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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 15 October 31, 2026 01:15 Estadio Eva Peron, Hu Ning
Sarmiento Junin
#9 · 21 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Rosario Central
#1 · 34 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Rosario Central
Manuel García (ast. Julian Mavilla) 5'
29' (ast. Enzo Copetti) Gaston Avila
90'+5 (ast. Ignacio Ovando) Gaston Avila
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Sarmiento Junin 21%). The final result was Sarmiento Junin 1–2 Rosario Central. In 1 previous meetings, Sarmiento Junin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rosario Central.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
17
2
Shots on target
6
0.88
Actual xG
1.56
4
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
13
20
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Manuel García · ast. Julian Mavilla
5'
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
11'
Elián Giménez
13'
29'
ast. Enzo Copetti · Gaston Avila⚽
31'
Álan Rodríguez
Julian Mavilla
43'
↕ Cristian Exequiel Zabala / Mauricio Martínez
44'
Thiago Santamaría
51'
↕ Thiago Santamaría / Santiago Salle
55'
↕ Julian Mavilla / Renzo Orihuela
55'
57'
Juan Giménez / Franco Cervi ↕
59'
Julian Fernandez / Ángel Di María ↕
65'
Emanuel Coronel
Renzo Orihuela
67'
75'
Marco Ruben / Álan Rodríguez ↕
76'
Elías Enzo Verón / Emanuel Coronel ↕
↕ Junior Marabel / Jonathan Herrera
82'
↕ Manuel García / Gastón Alberto Arturia
82'
88'
90'+5
ast. Ignacio Ovando · Gaston Avila⚽
Santiago Salle
90'
Pre-match prediction
21.03%
Sarmiento
20.45%
X
58.52%
Rosario ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central) 58.52% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sarmiento
1.15
0.88
-0.27
Rosario
2.28
1.56
-0.72
Rosario Central dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.88). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 34
2 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 31
3 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 31
4 River Plate River Plate 16 26
5 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 26
6 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 23
7 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 23
8 Huracan Huracan 16 22
9 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 19
11 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 18
12 Banfield Banfield 16 15
13 Racing Club Racing Club 16 15
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 11
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 9
Lineups
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 3-4-2-1
12 T. Ayala T. Ayala G 6.21
3 L. Suárez L. Suárez D 6.43
2 J. Insaurralde J. Insaurralde D 5.50
29 T. Santamaría T. Santamaría 55' D 6.05
11 G. González G. González M 6.34
15 C. Zabala C. Zabala 44' M 5.67
5 M. García M. García 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.51
20 U. Giménez U. Giménez M 6.72
21 J. Mavilla J. Mavilla 1 👟 55' M 7.03
23 E. Giménez E. Giménez M 6.09
27 J. Marabel J. Marabel 82' F 6.36
Bench
9 D. Churín D. Churín F 0.00
35 F. Alaggia F. Alaggia M 0.00
6 G. Arturia G. Arturia 8' D 6.10
1 I. Arboleda I. Arboleda G 0.00
