Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Aalesund — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — October 25, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12 October 25, 2026 17:00 Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg

Sarpsborg 08 FF

#7 · 31 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Aalesund

#14 · 24 pts

Camil Mmaee Nwameben (ast. Daniel Seland Karlsbakk) 85'

Anders Hiim 90'+4

19' (ast. Sander Erik Kartum) Mathias Christensen

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sarpsborg 08 FF a 48% win probability (draw 20%, Aalesund 31%). The final result was Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Aalesund. In 1 previous meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Aalesund.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.29

Actual xG

0.32

Saves

72%

Possession

28%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

Sigurd Rosted

13'

19'

ast. Sander Erik Kartum · Mathias Christensen⚽

35'

Ólafur Gudmundsson

40'

Emil Engqvist / Stefano Vecchia ↕

45'

Paul Ngongo / Isak Gabriel Skotheim ↕

↕ Peter Reinhardsen / Anders Hiim

45'

↕ Noa Williams / Bop Guèye

45'

47'

Marius Andresen

↕ Bjorn Utvik / Marius Lode

62'

↕ Sander Johan Christiansen / Aimar Sher

62'

↕ Eirik Wichne / Camil Mmaee Nwameben

79'

Daniel Seland Karlsbakk

80'

84'

Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen / Marius Andresen ↕

⚽Camil Mmaee Nwameben · ast. Daniel Seland Karlsbakk

85'

⚽Anders Hiim

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

48.52%

Sarpsborg ←

20.13%

31.35%

Aalesund

we assigned to the actual result (Sarpsborg 08 FF) 48.52% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sarpsborg

2.16

2.29

+0.13

Aalesund

1.74

0.32

-1.42

Sarpsborg 08 FF dominated by xG (2.29 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2

L. Øy G 6.40

P. Reinhardsen 45' D 6.86

S. Rosted D 6.56

B. Utvik 62' D 6.79

E. Wichne 79' D 7.54

N. Williams 45' M 6.23

O. Skarsem M 7.05

S. Christiansen 62' M 6.52

S. Sørli M 6.94

D. Karlsbakk 1 👟 F 7.26

V. Halvorsen F 6.35

Bench

A. Hiim 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.73

A. Nibe M 0.00

A. Sher 28' M 6.76

Bop Gueye 45' M 6.74

Camil Mmaee Nwameben 1 ⚽ 11' M 7.84

C. Niyukuri D 0.00

J. Pryts G 0.00

L. Høyland D 0.00

M. Lode 28' D 6.55

Aalesund 5-3-2

Luca Podlech G 5.55

U. Charles D 6.30

Ó. Guðmundsson 35' D 5.53

D. Mbacke D 6.75

M. Andresen 84' D 6.24

K. Nessø D 6.09

S. Kartum 1 👟 M 7.08

E. Hagen M 6.22

M. Christensen 1 ⚽ M 7.06

S. Vecchia 40' F 6.35

I. Skotheim 45' F 6.52

Bench

A. Hammer Kjelsen 6' D 6.42

E. Engqvist 50' D 5.96

E. Myrlid F 0.00

E. Osenbroch M 0.00

J. Ørsahl D 0.00

P. Ngongo 45' F 6.38

T. Larsen G 0.00

T. Leikanger M 0.00

Best on the pitch

Camil Mmaee Nwameben

M · Sarpsborg

7.84

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

A. Hiim

D · Sarpsborg

7.73

1 ⚽

1 shots · 34 pass

E. Wichne

D · Sarpsborg

7.54

2 shots · 73 pass

D. Karlsbakk

F · Sarpsborg

7.26

1 👟

5 shots · 13 pass

S. Kartum

M · Aalesund

7.08

1 👟

2 shots · 15 pass

M. Christensen

M · Aalesund

7.06

1 ⚽

3 shots · 25 pass

Sarpsborg 08 FF — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Øy	G	90	6.40	—	—	0	21	18%	0	—	—
P. Reinhardsen	D	45	6.86	—	—	1	27	25%	0	—	—
S. Rosted	D	90	6.56	—	—	2	77	69%	1	1	—
B. Utvik	D	62	6.79	—	—	1	50	44%	0	—	—
E. Wichne	D	79	7.54	—	—	2	73	64%	3	—	—
N. Williams	M	45	6.23	—	—	0	11	9%	1	—	—
O. Skarsem	M	90	7.05	—	—	5	72	62%	0	—	—
S. Christiansen	M	62	6.52	—	—	3	41	37%	1	—	—
S. Sørli	M	90	6.94	—	—	2	38	34%	0	—	—
D. Karlsbakk	F	90	7.26	—	1	5	13	5%	0	1	—
V. Halvorsen	F	90	6.35	—	—	4	36	28%	1	—	—
A. Hiim	D	45	7.73	1	—	1	34	31%	2	—	—
A. Sher	M	28	6.76	—	—	0	27	24%	0	—	—
Bop Gueye	M	45	6.74	—	—	6	10	6%	0	—	—
Camil Mmaee Nwameben	M	11	7.84	1	—	1	4	3%	0	—	—
M. Lode	D	28	6.55	—	—	0	19	18%	0	—	—

Aalesund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Luca Podlech	G	90	5.55	—	—	0	39	15%	0	—	—
U. Charles	D	90	6.30	—	—	0	25	17%	6	—	—
Ó. Guðmundsson	D	35	5.53	—	—	0	13	12%	0	—	1
D. Mbacke	D	90	6.75	—	—	0	11	9%	1	—	—
M. Andresen	D	84	6.24	—	—	0	20	16%	2	1	—
K. Nessø	D	90	6.09	—	—	1	21	13%	3	—	—
S. Kartum	M	90	7.08	—	1	2	15	10%	3	—	—
E. Hagen	M	90	6.22	—	—	1	18	12%	0	—	—
M. Christensen	M	90	7.06	1	—	3	25	15%	0	—	—
S. Vecchia	F	40	6.35	—	—	0	6	4%	0	—	—
I. Skotheim	F	45	6.52	—	—	0	13	10%	1	—	—
A. Hammer Kjelsen	D	6	6.42	—	—	0	1	0%	0	—	—
E. Engqvist	D	50	5.96	—	—	0	10	4%	1	—	—
P. Ngongo	F	45	6.38	—	—	0	11	5%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?

The final score was Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Aalesund.

What did the model predict before Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?

The model assigned 48% probability to a Sarpsborg 08 FF win, 20% to a draw, and 31% to an Aalesund win.