Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 25
August 30, 2026 01:00
Luciano
14'
(pen.)
G. Santana
45'+4
90'
(ast. H. Mosquera)
Fernando Santos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 40% win probability (draw 32%, RB Bragantino 27%). The final result was Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino. In 1 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for RB Bragantino.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
3
1.33
Actual xG
0.57
2
Saves
5
38%
Possession
62%
9
Corners
7
21
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Luciano
(pen.)
14'
⚽G. Santana
45'+4
45'
A. Sant'Anna
46'
Fernando Santos
/
Vinicinho
46'
Fabinho
/
Eric Ramires
G. Santana
/ Andre Silva
55'
68'
H. Mosquera
/
Lucas Barbosa
68'
Gustavo Neves
/
J. Herrera
Buta
/ Pablo Maia
71'
Luciano
/ Lucas Ramon
71'
78'
Yuri Alves
/
I. Pitta
83'
Pedro Henrique
Danielzinho
/ Djhordney
84'
Artur
/ Ferreira
84'
Andre Silva
84'
86'
H. Mosquera
90'+5
Juninho Capixaba
Jonathan Calleri
90'+6
90'
ast. H. Mosquera ·
Fernando Santos⚽
Pre-match prediction
40.54%
Sao ←
32.27%
X
27.19%
RB
we assigned to the actual result (Sao Paulo)
40.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
1.33
+0.4
0.72
0.57
-0.15
Sao Paulo dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
5
R. Arboleda
D
R. Arboleda
D
22
Domingos Duarte
D
Domingos Duarte
D
12
Iago
M
Iago
M
8
Marcos Antônio
M
Marcos Antônio
M
94
Danielzinho
84'
M
Danielzinho
84'
M
20
Aurélio Buta
71'
M
Aurélio Buta
71'
M
43
G. Santana
1 ⚽
55'
F
G. Santana
1 ⚽
55'
F
37
Artur
84'
F
Artur
84'
F
10
Luciano
1 ⚽
71'
F
Luciano
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
17
André Silva
35'
F
André Silva
35'
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
M
Cauly
M
48
D. Ferreira
14'
M
D. Ferreira
14'
M
11
Ferreira
14'
F
Ferreira
14'
F
9
J. Calleri
F
J. Calleri
F
19
Lucas Ramon
19'
D
Lucas Ramon
19'
D
54
Osorio Luis
D
Osorio Luis
D
29
Pablo Maia
19'
M
Pablo Maia
19'
M
2
R. Tolói
D
R. Tolói
D
34
Tetê
F
Tetê
F
18
Wendell
D
Wendell
D
18
Tiago Volpi
G
Tiago Volpi
G
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
Juninho Capixaba
D
16
Gustavo Marques
D
Gustavo Marques
D
14
Pedro Henrique
D
Pedro Henrique
D
23
A. Sant'Anna
D
A. Sant'Anna
D
20
Rodriguinho
M
Rodriguinho
M
7
Eric Ramires
45'
M
Eric Ramires
45'
M
17
Vinicius
45'
M
Vinicius
45'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
68'
M
Lucas Barbosa
68'
M
32
J. Herrera
68'
M
J. Herrera
68'
M
9
I. Pitta
78'
F
I. Pitta
78'
F
Bench
4
Alix
D
Alix
D
51
Cauê Nascimento Santos
D
Cauê Nascimento Santos
D
1
Cleiton
G
Cleiton
G
5
Fabinho
45'
M
Fabinho
45'
M
11
Fernando
1 ⚽
45'
F
Fernando
1 ⚽
45'
F
6
Gabriel
M
Gabriel
M
22
Gustavinho
22'
M
Gustavinho
22'
M
2
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
30
Henry Mosquera
1 👟
22'
F
Henry Mosquera
1 👟
22'
F
34
José Andrés Hurtado
D
José Andrés Hurtado
D
35
Matheus Fernandes
M
Matheus Fernandes
M
41
Yuri Alves de Aquino
12'
M
Yuri Alves de Aquino
12'
M
Best on the pitch
G. Santana
F · Sao
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Fernando
F · RB
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Aurélio Buta
M · Sao
7.30
· 10 pass
Luciano
F · Sao
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Tiago Volpi
G · RB
7.30
· 27 pass
Pedro Henrique
D · RB
7.30
· 77 pass
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Arboleda | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Domingos Duarte | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Iago | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Aurélio Buta | M | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Santana | F | 55 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Artur | F | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano | F | 71 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Ferreira | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ferreira | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 38% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 64% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Sant'Anna | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 40% | 9 | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinicius | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Herrera | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernando | F | 45 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavinho | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Henry Mosquera | F | 22 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Yuri Alves de Aquino | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino?
The final score was Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 32% to a draw, and 27% to an RB Bragantino win.