Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio — pre-match prediction — Serie A — October 27, 2026

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Serie A · Regular Season - 9 October 27, 2026 18:30 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

Sassuolo

#14 · 8 pts

2 – 6

Final score

Lazio

#1 · 25 pts

Kristian Thorstvedt (ast. Josh Doig) 7'

Sebastiano Esposito (ast. Simone Cinquegrano) 43'

2' Kenneth Taylor

13' (ast. Mattia Zaccagni) Gustav Isaksen

16' (ast. Kenneth Taylor) Romano Floriani Mussolini

45'+1 (ast. Gustav Isaksen) Mattia Zaccagni

55' (ast. Mattia Zaccagni) Tijjani Noslin

65' (ast. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru) Tijjani Noslin

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lazio a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Sassuolo 30%). The final result was Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio. In 2 previous meetings, Sassuolo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.82

Actual xG

3.41

Saves

42%

Possession

58%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

Kenneth Taylor⚽

⚽Kristian Thorstvedt · ast. Josh Doig

13'

ast. Mattia Zaccagni · Gustav Isaksen⚽

16'

ast. Kenneth Taylor · Romano Floriani Mussolini⚽

16'

28'

Kenneth Taylor

Kristian Thorstvedt

31'

⚽Sebastiano Esposito · ast. Simone Cinquegrano

43'

45'+1

ast. Gustav Isaksen · Mattia Zaccagni⚽

45'

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru / Kenneth Taylor ↕

↕ Darryl Bakola / Ibrahim Sulemana

45'

47'

50'

(missed pen.) Mattia Zaccagni⚽

Domenico Berardi

54'

55'

ast. Mattia Zaccagni · Tijjani Noslin⚽

61'

(missed pen.) Davide Frattesi⚽

62'

Manuel Lazzari / Romano Floriani Mussolini ↕

63'

Alfonso Pedraza / Nuno Tavares ↕

63'

Matteo Cancellieri / Gustav Isaksen ↕

↕ Sebastiano Esposito / Kieron Bowie

63'

↕ Domenico Berardi / Fali Cande

63'

65'

ast. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Tijjani Noslin⚽

↕ Armand Lauriente / Andrea Ghion

70'

71'

Andrea Pinamonti / Tijjani Noslin ↕

↕ Duje Ćaleta-Car / Sebastian Walukiewicz

82'

Pre-match prediction

30.53%

Sassuolo

29.18%

40.28%

Lazio ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 40.28% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sassuolo

0.97

0.82

-0.15

Lazio

1.32

3.41

+2.09

Lazio dominated by xG (3.41 vs 0.82). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lazio	9	25
2	Inter	8	22
3	AS Roma	9	21
4	Como	9	20
5	AC Milan	8	18
6	Frosinone	8	14
7	Juventus	8	14
8	Torino	9	13
9	Cagliari	9	13
10	Napoli	8	11
11	Atalanta	8	10
12	Lecce	8	9
13	Bologna	8	8
14	Sassuolo	9	8
15	Monza	8	7
16	Genoa	8	7
17	Udinese	8	4
18	Fiorentina	8	4
19	Parma	8	4
20	Venezia	8	3

