolói
D
19
Lucas Ramon
D
Lucas Ramon
D
94
Danielzinho
M
Danielzinho
M
16
Damián Bobadilla
76'
M
Damián Bobadilla
76'
M
80
Cauly
66'
M
Cauly
66'
M
10
Luciano
1 ⚽
88'
M
Luciano
1 ⚽
88'
M
37
Artur
M
Artur
M
9
Jonathan Calleri
F
Jonathan Calleri
F
Bench
17
André Silva
F
André Silva
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
21
Cédric Soares
D
Cédric Soares
D
14
G. Tapia
F
G. Tapia
F
33
Luan Santos
14'
M
Luan Santos
14'
M
45
Lucca
24'
F
Lucca
24'
F
56
Nicolas Bosshardt
D
Nicolas Bosshardt
D
34
Tetê
F
Tetê
F
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
3
D
2
Lucas Oliveira
81'
D
Lucas Oliveira
81'
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
6
Reinaldo
M
Reinaldo
M
21
Jose Aldo
65'
M
Jose Aldo
65'
M
33
Eduardo
81'
M
Eduardo
81'
M
7
Shaylon
65'
M
Shaylon
65'
M
32
Igor Formiga
M
Igor Formiga
M
99
Andre Luis
F
Andre Luis
F
77
Alesson
84'
F
Alesson
84'
F
Bench
27
A. Galeano
F
A. Galeano
F
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
8
Denilson
25'
M
Denilson
25'
M
95
Edson Carioca
13'
F
Edson Carioca
13'
F
17
Everton Galdino
9'
F
Everton Galdino
9'
F
9
Nathan Fogaça
F
Nathan Fogaça
F
25
Neto Moura
25'
M
Neto Moura
25'
M
29
Tiquinho Soares
9'
F
Tiquinho Soares
9'
F
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
Best on the pitch
Wendell
D · Sao
8.20
1 👟
· 53 pass
Luciano
M · Sao
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 35 pass
Rafael Tolói
D · Sao
7.90
· 41 pass
Alesson
F · Mirassol
7.50
1 shots
· 17 pass
Lucas Ramon
D · Sao
7.30
· 29 pass
Danielzinho
M · Sao
7.30
· 61 pass
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Tolói | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 59% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Damián Bobadilla | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Cauly | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano | M | 88 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Calleri | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Santos | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 2 | — | — | |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Reinaldo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Jose Aldo | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Andre Luis | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 5 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Edson Carioca | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Everton Galdino | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiquinho Soares | F | 9 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Mirassol?
The final score was Sao Paulo 1–0 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Mirassol win.