24 J. Herrera J. Herrera 8' F 6.18
16 Mauricio Leonel Martínez Mauricio Leonel Martínez 46' M 5.97
77 N. Pasquini N. Pasquini D 0.00
7 P. Magnín P. Magnín F 0.00
36 R. Maisterra R. Maisterra M 0.00
44 R. Orihuela R. Orihuela 12' D 5.07
8 S. Salle S. Salle 35' F 5.46
26 Y. Arismendi Y. Arismendi M 0.00
Rosario Central Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
23 J. Ledesma J. Ledesma G 6.22
3 A. Sandez A. Sandez D 6.12
13 G. Ávila G. Ávila 2 ⚽ D 8.75
46 Ignacio Ovando Ignacio Ovando 1 👟 D 7.00
32 E. Coronel E. Coronel 76' D 6.29
20 V. Pizarro V. Pizarro M 6.33
88 A. Rodríguez A. Rodríguez 75' M 6.07
8 J. Campaz J. Campaz M 7.20
10 F. Cervi F. Cervi 57' M 6.45
11 Á. Di María Á. Di María 59' M 6.43
22 E. Copetti E. Copetti 1 👟 F 6.68
Bench
33 A. Soto A. Soto D 0.00
1 A. Werner A. Werner G 0.00
42 E. Veron E. Veron 14' D 6.93
15 F. Mallo F. Mallo D 0.00
18 J. Fernández J. Fernández 31' F 6.43
24 Juan Valentín Giménez Juan Valentín Giménez 33' D 6.54
35 L. Ramos L. Ramos D 0.00
19 L. Segovia L. Segovia M 0.00
9 M. Ruben M. Ruben 15' F 6.65
2 S. Zaracho S. Zaracho D 0.00
16 T. Badaloni T. Badaloni F 0.00
Best on the pitch
G. Ávila
G. Ávila
D · Rosario
8.75
2 ⚽
5 shots · 50 pass
M. García
M. García
M · Sarmiento
7.51
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
J. Campaz
J. Campaz
M · Rosario
7.20
2 shots · 32 pass
J. Mavilla
J. Mavilla
M · Sarmiento
7.03
1 👟
· 16 pass
Ignacio Ovando
Ignacio Ovando
D · Rosario
7.00
1 👟
· 69 pass
E. Veron
E. Veron
D · Rosario
6.93
· 3 pass
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Ayala G 90 6.21 — — 0 27 7% 0 — —
L. Suárez D 90 6.43 — — 1 32 26% 3 — —
J. Insaurralde D 90 5.50 — — 0 28 19% 1 1 —
T. Santamaría D 55 6.05 — — 1 10 8% 5 1 —
G. González M 90 6.34 — — 0 15 11% 1 — —
C. Zabala M 44 5.67 — — 1 22 15% 1 — —
M. García M 82 7.51 1 — 3 18 10% 3 — —
U. Giménez M 90 6.72 — — 0 15 10% 4 — —
J. Mavilla M 55 7.03 — 1 0 16 12% 2 1 —
E. Giménez M 90 6.09 — — 0 22 19% 0 1 —
J. Marabel F 82 6.36 — — 1 13 8% 0 — —
G. Arturia D 8 6.10 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
J. Herrera F 8 6.18 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
Mauricio Leonel Martínez M 46 5.97 — — 0 14 9% 0 — —
R. Orihuela D 12 5.07 — — 0 3 2% 0 — 1
S. Salle F 35 5.46 — — 0 1 1% 0 — 1
Rosario Central Rosario Central — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Ledesma G 90 6.22 — — 0 18 14% 0 — —
A. Sandez D 90 6.12 — — 0 38 31% 1 — —
G. Ávila D 90 8.75 2 — 5 50 40% 0 — —
Ignacio Ovando D 90 7.00 — 1 0 69 57% 1 — —
E. Coronel D 76 6.29 — — 2 25 21% 1 1 —
V. Pizarro M 90 6.33 — — 1 66 55% 0 — —
A. Rodríguez M 75 6.07 — — 1 28 23% 0 1 —
J. Campaz M 90 7.20 — — 2 32 25% 2 — —
F. Cervi M 57 6.45 — — 1 26 19% 4 — —
Á. Di María M 59 6.43 — — 0 31 22% 0 — —
E. Copetti F 90 6.68 — 1 2 17 14% 1 — —
E. Veron D 14 6.93 — — 0 3 1% 3 — —
J. Fernández F 31 6.43 — — 2 14 10% 0 — —
Juan Valentín Giménez D 33 6.54 — — 0 19 14% 2 — —
M. Ruben F 15 6.65 — — 1 0 0% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
The final score was Sarmiento Junin 1–2 Rosario Central.
What did the model predict before Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Sarmiento Junin win, 20% to a draw, and 58% to an Rosario Central win.