Serie D - Girone G
· Group G - 4
September 20, 2026 16:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sarnese a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Gelbison 31%). The final result was Sarnese 3–1 Gelbison.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
36.34%
Sarnese ←
32.49%
X
31.17%
Gelbison
we assigned to the actual result (Sarnese)
36.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
—
—
0.70
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sarnese vs Gelbison?
The final score was Sarnese 3–1 Gelbison.
What did the model predict before Sarnese vs Gelbison?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sarnese win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Gelbison win.