✗Model wrong — prediction Como, result Sassuolo wins
C. Volpato
(ast. M. Nzola)
42'
M. Nzola
(ast. A. Lauriente)
44'
45'+2
(ast. I. Smolcic)
N. Paz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Como a 51% win probability (draw 21%, Sassuolo 27%). The final result was Sassuolo 2–1 Como. In 2 previous meetings, Sassuolo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Como.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.26
Actual xG
0.59
2
Saves
2
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
8
23
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
J. Ramon
26'
A. Morata
⚽C. Volpato
· ast. M. Nzola
42'
⚽M. Nzola
· ast. A. Lauriente
44'
45'+2
ast. I. Smolcic ·
N. Paz⚽
46'
M. Vojvoda
/
I. Smolcic
46'
M. Perrone
/
M. Caqueret
46'
A. Douvikas
/
M. Baturina
I. Kone
51'
60'
J. Rodriguez
/
A. Diao
C. Volpato
64'
C. Volpato
/ A. Fadera
64'
72'
N. Kuhn
/
L. Da Cunha
M. Nzola
/ A. Pinamonti
76'
N. Matic
/ L. Lipani
77'
79'
A. Moreno
K. Thorstvedt
82'
Pre-match prediction
27.0%
Sassuolo ←
21.5%
X
51.5%
Como
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sassuolo)
27.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.26
+0.26
1.97
0.59
-1.38
Sassuolo dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
25
D
80
T. Muharemović
D
T. Muharemović
D
21
Jay Idzes
D
Jay Idzes
D
6
S. Walukiewicz
D
42
Kristian Thorstvedt
M
Kristian Thorstvedt
M
18
Nemanja Matić
77'
M
Nemanja Matić
77'
M
90
I. Koné
M
I. Koné
M
45
A. Laurienté
1 👟
F
A. Laurienté
1 👟
F
8
M'bala Nzola
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
M'bala Nzola
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
7
C. Volpato
1 ⚽
64'
F
C. Volpato
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
20
Alieu Fadera
31'
F
Alieu Fadera
31'
F
99
A. Pinamonti
19'
F
A. Pinamonti
19'
F
35
Luca Lipani
18'
M
Luca Lipani
18'
M
23
Ulisses Garcia
D
Ulisses Garcia
D
1
G
18
Alberto Moreno
D
Alberto Moreno
D
2
Marc Kempf
D
Marc Kempf
D
14
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
D
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
D
28
Ivan Smolčić
1 👟
45'
D
Ivan Smolčić
1 👟
45'
D
6
M. Caqueret
45'
M
M. Caqueret
45'
M
33
L. da Cunha
72'
M
L. da Cunha
72'
M
20
Martin Baturina
45'
M
Martin Baturina
45'
M
10
Nico Paz
1 ⚽
M
Nico Paz
1 ⚽
M
38
Assane Diao
60'
M
Assane Diao
60'
M
7
Álvaro Morata
F
Álvaro Morata
F
Bench
3
Álex Valle
D
Álex Valle
D
34
Diego Carlos
D
Diego Carlos
D
77
Ignace Van der Brempt
D
Ignace Van der Brempt
D
31
Mërgim Vojvoda
50'
D
23
M. Perrone
50'
M
M. Perrone
50'
M
11
T. Douvikas
50'
F
T. Douvikas
50'
F
Best on the pitch
M'bala Nzola
F · Sassuolo
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 13 pass
Nico Paz
M · Como
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 39 pass
C. Volpato
F · Sassuolo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
M. Perrone
M · Como
7.30
· 42 pass
T. Muharemović
D · Sassuolo
7.20
1 shots
· 26 pass
Jay Idzes
D · Sassuolo
7.20
· 18 pass
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — | |
| T. Muharemović | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Jay Idzes | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Walukiewicz | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 5 | — | — |
| Kristian Thorstvedt | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nemanja Matić | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Koné | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Laurienté | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M'bala Nzola | F | 76 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Volpato | F | 64 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alieu Fadera | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Pinamonti | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luca Lipani | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Como — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Alberto Moreno | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacobo Ramón Naveros | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 70% | — | 1 | — |
| Ivan Smolčić | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Caqueret | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 31% | — | — | — |
| L. da Cunha | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Baturina | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Nico Paz | M | 95 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 39 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Álvaro Morata | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Mërgim Vojvoda | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Perrone | M | 50 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Douvikas | F | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Como?
The final score was Sassuolo 2–1 Como.
What did the model predict before Sassuolo vs Como?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Sassuolo win, 21% to a draw, and 51% to an Como win.