Sassuolo - Cesena
Coppa Italia
August 17, 2026 18:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.48%
Win
Sassuolo
32.71%
Draw
30.81%
Win
Cesena
1.84
0.83
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(16.3%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
33%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
64%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sassuolo a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Cesena. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sassuolo and 0.8 for Cesena (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 16.3% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
0W
1D
0L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
0.0
1.5
Conceded
0.0
4.0
Shots OT
2.0
6.5
Corners
3.0
38%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
0%
50%
O 2.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Coppa Italia. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Sassuolo
Cesena →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 12.8% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sassuolo
Attack
50
Defence
66
Form
60
Cesena
Attack
33
Defence
63
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sassuolo vs Cesena?
The model gives Sassuolo a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 30% for an Cesena win.
How many goals are expected in Sassuolo vs Cesena?
Expected goals: Sassuolo 1.8, Cesena 0.8 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Sassuolo vs Cesena?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.3%.