Serie A
· Regular Season - 35
May 03, 2026 15:00
D. Berardi
(ast. A. Lauriente)
5'
A. Lauriente
(ast. K. Thorstvedt)
47'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 37% win probability (draw 35%, Sassuolo 27%). The final result was Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan. In 1 previous meetings, Sassuolo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AC Milan.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
0
1.57
Actual xG
0.24
0
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
3
12
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. Berardi
· ast. A. Lauriente
5'
9'
F. Tomori
24'
F. Tomori
24'
F. Tomori
N. Matic
38'
J. Idzes
/ W. Coulibaly
40'
46'
Z. Athekame
/
C. Nkunku
N. Matic
/ L. Lipani
46'
⚽A. Lauriente
· ast. K. Thorstvedt
47'
U. Garcia
57'
59'
R. Loftus-Cheek
/
A. Saelemaekers
59'
S. Gimenez
/
R. Leao
59'
C. Pulisic
/
Y. Fofana
D. Berardi
/ C. Volpato
59'
66'
S. Ricci
/
A. Jashari
71'
S. Ricci
77'
R. Loftus-Cheek
M. Nzola
/ A. Pinamonti
84'
A. Lauriente
/ A. Fadera
84'
C. Volpato
89'
A. Fadera
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
27.1%
Sassuolo ←
35.51%
X
37.39%
AC
we assigned to the actual result (Sassuolo)
27.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.83
1.57
+0.74
1.02
0.24
-0.78
Sassuolo dominated by xG (1.57 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
23
U. Garcia
D
80
Tarik Muharemović
D
21
J. Idzes
40'
D
6
S. Walukiewicz
D
42
K. Thorstvedt
1 👟
M
K. Thorstvedt
1 👟
M
18
N. Matic
45'
M
90
I. Kone
M
45
A. Laurienté
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
A. Laurienté
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
8
M. Nzola
84'
F
10
D. Berardi
1 ⚽
59'
F
D. Berardi
1 ⚽
59'
F
Bench
20
A. Fadera
7'
F
99
A. Pinamonti
7'
F
A. Pinamonti
7'
F
7
C. Volpato
32'
M
19
F. Romagna
D
3
J. Doig
D
35
L. Lipani
46'
M
16
G
31
S. Pavlović
D
S. Pavlović
D
46
D
23
F. Tomori
24'
D
2
Pervis Estupiñán
M
Pervis Estupiñán
M
12
A. Rabiot
M
A. Rabiot
M
30
Ardon Jashari
66'
M
Ardon Jashari
66'
M
19
Youssouf Fofana
59'
M
Youssouf Fofana
59'
M
56
A. Saelemaekers
59'
M
A. Saelemaekers
59'
M
10
Rafael Leão
59'
F
Rafael Leão
59'
F
18
Christopher Nkunku
45'
F
Christopher Nkunku
45'
F
Bench
11
C. Pulišić
32'
M
C. Pulišić
32'
M
33
Davide Bartesaghi
D
Davide Bartesaghi
D
5
Koni De Winter
D
Koni De Winter
D
9
N. Füllkrug
F
N. Füllkrug
F
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
32'
M
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
32'
M
4
Samuele Ricci
25'
M
Samuele Ricci
25'
M
24
Zachary Athekame
46'
D
Zachary Athekame
46'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Laurienté
F · Sassuolo
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 36 pass
Tarik Muharemović
D · Sassuolo
7.50
· 68 pass
S. Walukiewicz
D · Sassuolo
7.50
· 45 pass
D. Berardi
F · Sassuolo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
K. Thorstvedt
M · Sassuolo
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 61 pass
N. Matic
M · Sassuolo
7.30
· 46 pass
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| U. Garcia | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 65 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tarik Muharemović | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Idzes | D | 40 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Walukiewicz | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 44% | — | — | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 61 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Matic | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Kone | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Laurienté | F | 84 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Nzola | F | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Berardi | F | 59 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Fadera | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pinamonti | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Volpato | M | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Lipani | M | 46 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
AC Milan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| S. Pavlović | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 50% | — | — | — |
| D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Tomori | D | 24 | 3.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Pervis Estupiñán | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Ardon Jashari | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Youssouf Fofana | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Saelemaekers | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Christopher Nkunku | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Samuele Ricci | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Zachary Athekame | D | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The final score was Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Sassuolo win, 35% to a draw, and 37% to an AC Milan win.