Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 6
August 23, 2026 19:45
M. Martinez
(ast. J. Mavilla)
18'
G. Gonzalez
(ast. J. Marabel)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sarmiento Junin a 35% win probability (draw 29%, Estudiantes L.P. 34%). The final result was Sarmiento Junin 2–0 Estudiantes L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, Sarmiento Junin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Estudiantes L.P..
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
5
1.49
Actual xG
0.70
5
Saves
3
24%
Possession
76%
2
Corners
5
16
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
L. Alario
⚽M. Martinez
· ast. J. Mavilla
18'
J. Contrera
26'
40'
J. Pereyra
46'
E. Mancuso
/
E. Meza
46'
E. Cetre
/
Perez Fabricio
L. Suarez
54'
J. Contrera
/ U. Gimenez
58'
65'
J. Sosa
/
J. Pereyra
65'
J. Burgos
/
B. Aguirre
J. Herrera
/ Diego Churin
68'
J. Mavilla
/ G. Gonzalez
68'
75'
G. Carrillo
/
A. Castro
⚽G. Gonzalez
· ast. J. Marabel
80'
J. Marabel
/ G. Arturia
82'
82'
J. Correa
86'
(missed pen.)
J. Correa⚽
90'+3
E. Mancuso
Pre-match prediction
35.88%
Sarmiento ←
29.78%
X
34.34%
Estudiantes
we assigned to the actual result (Sarmiento Junin)
35.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
1.49
+0.47
0.98
0.70
-0.28
Sarmiento Junin dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.70).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
T. Ayala
82'
G
T. Ayala
82'
G
3
L. Suárez
82'
D
L. Suárez
82'
D
2
J. Insaurralde
82'
D
J. Insaurralde
82'
D
44
R. Orihuela
82'
D
R. Orihuela
82'
D
8
S. Salle
82'
D
S. Salle
82'
D
21
J. Mavilla
1 👟
68'
M
J. Mavilla
1 👟
68'
M
16
Mauricio Leonel Martínez
1 ⚽
82'
M
Mauricio Leonel Martínez
1 ⚽
82'
M
15
C. Zabala
82'
M
C. Zabala
82'
M
19
J. Contrera
58'
M
J. Contrera
58'
M
24
J. Herrera
67'
F
J. Herrera
67'
F
27
J. Marabel
1 👟
81'
F
J. Marabel
1 👟
81'
F
Bench
17
A. Nadruz
M
A. Nadruz
M
9
D. Churín
15'
F
D. Churín
15'
F
23
E. Giménez
M
E. Giménez
M
6
G. Arturia
1'
D
G. Arturia
1'
D
33
G. Díaz
D
G. Díaz
D
11
G. González
1 ⚽
14'
F
G. González
1 ⚽
14'
F
1
I. Arboleda
G
I. Arboleda
G
5
M. García
M
M. García
M
77
N. Pasquini
D
N. Pasquini
D
7
P. Magnín
F
P. Magnín
F
29
T. Santamaría
D
T. Santamaría
D
20
U. Giménez
24'
D
U. Giménez
24'
D
16
F. Muslera
82'
G
F. Muslera
82'
G
36
J. Pereyra
65'
D
J. Pereyra
65'
D
24
T. Palacios
82'
D
T. Palacios
82'
D
35
V. Pierani
82'
D
V. Pierani
82'
D
20
E. Meza
45'
D
E. Meza
45'
D
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
82'
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
82'
M
22
A. Castro
75'
M
A. Castro
75'
M
28
B. Aguirre
65'
M
B. Aguirre
65'
M
32
J. Correa
82'
M
J. Correa
82'
M
29
F. Pérez Escudero
45'
M
F. Pérez Escudero
45'
M
27
L. Alario
82'
F
L. Alario
82'
F
Bench
31
B. Gallego
M
B. Gallego
M
18
E. Cetré
37'
F
E. Cetré
37'
F
40
E. Mancuso
37'
D
E. Mancuso
37'
D
11
F. Farías
M
F. Farías
M
1
F. Iacovich
G
F. Iacovich
G
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
9
G. Carrillo
7'
F
G. Carrillo
7'
F
8
G. Neves
M
G. Neves
M
17
J. Burgos
17'
F
J. Burgos
17'
F
7
J. Sosa
17'
M
J. Sosa
17'
M
26
R. Funes Mori
D
R. Funes Mori
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
Best on the pitch
T. Ayala
G · Sarmiento
8.90
· 25 pass
Mauricio Leonel Martínez
M · Sarmiento
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
G. González
F · Sarmiento
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
C. Zabala
M · Sarmiento
7.30
· 19 pass
F. Muslera
G · Estudiantes
7.30
· 20 pass
L. Suárez
D · Sarmiento
7.20
· 11 pass
Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ayala | G | 82 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Suárez | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 3% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Insaurralde | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Orihuela | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Salle | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Mavilla | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauricio Leonel Martínez | M | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Zabala | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Contrera | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Herrera | F | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Marabel | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Churín | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Arturia | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. González | F | 14 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| U. Giménez | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | D | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Pierani | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 67% | — | — | — |
| E. Meza | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Correa | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| F. Pérez Escudero | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Alario | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Cetré | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Mancuso | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 35% | — | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Burgos | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Sosa | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The final score was Sarmiento Junin 2–0 Estudiantes L.P..
What did the model predict before Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Sarmiento Junin win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an Estudiantes L.P. win.