Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — July 24, 2026

← Liga Profesional

Liga Profesional · Clausura - 1 July 24, 2026 00:30

Sarmiento Junin

#11 · 19 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Argentinos JRS

#1 · 6 pts

J. Marabel (ast. P. Magnin) 30'

R. Orihuela (ast. C. Zabala) 69'

48' (ast. T. Molina) A. Lescano

58' S. Prieto

90' (ast. H. Lopez) D. Porcel

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentinos JRS a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Sarmiento Junin 27%). The final result was Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS. In 1 previous meetings, Sarmiento Junin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Argentinos JRS.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.34

Actual xG

1.37

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

E. Gimenez

13'

16'

F. Paredes

24'

I. Morales

⚽J. Marabel · ast. P. Magnin

30'

38'

K. Coronel / E. Godoy ↕

43'

F. Alvarez

J. Insaurralde

45'+1

↕ E. Gimenez / M. Garcia

46'

T. Molina / I. Morales ↕

46'

K. Gutierrez / L. Gomez ↕

48'

ast. T. Molina · A. Lescano⚽

C. Zabala

53'

54'

A. Lescano

↕ P. Magnin / J. Herrera

57'

58'

S. Prieto⚽

⚽R. Orihuela · ast. C. Zabala

69'

72'

D. Porcel / F. Jainikoski ↕

76'

D. Porcel

80'

H. Lopez / G. Veron ↕

↕ S. Salle / J. Mavilla

84'

↕ J. Marabel / Diego Churin

84'

90'+1

D. Porcel

90'+1

D. Porcel

↕ G. Diaz / G. Gonzalez

90'+1

90'

ast. H. Lopez · D. Porcel⚽

Pre-match prediction

27.09%

Sarmiento

30.66%

42.25%

Argentinos ←

we assigned to the actual result (Argentinos JRS) 42.25% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sarmiento

0.73

1.34

+0.61

Argentinos

1.09

1.37

+0.28

xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	34
2	River Plate	16	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	29
4	Rosario Central	16	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	26
7	Huracan	16	22
8	Racing Club	16	21
9	Barracas Central	16	21
10	Tigre	16	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	19
12	Banfield	16	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	14
14	Aldosivi	16	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	5

Lineups

Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2

Iván Arboleda G 6.30

Lucas Suárez D 6.20

Juan Manuel Insaurralde D 6.20

Renzo Orihuela 1 ⚽ D 7.50

Thiago Santamaría D 6.20

Gabriel Díaz 89' M 6.30

Elián Giménez 45' M 6.30

Cristian Zabala 1 👟 M 7.90

Santiago Salle 84' M 6.70

Pablo Magnin 1 👟 57' F 6.90

Junior Marabel 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.30

Bench

Brandon Márquez F

Diego Churin 13' F 6.50

Facundo Alaggia M

Gastón Arturia D

Gastón González 1' F

Jonathan Herrera 33' F 6.30

Juan Manuel Cabrera D

Julián Mavilla 13' M 6.70

Manuel Garcia 45' M 6.50

Mauricio Martínez M

Thyago Ayala G

Yair Arismendi M

Argentinos JRS 4-4-2

Brayan Cortés G 5.90

Sebastián Prieto 1 ⚽ D 7.20

Erik Godoy 38' D 6.60

Francisco Álvarez D 6.20

Franco Paredes D 6.90

Facundo Jainikoski 72' M 6.00

Nicolas Oroz M 7.00

Lucas Gómez 45' M 6.30

Alan Lescano 1 ⚽ M 8.00

Gastón Verón 80' F 6.70

Iván Morales 45' F 6.30

Bench

Alan Alcaraz F

Claudio Bravo D

Diego Porcel 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.20

Diego Rodríguez G

Emiliano Viveros M

Gabriel Florentín M

Hernán López Muñoz 1 👟 10' M 6.90

Kevin Coronel 52' D 6.60

Kevin Gutiérrez 45' M 6.90

Matías Giménez Rojas F

Santino Gianini D

Tomás Molina 1 👟 45' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

Alan Lescano

M · Argentinos

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 40 pass

Cristian Zabala

M · Sarmiento

7.90

1 👟

· 68 pass

Renzo Orihuela

D · Sarmiento

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 28 pass

Junior Marabel

F · Sarmiento

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 20 pass

Diego Porcel

F · Argentinos

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 3 pass

Sebastián Prieto

D · Argentinos

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 36 pass

Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Iván Arboleda	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	22%	—	—	—
Lucas Suárez	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	26	18%	2	—	—
Juan Manuel Insaurralde	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	41	36%	—	1	—
Renzo Orihuela	D	90	7.50	1	—	1	28	21%	5	—	—
Thiago Santamaría	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	35	21%	5	—	—
Gabriel Díaz	M	89	6.30	—	—	1	22	18%	1	—	—
Elián Giménez	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	11%	1	1	—
Cristian Zabala	M	90	7.90	—	1	—	68	54%	6	1	—
Santiago Salle	M	84	6.70	—	—	—	20	15%	1	—	—
Pablo Magnin	F	57	6.90	—	1	—	9	6%	—	—	—
Junior Marabel	F	84	7.30	1	—	3	20	14%	—	—	—
Diego Churin	F	13	6.50	—	—	1	5	1%	—	—	—
Gastón González	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Herrera	F	33	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
Julián Mavilla	M	13	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Manuel Garcia	M	45	6.50	—	—	1	21	18%	—	—	—

Argentinos JRS — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Brayan Cortés	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	40	31%	—	—	—
Sebastián Prieto	D	90	7.20	1	—	1	36	29%	2	—	—
Erik Godoy	D	38	6.60	—	—	—	27	25%	—	—	—
Francisco Álvarez	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	54	46%	1	1	—
Franco Paredes	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	41	36%	1	1	—
Facundo Jainikoski	M	72	6.00	—	—	1	24	19%	—	—	—
Nicolas Oroz	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	51	43%	1	—	—
Lucas Gómez	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	36	30%	1	—	—
Alan Lescano	M	90	8.00	1	—	2	40	37%	1	1	—
Gastón Verón	F	80	6.70	—	—	2	28	23%	1	—	—
Iván Morales	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	7	3%	—	1	—
Diego Porcel	F	19	7.20	1	—	1	3	3%	—	2	1
Hernán López Muñoz	M	10	6.90	—	1	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Kevin Coronel	D	52	6.60	—	—	—	28	21%	3	—	—
Kevin Gutiérrez	M	45	6.90	—	—	1	24	21%	1	—	—
Tomás Molina	F	45	6.30	—	1	—	12	9%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sarmiento Junin vs Argentinos JRS?

The final score was Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS.

What did the model predict before Sarmiento Junin vs Argentinos JRS?

The model assigned 27% probability to a Sarmiento Junin win, 30% to a draw, and 42% to an Argentinos JRS win.