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Serie A · Regular Season - 6 October 11, 2026 18:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Sassuolo
#14 · 8 pts
1 – 1
Final score
AC Milan
#5 · 18 pts
Cas Odenthal 68'
63' (ast. Luka Modrić) Adrien Rabiot
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sassuolo a 34% win probability (draw 30%, AC Milan 34%). The final result was Sassuolo 1–1 AC Milan. In 2 previous meetings, Sassuolo have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AC Milan.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
1.14
Actual xG
1.22
5
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
5
22
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
20'
Koni De Winter / Matteo Gabbia ↕
↕ Fedde Leysen / Cas Odenthal
26'
41'
Pervis Estupinan
45'+3
Koni De Winter
45'
Luka Modrić / Pervis Estupinan ↕
↕ Sebastiano Esposito / Kieron Bowie
60'
↕ Vasilije Adzic / Kristian Thorstvedt
60'
63'
ast. Luka Modrić · Adrien Rabiot⚽
⚽Cas Odenthal
68'
78'
Ardon Jashari / Yunus Musah ↕
78'
Alphadjo Cissè / Christian Pulisic ↕
↕ Ignace Van der Brempt / Simone Cinquegrano
79'
↕ Nemanja Matić / Luca Lipani
79'
85'
Omari Hutchinson / Samuel Chukwueze ↕
87'
Gonçalo Ramos
90'+1
Strahinja Pavlovic
Kristian Thorstvedt
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
34.74%
Sassuolo
30.39%
X ←
34.87%
AC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.39% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sassuolo
1.33
1.14
-0.19
AC
1.18
1.22
+0.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 1.22). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Sassuolo Sassuolo 4-3-3
49 A. Murić A. Murić G 7.75
3 J. Doig J. Doig D 6.72
16 F. Leysen F. Leysen 26' D 6.54
15 D. Ćaleta-Car D. Ćaleta-Car D 6.96
20 I. Van der Brempt I. Van der Brempt 79' D 7.05
50 D. Bakola D. Bakola M 6.71
18 N. Matić N. Matić 79' M 6.29
17 Vasilije Adžić Vasilije Adžić 60' M 5.94
45 A. Laurienté A. Laurienté F 6.47
94 S. Esposito S. Esposito 60' F 6.89
10 D. Berardi D. Berardi F 6.31
Bench
8 A. Ghion A. Ghion M 0.00
25 B. Domínguez B. Domínguez F 0.00
26 C. Odenthal C. Odenthal 1 ⚽ 64' D 8.42
7 C. Volpato C. Volpato M 0.00
5 Fali Candé Fali Candé D 0.00
12 G. Satalino G. Satalino G 0.00
55 I. Sulemana I. Sulemana M 0.00
9 K. Bowie K. Bowie 30' F 6.83
42 K. Thorstvedt K. Thorstvedt 30' M 6.03
35 L. Lipani L. Lipani 11' M 6.42
19 L. Skjellerup L. Skjellerup F 0.00
33 Rafael Obrador Rafael Obrador D 0.00
46 S. Cinquegrano S. Cinquegrano 11' M 6.42
80 S. Turati S. Turati G 0.00
6 S. Walukiewicz S. Walukiewicz D 0.00
AC Milan AC Milan 4-4-1-1
16 M. Maignan M. Maignan G 6.89
2 P. Estupiñán P. Estupiñán 46' D 6.37
31 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović D 6.53
46 M. Gabbia M. Gabbia 20' D 6.54
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila D 7.05
22 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira M 7.20
12 A. Rabiot A. Rabiot 1 ⚽ M 7.88
80 Y. Musah Y. Musah 78' M 6.70
21 S. Chukwueze S. Chukwueze 85' M 6.08
11 C. Pulišić C. Pulišić 78' M 6.76
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos F 6.20
Bench
70 A. Cissè A. Cissè 12' M 6.42
30 A. Jashari A. Jashari 12' M 6.35
28 C. Comotto C. Comotto M 0.00
33 D. Bartesaghi D. Bartesaghi D 0.00
73 F. Camarda F. Camarda F 0.00
42 F. Terracciano F. Terracciano D 0.00
23 F. Tomori F. Tomori D 0.00
5 K. De Winter K. De Winter 70' D 6.75
14 L. Modrić L. Modrić 1 👟 44' M 6.92
41 L. P. Bouyer L. P. Bouyer G 0.00
96 L. Torriani L. Torriani G 0.00
20 O. Hutchinson O. Hutchinson 5' F 6.59
8 R. Loftus-Cheek R. Loftus-Cheek M 0.00
13 S. Bocoum S. Bocoum D 0.00
Best on the pitch
C. Odenthal
C. Odenthal
D · Sassuolo
8.42
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
M · AC
7.88
1 ⚽
2 shots · 59 pass
A. Murić
A. Murić
G · Sassuolo
7.75
· 23 pass
Diego Moreira
Diego Moreira
M · AC
7.20
2 shots · 53 pass
I. Van der Brempt
I. Van der Brempt
D · Sassuolo
7.05
· 35 pass
Mario Gila
Mario Gila
D · AC
7.05
· 63 pass
Sassuolo Sassuolo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Murić G 90 7.75 — — 0 23 19% 0 — —
J. Doig D 90 6.72 — — 1 34 28% 2 — —
F. Leysen D 26 6.54 — — 0 19 17% 0 — —
D. Ćaleta-Car D 90 6.96 — — 0 47 44% 0 — —
I. Van der Brempt D 79 7.05 — — 0 35 32% 5 — —
D. Bakola M 90 6.71 — — 1 49 46% 2 — —
N. Matić M 79 6.29 — — 0 50 42% 2 — —
Vasilije Adžić M 60 5.94 — — 1 20 16% 1 — —
A. Laurienté F 90 6.47 — — 2 38 32% 1 — —
S. Esposito F 60 6.89 — — 0 22 17% 4 — —
D. Berardi F 90 6.31 — — 1 45 36% 2 — —
C. Odenthal D 64 8.42 1 — 1 30 26% 1 — —
K. Bowie F 30 6.83 — — 2 5 5% 0 — —
K. Thorstvedt M 30 6.03 — — 1 18 18% 0 1 —
L. Lipani M 11 6.42 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
S. Cinquegrano M 11 6.42 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
AC Milan AC Milan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Maignan G 90 6.89 — — 0 34 29% 0 — —
P. Estupiñán D 46 6.37 — — 0 25 23% 2 1 —
S. Pavlović D 90 6.53 — — 1 81 75% 3 1 —
M. Gabbia D 20 6.54 — — 0 14 12% 0 — —
Mario Gila D 90 7.05 — — 0 63 61% 2 — —
Diego Moreira M 90 7.20 — — 2 53 45% 1 — —
A. Rabiot M 90 7.88 1 — 2 59 50% 2 — —
Y. Musah M 78 6.70 — — 0 60 56% 0 — —
S. Chukwueze M 85 6.08 — — 1 34 27% 0 — —
C. Pulišić M 78 6.76 — — 1 41 36% 2 — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 90 6.20 — — 4 19 14% 1 1 —
A. Cissè M 12 6.42 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
A. Jashari M 12 6.35 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
K. De Winter D 70 6.75 — — 0 72 72% 3 1 —
L. Modrić M 44 6.92 — 1 0 53 47% 1 — —
O. Hutchinson F 5 6.59 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The final score was Sassuolo 1–1 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Sassuolo win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an AC Milan win.