Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — July 24, 2026

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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 1 July 24, 2026 00:30

Sarmiento Junin

#7 · 21 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Argentinos JRS

#2 · 28 pts

J. Marabel (ast. P. Magnin) 30'

R. Orihuela (ast. C. Zabala) 69'

48' (ast. T. Molina) A. Lescano

58' S. Prieto

90' (ast. H. Lopez) D. Porcel

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentinos JRS a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Sarmiento Junin 27%). The final result was Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS. In 1 previous meetings, Sarmiento Junin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Argentinos JRS.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.34

Actual xG

1.37

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

E. Gimenez

13'

16'

F. Paredes

24'

I. Morales

⚽J. Marabel · ast. P. Magnin

30'

38'

K. Coronel / E. Godoy ↕

43'

F. Alvarez

J. Insaurralde

45'+1

↕ E. Gimenez / M. Garcia

46'

T. Molina / I. Morales ↕

46'

K. Gutierrez / L. Gomez ↕

48'

ast. T. Molina · A. Lescano⚽

C. Zabala

53'

54'

A. Lescano

↕ P. Magnin / J. Herrera

57'

58'

S. Prieto⚽

⚽R. Orihuela · ast. C. Zabala

69'

72'

D. Porcel / F. Jainikoski ↕

76'

D. Porcel

80'

H. Lopez / G. Veron ↕

↕ S. Salle / J. Mavilla

84'

↕ J. Marabel / Diego Churin

84'

90'+1

D. Porcel

90'+1

D. Porcel

↕ G. Diaz / G. Gonzalez

90'+1

90'

ast. H. Lopez · D. Porcel⚽

Pre-match prediction

27.09%

Sarmiento

30.66%

42.25%

Argentinos ←

we assigned to the actual result (Argentinos JRS) 42.25% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sarmiento

0.73

1.34

+0.61

Argentinos

1.09

1.37

+0.28

xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rosario Central	14	28
2	Argentinos JRS	14	28
3	Gimnasia L.P.	14	25
4	River Plate	14	23
5	Belgrano Cordoba	14	22
6	Barracas Central	14	22
7	Sarmiento Junin	14	21
8	Huracan	14	19
9	Independ. Rivadavia	14	19
10	Atletico Tucuman	14	17
11	Banfield	14	14
12	Tigre	14	13
13	Racing Club	14	12
14	Aldosivi	14	11
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	14	9

Lineups

Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2

I. Arboleda G 6.30

L. Suárez D 6.20

J. Insaurralde D 6.20

R. Orihuela 1 ⚽ D 7.50

T. Santamaría D 6.20

G. Díaz 89' M 6.30

E. Giménez 45' M 6.30

C. Zabala 1 👟 M 7.90

S. Salle 84' M 6.70

P. Magnín 1 👟 57' F 6.90

J. Marabel 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.30

Bench

Brandon Márquez F

D. Churín 13' F 6.50

F. Alaggia M

G. Arturia D

G. González 1' F

J. Herrera 33' F 6.30

J. Mavilla 13' M 6.70

Juan Manuel Cabrera D

Mauricio Leonel Martínez M

M. García 45' M 6.50

T. Ayala G

Y. Arismendi M

Argentinos JRS 4-4-2

B. Cortés G 5.90

S. Prieto 1 ⚽ D 7.20

É. Godoy 38' D 6.60

F. Álvarez D 6.20

F. Paredes D 6.90

F. Jainikoski 72' M 6.00

N. Oroz M 7.00

L. Gómez 45' M 6.30

Alan Lescano 1 ⚽ M 8.00

G. Verón 80' F 6.70

I. Morales 45' F 6.30

Bench

A. Alcaraz F

C. Bravo D

D. Porcel 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.20

D. Rodríguez G

Emiliano Viveros M

G. Florentín M

H. López 1 👟 10' M 6.90

K. Coronel 52' D 6.60

K. Gutiérrez 45' M 6.90

M. Giménez F

Santino Gianini D

T. Molina 1 👟 45' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

Alan Lescano

M · Argentinos

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 40 pass

C. Zabala

M · Sarmiento

7.90

1 👟

· 68 pass

R. Orihuela

D · Sarmiento

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 28 pass

J. Marabel

F · Sarmiento

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 20 pass

D. Porcel

F · Argentinos

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 3 pass

S. Prieto

D · Argentinos

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 36 pass

Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
I. Arboleda	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	22%	—	—	—
L. Suárez	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	26	18%	2	—	—
J. Insaurralde	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	41	36%	—	1	—
R. Orihuela	D	90	7.50	1	—	1	28	21%	5	—	—
T. Santamaría	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	35	21%	5	—	—
G. Díaz	M	89	6.30	—	—	1	22	18%	1	—	—
E. Giménez	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	11%	1	1	—
C. Zabala	M	90	7.90	—	1	—	68	54%	6	1	—
S. Salle	M	84	6.70	—	—	—	20	15%	1	—	—
P. Magnín	F	57	6.90	—	1	—	9	6%	—	—	—
J. Marabel	F	84	7.30	1	—	3	20	14%	—	—	—
D. Churín	F	13	6.50	—	—	1	5	1%	—	—	—
G. González	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Herrera	F	33	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
J. Mavilla	M	13	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
M. García	M	45	6.50	—	—	1	21	18%	—	—	—

Argentinos JRS — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Cortés	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	40	31%	—	—	—
S. Prieto	D	90	7.20	1	—	1	36	29%	2	—	—
É. Godoy	D	38	6.60	—	—	—	27	25%	—	—	—
F. Álvarez	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	54	46%	1	1	—
F. Paredes	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	41	36%	1	1	—
F. Jainikoski	M	72	6.00	—	—	1	24	19%	—	—	—
N. Oroz	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	51	43%	1	—	—
L. Gómez	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	36	30%	1	—	—
Alan Lescano	M	90	8.00	1	—	2	40	37%	1	1	—
G. Verón	F	80	6.70	—	—	2	28	23%	1	—	—
I. Morales	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	7	3%	—	1	—
D. Porcel	F	19	7.20	1	—	1	3	3%	—	2	1
H. López	M	10	6.90	—	1	—	3	2%	—	—	—
K. Coronel	D	52	6.60	—	—	—	28	21%	3	—	—
K. Gutiérrez	M	45	6.90	—	—	1	24	21%	1	—	—
T. Molina	F	45	6.30	—	1	—	12	9%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sarmiento Junin vs Argentinos JRS?

The final score was Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS.

What did the model predict before Sarmiento Junin vs Argentinos JRS?

The model assigned 27% probability to a Sarmiento Junin win, 30% to a draw, and 42% to an Argentinos JRS win.