✗Model wrong — prediction Sarpsborg 08 FF, result Sandefjord wins
D. Karlsbakk
(ast. S. Sorli)
37'
29'
O. Kapskarmo
57'
(ast. O. Kapskarmo)
F. Apetorgbor
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sarpsborg 08 FF a 67% win probability (draw 18%, Sandefjord 13%). The final result was Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–2 Sandefjord. In 1 previous meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sandefjord.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
7
1.98
Actual xG
1.50
8
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
6
16
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
T. Borkeeiet
29'
O. Kapskarmo⚽
⚽D. Karlsbakk
· ast. S. Sorli
37'
46'
G. Hojbjerg
/
H. Krogelien
50'
E. Pettersen
54'
F. Apetorgbor
/
E. Patoulidis
57'
ast. O. Kapskarmo ·
F. Apetorgbor⚽
C. Niyukuri
/ V. E. Halvorsen
65'
A. Nibe
/ M. Opoku
65'
E. Wichne
/ P. Reinhardsen
65'
S. Sorli
/ Camil Mmaee
75'
78'
S. Mathisen
/
O. Kapskarmo
A. Sher
81'
A. Sher
/ N. Williams
86'
90'
J. Swift
/
E. Pettersen
90'
Pre-match prediction
67.79%
Sarpsborg
18.27%
X
13.94%
Sandefjord ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sandefjord)
13.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.23
1.98
-0.25
0.71
1.50
+0.79
Sarpsborg 08 FF dominated by xG (1.98 vs 1.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
87
L. Øy
G
L. Øy
G
21
A. Hiim
D
A. Hiim
D
2
M. Lode
D
M. Lode
D
12
C. Niyukuri
65'
D
C. Niyukuri
65'
D
32
E. Wichne
65'
D
E. Wichne
65'
D
77
O. Skarsem
M
O. Skarsem
M
6
A. Sher
86'
M
A. Sher
86'
M
8
S. Christiansen
M
S. Christiansen
M
10
S. Sørli
1 👟
75'
M
S. Sørli
1 👟
75'
M
33
A. Nibe
65'
F
A. Nibe
65'
F
11
D. Karlsbakk
1 ⚽
F
D. Karlsbakk
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
Bop Gueye
M
Bop Gueye
M
7
Camil Mmaee
18'
M
Camil Mmaee
18'
M
1
J. Pryts
G
J. Pryts
G
56
Mads Olsen
M
Mads Olsen
M
50
Magnus Mevik Eidal
D
Magnus Mevik Eidal
D
15
M. Opoku
28'
M
M. Opoku
28'
M
17
N. Williams
7'
M
N. Williams
7'
M
20
Peter Reinhardsen
28'
D
Peter Reinhardsen
28'
D
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
28'
M
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
28'
M
30
E. Hadaya
G
E. Hadaya
G
3
V. Egeli
D
V. Egeli
D
44
X. Lambrix
D
X. Lambrix
D
8
T. Børkeeiet
D
T. Børkeeiet
D
16
H. Krogelien
45'
D
H. Krogelien
45'
D
4
F. Pedersen
D
F. Pedersen
D
27
Jakob Maslo Dunsby
M
Jakob Maslo Dunsby
M
6
S. Mørk
M
S. Mørk
M
14
E. Pettersen
M
E. Pettersen
M
7
E. Patoulidis
53'
M
E. Patoulidis
53'
M
9
O. Kapskarmo
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
F
O. Kapskarmo
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
F
Bench
17
A. Foster
1 ⚽
40'
F
A. Foster
1 ⚽
40'
F
1
A. Grønneberg
G
A. Grønneberg
G
19
Bendik Berntsen
F
Bendik Berntsen
F
32
Daniel Skaarud
F
Daniel Skaarud
F
5
G. Højbjerg
48'
D
G. Højbjerg
48'
D
21
Jakob Swift
3'
M
Jakob Swift
3'
M
18
Mathias Sauer
M
Mathias Sauer
M
2
M. Hellan
D
M. Hellan
D
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
15'
F
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
15'
F
Best on the pitch
E. Hadaya
G · Sandefjord
8.30
· 32 pass
O. Kapskarmo
F · Sandefjord
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 16 pass
O. Skarsem
M · Sarpsborg
7.90
· 52 pass
S. Sørli
M · Sarpsborg
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 15 pass
D. Karlsbakk
F · Sarpsborg
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
L. Øy
G · Sarpsborg
7.30
· 34 pass
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Øy | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Hiim | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Lode | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Niyukuri | D | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| E. Wichne | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Skarsem | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sher | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Christiansen | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Sørli | M | 75 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Nibe | F | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Karlsbakk | F | 93 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Camil Mmaee | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Opoku | M | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. Williams | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Peter Reinhardsen | D | 28 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Emanuel Halvorsen | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
Sandefjord — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hadaya | G | 93 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| V. Egeli | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| X. Lambrix | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Børkeeiet | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Krogelien | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Pedersen | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Jakob Maslo Dunsby | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mørk | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 34 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Pettersen | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Patoulidis | M | 53 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Kapskarmo | F | 78 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Foster | F | 40 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Højbjerg | D | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakob Swift | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Holm Mathisen | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?
The final score was Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–2 Sandefjord.
What did the model predict before Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Sarpsborg 08 FF win, 18% to a draw, and 13% to an Sandefjord win.