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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 31 October 18, 2026 02:00 Morumbi, Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
#10 · 43 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Vasco DA Gama
#13 · 38 pts
Artur Victor Guimarães (ast. Pedro Lima) 68'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 35%). The final result was Sao Paulo 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. In 1 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vasco DA Gama.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
2
1.26
Actual xG
0.92
2
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
4
35
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Artur Victor Guimarães
42'
44'
Facundo Colidio
45'
Jose Luis Rodriguez / Paulo Henrique ↕
↕ Luciano / Lucas Moura
45'
↕ Rafael Tolói / Jose Monteiro
45'
51'
54'
Gabriel Pereira
62'
Brenner / Bruno Duarte Da Silva ↕
⚽Artur Victor Guimarães · ast. Pedro Lima
68'
↕ Marcos Antonio / Pablo Maia
71'
74'
Thiago Mendes / Tchê Tchê ↕
74'
Jair / Santiago Sosa ↕
↕ Jonathan Calleri / Gustavo Santana
80'
↕ Artur Victor Guimarães / Luis Osorio Messias De Oliveira
89'
89'
Adson / Alan Lescano ↕
Iago Amaral Borduchi
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
41.39%
Sao ←
23.18%
X
35.43%
Vasco
we assigned to the actual result (Sao Paulo) 41.39% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sao
1.59
1.26
-0.33
Vasco
1.51
0.92
-0.59
Sao Paulo dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.92). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1
23 Rafael Rafael G 6.99
2 R. Tolói R. Tolói 45' D 7.49
5 R. Arboleda R. Arboleda D 7.02
28 Newton Newton D 7.68
12 Iago Iago M 6.67
16 D. Bobadilla D. Bobadilla M 7.20
8 Marcos Antônio Marcos Antônio 71' M 7.20
32 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima 1 👟 M 7.70
37 Artur Artur 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.20
10 Luciano Luciano 45' M 6.66
9 J. Calleri J. Calleri 80' F 6.49
Bench
31 Carlos Coronel Carlos Coronel G 0.00
43 G. Santana G. Santana 10' F 6.54
7 Lucas Moura Lucas Moura 45' F 6.25
19 Lucas Ramon Lucas Ramon D 0.00
45 Lucca Marques Alencar Lucca Marques Alencar F 0.00
54 Osorio Luis Osorio Luis 1' D 7.06
29 Pablo Maia Pablo Maia 19' M 6.86
46 Pedro Ferreira Pedro Ferreira M 0.00
49 Ryan Francisco Ryan Francisco F 0.00
35 Sabino Sabino 45' D 7.12
27 Victor Sá Victor Sá F 0.00
18 Wendell Wendell D 0.00
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
1 Léo Jardim Léo Jardim G 6.47
66 Cuiabano Cuiabano D 6.95
30 Robert Renan Robert Renan D 6.42
55 Gabriel Pereira Gabriel Pereira D 5.96
96 Paulo Henrique Paulo Henrique 45' D 6.42
5 Santiago Sosa Santiago Sosa 74' M 7.03
3 Tchê Tchê Tchê Tchê 74' M 6.69
9 Facundo Colidio Facundo Colidio M 6.11
22 Alan Lescano Alan Lescano 89' M 6.22
11 A. Gómez A. Gómez M 6.56
19 Bruno Duarte Bruno Duarte 62' F 6.27
Bench
28 Adson Adson 1' F 6.30
4 Alan Saldivia Alan Saldivia D 0.00
20 Brenner Brenner 28' F 6.22
13 Daniel Fuzato Daniel Fuzato G 0.00
7 David David F 0.00
8 Jair Jair 16' M 6.86
45 Loide Augusto Loide Augusto F 0.00
43 Lucas Freitas Lucas Freitas D 0.00
6 Lucas Piton Lucas Piton D 0.00
2 Puma Rodríguez Puma Rodríguez 45' D 7.20
83 Ramon Rique Ramon Rique M 0.00
23 Thiago Mendes Thiago Mendes 16' M 6.81
Best on the pitch
Artur
Artur
M · Sao
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima
M · Sao
7.70
1 👟
· 28 pass
Newton
Newton
D · Sao
7.68
· 31 pass
R. Tolói
R. Tolói
D · Sao
7.49
· 25 pass
Puma Rodríguez
Puma Rodríguez
D · Vasco
7.20
2 shots · 31 pass
D. Bobadilla
D. Bobadilla
M · Sao
7.20
· 55 pass
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael G 90 6.99 — — 0 29 16% 0 — —
R. Tolói D 45 7.49 — — 0 25 23% 2 — —
R. Arboleda D 90 7.02 — — 0 30 24% 3 — —
Newton D 90 7.68 — — 0 31 24% 8 — —
Iago M 90 6.67 — — 1 33 29% 4 1 —
D. Bobadilla M 90 7.20 — — 0 55 47% 5 — —
Marcos Antônio M 71 7.20 — — 0 50 45% 4 — —
Pedro Lima M 90 7.70 — 1 0 28 19% 4 — —
Artur M 89 8.20 1 — 2 30 25% 0 1 —
Luciano M 45 6.66 — — 2 26 21% 0 — —
J. Calleri F 80 6.49 — — 2 10 7% 1 — —
G. Santana F 10 6.54 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
Lucas Moura F 45 6.25 — — 1 17 5% 1 — —
Osorio Luis D 1 7.06 — — 0 0 0% 1 — —
Pablo Maia M 19 6.86 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
Sabino D 45 7.12 — — 1 12 8% 1 — —
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Jardim G 90 6.47 — — 0 32 23% 0 — —
Cuiabano D 90 6.95 — — 2 51 40% 5 — —
Robert Renan D 90 6.42 — — 0 87 73% 2 — —
Gabriel Pereira D 90 5.96 — — 1 77 72% 0 1 —
Paulo Henrique D 45 6.42 — — 0 18 16% 2 — —
Santiago Sosa M 74 7.03 — — 0 50 46% 3 — —
Tchê Tchê M 74 6.69 — — 0 39 37% 1 — —
Facundo Colidio M 90 6.11 — — 2 48 37% 1 1 —
Alan Lescano M 89 6.22 — — 0 41 33% 3 — —
A. Gómez M 90 6.56 — — 5 18 14% 1 — —
Bruno Duarte F 62 6.27 — — 1 9 5% 1 — —
Adson F 1 6.30 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
Brenner F 28 6.22 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
Jair M 16 6.86 — — 0 23 20% 0 — —
Puma Rodríguez D 45 7.20 — — 2 31 29% 1 — —
Thiago Mendes M 16 6.81 — — 0 34 32% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Sao Paulo 1–0 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 23% to a draw, and 35% to an Vasco DA Gama win.