Serie A
· Regular Season - 33
April 17, 2026 20:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Como, result Sassuolo vince
C. Volpato
(ast. M. Nzola)
42'
M. Nzola
(ast. A. Lauriente)
44'
45'+2
(ast. I. Smolcic)
N. Paz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Como a 51% win probability (draw 21%, Sassuolo 27%). The final result was Sassuolo 2–1 Como. In 2 previous meetings, Sassuolo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Como.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.26
Actual xG
0.59
2
Saves
2
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
8
23
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
J. Ramon
26'
A. Morata
⚽C. Volpato
· ast. M. Nzola
42'
⚽M. Nzola
· ast. A. Lauriente
44'
45'+2
ast. I. Smolcic ·
N. Paz⚽
46'
M. Vojvoda
/
I. Smolcic
46'
M. Perrone
/
M. Caqueret
46'
A. Douvikas
/
M. Baturina
I. Kone
51'
60'
J. Rodriguez
/
A. Diao
C. Volpato
64'
C. Volpato
/ A. Fadera
64'
72'
N. Kuhn
/
L. Da Cunha
M. Nzola
/ A. Pinamonti
76'
N. Matic
/ L. Lipani
77'
79'
A. Moreno
K. Thorstvedt
82'
Pre-match prediction
27.0%
Sassuolo ←
21.5%
X
51.5%
Como
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sassuolo)
27.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.26
+0.26
1.97
0.59
-1.38
Sassuolo dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
25
D
80
Tarik Muharemović
D
21
J. Idzes
D
6
S. Walukiewicz
D
42
K. Thorstvedt
M
K. Thorstvedt
M
18
N. Matic
77'
M
90
I. Kone
M
45
A. Laurienté
1 👟
F
A. Laurienté
1 👟
F
8
M. Nzola
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
7
C. Volpato
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
20
A. Fadera
31'
F
99
A. Pinamonti
19'
F
A. Pinamonti
19'
F
35
L. Lipani
18'
M
23
U. Garcia
D
1
G
18
Alberto Moreno
D
Alberto Moreno
D
2
Marc Kempf
D
Marc Kempf
D
14
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
D
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
D
28
I. Smolčić
1 👟
45'
D
I. Smolčić
1 👟
45'
D
6
M. Caqueret
45'
M
M. Caqueret
45'
M
33
L. da Cunha
72'
M
L. da Cunha
72'
M
20
M. Baturina
45'
M
M. Baturina
45'
M
10
N. Paz
1 ⚽
M
N. Paz
1 ⚽
M
38
Assane Diao
60'
M
Assane Diao
60'
M
7
Álvaro Morata
F
Álvaro Morata
F
Bench
3
Álex Valle
D
Álex Valle
D
34
Diego Carlos
D
Diego Carlos
D
77
I. Van der Brempt
D
I. Van der Brempt
D
31
Mërgim Vojvoda
50'
D
Mërgim Vojvoda
50'
D
23
M. Perrone
50'
M
M. Perrone
50'
M
11
T. Douvikas
50'
F
T. Douvikas
50'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Nzola
F · Sassuolo
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 13 pass
N. Paz
M · Como
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 39 pass
C. Volpato
F · Sassuolo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
M. Perrone
M · Como
7.30
· 42 pass
Tarik Muharemović
D · Sassuolo
7.20
1 shots
· 26 pass
J. Idzes
D · Sassuolo
7.20
· 18 pass
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — | |
| Tarik Muharemović | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Idzes | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Walukiewicz | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 5 | — | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Matic | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Kone | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Laurienté | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Nzola | F | 76 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Volpato | F | 64 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Fadera | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Pinamonti | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Lipani | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Como — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Alberto Moreno | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacobo Ramón Naveros | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 70% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Smolčić | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Caqueret | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 31% | — | — | — |
| L. da Cunha | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| N. Paz | M | 95 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 39 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Álvaro Morata | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Mërgim Vojvoda | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Perrone | M | 50 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Douvikas | F | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Como?
The final score was Sassuolo 2–1 Como.
What did the model predict before Sassuolo vs Como?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Sassuolo win, 21% to a draw, and 51% to an Como win.