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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 3 August 03, 2026 21:45
Sarmiento Junin
#2 · 15 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Independ. Rivadavia
#1 · 34 pts
M. Martinez 12'
J. Mavilla 37'
31' M. Fernandez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Sarmiento Junin 27%). The final result was Sarmiento Junin 2–1 Independ. Rivadavia. In 1 previous meetings, Sarmiento Junin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independ. Rivadavia.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
7
0.42
Actual xG
1.54
6
Saves
2
31%
Possession
69%
3
Corners
7
19
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Martinez
12'
31'
(missed pen.) M. Fernandez⚽
31'
M. Fernandez⚽
⚽J. Mavilla
37'
M. Martinez
41'
46'
A. Arce / M. Fernandez ↕
46'
L. Sequeira / R. Atencio ↕
46'
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla / T. Bottari ↕
↕ J. Contrera / U. Gimenez
53'
64'
G. Rios / L. Bucca ↕
↕ J. Mavilla / G. Gonzalez
73'
↕ J. Marabel / Diego Churin
73'
79'
J. M. Elordi / F. Sartori ↕
↕ J. Herrera / G. Arturia
87'
90'+3
I. Villalba
Pre-match prediction
27.64%
Sarmiento ←
28.88%
X
43.48%
Independ.
we assigned to the actual result (Sarmiento Junin) 27.64% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sarmiento
0.89
0.42
-0.47
Independ.
1.23
1.54
+0.31
Independ. Rivadavia dominated by xG (1.54 vs 0.42). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 8 17
2 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 8 15
3 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 8 15
4 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 9 14
5 River Plate River Plate 9 13
6 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 9 13
7 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 8 12
8 Tigre Tigre 8 12
9 Rosario Central Rosario Central 8 12
10 Barracas Central Barracas Central 8 11
11 Huracan Huracan 8 10
12 Banfield Banfield 8 7
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 8 6
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 9 5
15 Racing Club Racing Club 8 5
Lineups
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2
12 T. Ayala T. Ayala G 8.50
3 L. Suárez L. Suárez D 6.60
2 J. Insaurralde J. Insaurralde D 6.90
44 R. Orihuela R. Orihuela D 6.00
8 S. Salle S. Salle D 6.50
21 J. Mavilla J. Mavilla 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90
16 Mauricio Leonel Martínez Mauricio Leonel Martínez 1 ⚽ M 8.30
15 C. Zabala C. Zabala M 6.90
19 J. Contrera J. Contrera 53' M 6.20
27 J. Marabel J. Marabel 73' F 6.00
24 J. Herrera J. Herrera 87' F 6.30
Bench
9 D. Churín D. Churín 21' F 6.30
23 E. Giménez E. Giménez M
35 Facundo Alaggia Facundo Alaggia M
6 G. Arturia G. Arturia 7' D
33 G. Díaz G. Díaz D
11 G. González G. González 21' F 6.90
1 I. Arboleda I. Arboleda G
10 Jhon Rentería Jhon Rentería M
5 M. García M. García M
7 P. Magnín P. Magnín F
29 T. Santamaría T. Santamaría D
20 U. Giménez U. Giménez 41' D 7.20
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4-3-1-2
30 Nicolás Bolcato Nicolás Bolcato G 6.00
27 D. Crego D. Crego D 6.30
13 A. Osella A. Osella D 7.20
40 I. Villalba I. Villalba D 7.70
20 A. Riep A. Riep D 6.90
8 L. Bucca L. Bucca 64' M 6.30
5 T. Bottari T. Bottari 45' M 6.50
32 K. Vázquez K. Vázquez M 7.30
19 R. Atencio R. Atencio 45' M 5.70
43 F. Sartori F. Sartori 79' F 6.60
10 M. Fernández M. Fernández 1 ⚽ 45' F 6.30
Bench
9 A. Arce A. Arce 49' F 6.90
21 Emmanuel Gómez Emmanuel Gómez G
11 G. Ríos G. Ríos 30' M 6.70
3 J. Elordi J. Elordi 15' D 6.50
25 J. Florentín J. Florentín 49' M 6.60
2 L. Costa L. Costa D
45 L. Sabato L. Sabato F
77 L. Sequeira L. Sequeira 49' M 6.90
55 Matías Salvo Matías Salvo D
42 Sheyko Studer Sheyko Studer D
34 S. Moreyra S. Moreyra M
7 V. Ramis V. Ramis F
Best on the pitch
T. Ayala
T. Ayala
G · Sarmiento
8.50
· 33 pass
Mauricio Leonel Martínez
Mauricio Leonel Martínez
M · Sarmiento
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
J. Mavilla
J. Mavilla
M · Sarmiento
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
I. Villalba
I. Villalba
D · Independ.
7.70
· 41 pass
K. Vázquez
K. Vázquez
M · Independ.
7.30
1 shots · 63 pass
U. Giménez
U. Giménez
D · Sarmiento
7.20
1 shots · 2 pass
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Ayala G 94 8.50 — — — 33 16% — — —
L. Suárez D 94 6.60 — — — 15 10% 3 — —
J. Insaurralde D 94 6.90 — — 1 17 8% 1 — —
R. Orihuela D 94 6.00 — — — 13 3% — — —
S. Salle D 94 6.50 — — — 8 4% — — —
J. Mavilla M 73 7.90 1 — 1 15 10% 1 — —
Mauricio Leonel Martínez M 94 8.30 1 — 3 24 18% 5 1 —
C. Zabala M 94 6.90 — — — 25 21% 2 — —
J. Contrera M 53 6.20 — — — 14 7% 2 — —
J. Marabel F 73 6.00 — — — 13 7% — — —
J. Herrera F 87 6.30 — — — 12 7% 2 — —
D. Churín F 21 6.30 — — — 7 3% 1 — —
G. Arturia D 7 — — — — — — — — —
G. González F 21 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
U. Giménez D 41 7.20 — — 1 2 2% 2 — —
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nicolás Bolcato G 94 6.00 — — — 14 13% — — —
D. Crego D 94 6.30 — — — 31 22% 4 — —
A. Osella D 94 7.20 — — 3 43 36% 4 — —
I. Villalba D 94 7.70 — — — 41 37% 6 1 —
A. Riep D 94 6.90 — — — 48 40% 2 — —
L. Bucca M 64 6.30 — — 1 27 20% — — —
T. Bottari M 45 6.50 — — — 24 21% 1 — —
K. Vázquez M 94 7.30 — — 1 63 58% — — —
R. Atencio M 45 5.70 — — — 25 16% — — —
F. Sartori F 79 6.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
M. Fernández F 45 6.30 1 — 6 18 16% — — —
A. Arce F 49 6.90 — — 1 6 5% 2 — —
G. Ríos M 30 6.70 — — — 21 18% — — —
J. Elordi D 15 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
J. Florentín M 49 6.60 — — 1 29 23% — — —
L. Sequeira M 49 6.90 — — — 33 27% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sarmiento Junin vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The final score was Sarmiento Junin 2–1 Independ. Rivadavia.
What did the model predict before Sarmiento Junin vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Sarmiento Junin win, 28% to a draw, and 43% to an Independ. Rivadavia win.