Sasso Marconi Zola - San Donato Tavarnelle
Serie D - Girone E
September 13, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.23%
Win
Sasso Marconi Zola
31.36%
Draw
31.4%
Win
San Donato Tavarnelle
4.5
0.52
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.6%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
31%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sasso Marconi Zola a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for San Donato Tavarnelle. Expected goals are 4.5 for Sasso Marconi Zola and 0.5 for San Donato Tavarnelle (total 5.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.6% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
4W
5D
6L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.9
1.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
53%
100%
O 2.5
20%
100%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone E. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Sasso Marconi Zola
San Donato Tavarnelle →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 1 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 5 | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
W
1–2
Playing profile
Sasso Marconi Zola
Attack
50
Defence
75
Form
66
San Donato Tavarnelle
Attack
14
Defence
45
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Robur Siena
|
2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Gavorrano
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Montevarchi Calcio
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Flaminia
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Terranuova Traiana
|
2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Lucchese
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
San Donato Tavarnelle
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Sasso Marconi Zola
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Prato
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Progresso
|
2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Tau Altopascio
|
2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Rondinella
|
1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Scandicci
|
2 | 1 |
| 14 |
Ternana
|
2 | 1 |
| 15 |
Mezzolara
|
2 | 1 |
| 16 |
Seravezza
|
1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Grassina
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
|
2 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sasso Marconi Zola vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
The model gives Sasso Marconi Zola a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an San Donato Tavarnelle win.
How many goals are expected in Sasso Marconi Zola vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Expected goals: Sasso Marconi Zola 4.5, San Donato Tavarnelle 0.5 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Sasso Marconi Zola vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.