Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 22, 2026 02:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Palmeiras 29%). The final result was Sao Paulo 0–1 Palmeiras.
Match statistics
0
Shots on target
2
0.04
Actual xG
0.13
63%
Possession
37%
10
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
41.26%
Sao
28.76%
X
29.98%
Palmeiras ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
29.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
0.04
-1.72
1.10
0.13
-0.97
xG dominance was balanced (0.04 – 0.13).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Sao Paulo 0–1 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Palmeiras win.