Lineups

Sassuolo 4-3-3

S. Turati G 5.86

J. Doig 1 👟 D 6.52

D. Ćaleta-Car 82' D 5.79

C. Odenthal D 5.89

S. Cinquegrano 1 👟 D 5.85

D. Bakola 45' M 6.25

L. Lipani M 6.39

K. Thorstvedt 1 ⚽ 31' M 6.44

A. Laurienté 70' F 6.30

S. Esposito 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.70

D. Berardi 63' F 5.59

Bench

A. Ghion 20' M 5.73

A. Murić G 0.00

B. Domínguez F 0.00

C. Volpato M 0.00

Fali Candé 27' D 5.45

G. Satalino G 0.00

I. Sulemana 45' M 6.58

I. Van der Brempt D 0.00

J. Idzes D 0.00

K. Bowie 27' F 6.21

N. Matić M 0.00

N. Pierini F 0.00

Rafael Obrador D 0.00

S. Walukiewicz 8' D 5.47

Vasilije Adžić M 0.00

Lazio 4-3-3

C. Mandas G 6.44

Nuno Tavares 63' D 6.21

Diogo Leite D 6.49

J. Šutalo D 6.53

R. Floriani Mussolini 1 ⚽ 62' D 7.41

K. Taylor 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' M 7.60

R. Belahyane M 6.66

D. Frattesi M 6.23

M. Zaccagni 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 9.53

T. Noslin 2 ⚽ 71' F 8.83

G. Isaksen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 63' F 8.59

Bench

A. Pinamonti 19' F 6.87

A. Przyborek M 0.00

D. Cataldi M 0.00

D. Doekhi D 0.00

D. Renzetti G 0.00

E. Motta G 0.00

F. Dele-Bashiru 1 👟 45' M 6.66

F. Serra F 0.00

L. Pellegrini D 0.00

M. Cancellieri 27' F 6.42

M. Lazzari 28' M 5.99

O. Provstgaard D 0.00

Pedraza 27' D 6.76

Ricardo Bordon D 0.00

V. Farcomeni M 0.00

Best on the pitch

M. Zaccagni

F · Lazio

9.53

1 ⚽ 2 👟

5 shots · 66 pass

T. Noslin

F · Lazio

8.83

2 ⚽

4 shots · 16 pass

G. Isaksen

F · Lazio

8.59

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 19 pass

S. Esposito

F · Sassuolo

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 28 pass

K. Taylor

M · Lazio

7.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 20 pass

R. Floriani Mussolini

D · Lazio

7.41

1 ⚽

1 shots · 29 pass

Sassuolo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Turati	G	90	5.86	—	—	0	28	21%	0	—	—
J. Doig	D	90	6.52	—	1	1	41	41%	2	—	—
D. Ćaleta-Car	D	82	5.79	—	—	0	53	48%	0	—	—
C. Odenthal	D	90	5.89	—	—	0	52	46%	2	—	—
S. Cinquegrano	D	90	5.85	—	1	0	21	17%	0	—	—
D. Bakola	M	45	6.25	—	—	2	32	28%	0	—	—
L. Lipani	M	90	6.39	—	—	0	56	49%	3	—	—
K. Thorstvedt	M	31	6.44	1	—	1	14	13%	2	—	1
A. Laurienté	F	70	6.30	—	—	4	35	32%	1	—	—
S. Esposito	F	63	7.70	1	—	1	28	25%	0	—	—
D. Berardi	F	63	5.59	—	—	0	27	19%	2	1	—
A. Ghion	M	20	5.73	—	—	0	9	9%	2	—	—
Fali Candé	D	27	5.45	—	—	0	17	16%	0	—	—
I. Sulemana	M	45	6.58	—	—	0	22	18%	0	—	—
K. Bowie	F	27	6.21	—	—	0	7	6%	0	—	—
S. Walukiewicz	D	8	5.47	—	—	0	6	6%	0	—	—

Lazio — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Mandas	G	90	6.44	—	—	0	36	30%	1	—	—
Nuno Tavares	D	63	6.21	—	—	0	38	34%	1	—	—
Diogo Leite	D	90	6.49	—	—	0	110	103%	0	—	—
J. Šutalo	D	90	6.53	—	—	0	89	87%	0	—	—
R. Floriani Mussolini	D	62	7.41	1	—	1	29	25%	4	—	—
K. Taylor	M	45	7.60	1	1	1	20	16%	0	1	—
R. Belahyane	M	90	6.66	—	—	0	72	70%	4	—	—
D. Frattesi	M	90	6.23	—	—	1	37	35%	1	—	—
M. Zaccagni	F	90	9.53	1	2	5	66	58%	1	—	—
T. Noslin	F	71	8.83	2	—	4	16	11%	0	—	—
G. Isaksen	F	63	8.59	1	1	1	19	16%	0	—	—
A. Pinamonti	F	19	6.87	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—
F. Dele-Bashiru	M	45	6.66	—	1	1	40	39%	0	—	—
M. Cancellieri	F	27	6.42	—	—	2	10	8%	0	—	—
M. Lazzari	M	28	5.99	—	—	0	15	14%	0	—	—
Pedraza	D	27	6.76	—	—	0	25	24%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Lazio?

The final score was Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio.

What did the model predict before Sassuolo vs Lazio?

The model assigned 30% probability to a Sassuolo win, 29% to a draw, and 40% to an Lazio win.