Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce — pre-match prediction — Serie A — May 17, 2026

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Serie A · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 20:45 Sabah Al Salem Stadium, Kuwait

Sassuolo

#17 · 0 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Lecce

#11 · 0 pts

A. Lauriente (ast. Pedro Felipe) 20'

A. Pinamonti (ast. U. Garcia) 82'

14' W. Cheddira

25' (ast. L. Banda) W. Cheddira

90' (ast. O. Gandelman) N. Stulic

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sassuolo a 48% win probability (draw 32%, Lecce 18%). The final result was Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce. In 1 previous meetings, Sassuolo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lecce.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.06

Actual xG

0.87

Saves

73%

Possession

27%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

14'

W. Cheddira⚽

⚽A. Lauriente · ast. Pedro Felipe

20'

25'

ast. L. Banda · W. Cheddira⚽

54'

Ylber Ramadani

↕ M. Nzola / A. Pinamonti

63'

↕ N. Matic / L. Lipani

63'

G. Jean / L. Banda ↕

↕ D. Berardi / C. Volpato

72'

↕ I. Kone / D. Bakola

72'

Tarik Muharemović

77'

79'

O. Gandelman / S. Pierotti ↕

80'

F. Camarda / W. Cheddira ↕

81'

Danilo Veiga

⚽A. Pinamonti · ast. U. Garcia

82'

85'

Tiago Gabriel

85'

K. Ndri / D. Veiga ↕

85'

N. Stulic / Y. Ramadani ↕

↕ A. Lauriente / C. Frangella

88'

90'+1

Antonino Gallo

90'

ast. O. Gandelman · N. Stulic⚽

Pre-match prediction

48.53%

Sassuolo

32.5%

18.97%

Lecce ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lecce) 18.97% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sassuolo

1.16

2.06

+0.9

Lecce

0.53

0.87

+0.34

Sassuolo dominated by xG (2.06 vs 0.87). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0
4	Como	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0
8	Inter	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0
13	Monza	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0
15	Parma	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0
18	Torino	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0

Lineups

Sassuolo 4-3-3

Stefano Turati 46' G 6.30

Ulisses Garcia 1 👟 46' D 6.20

T. Muharemović 46' D 6.30

Pedro Felipe 1 👟 46' D 6.60

Woyo Coulibaly 46' D 6.20

I. Koné 72' M 7.20

Nemanja Matić 63' M 6.60

Kristian Thorstvedt 46' M 6.60

A. Laurienté 1 ⚽ 88' F 9.20

M'bala Nzola 63' F 6.20

D. Berardi 72' F 7.20

Bench

Alieu Fadera F

A. Pinamonti 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.90

Arijanet Murić G

Christian Frangella 9' M 6.50

C. Volpato 25' M 6.30

D. Bakola 25' M 6.90

Edoardo Iannoni M

Giacomo Satalino G

Gioele Zacchi G

Josh Doig D

Luca Lipani 34' M 6.60

Luca Moro F

Tommaso Macchioni D

Lecce 4-2-3-1

Wladimiro Falcone 46' G 6.90

Antonino Gallo 46' D 6.20

Tiago Gabriel 46' D 6.20

J. Siebert 46' D 6.20

Danilo Veiga 85' D 6.70

Oumar Ngom 46' M 6.20

Ylber Ramadani 85' M 6.60

L. Banda 1 👟 63' M 6.70

Lassana Coulibaly 46' M 6.30

Santiago Pierotti 79' M 6.60

Walid Cheddira 2 ⚽ 80' F 9.20

Bench

Alex Sala M

Christian Früchtl G

Corrie Ndaba D

Filip Marchwiński M

Francesco Camarda 17' F 6.70

Gaby Jean 34' D 6.50

Jasper Samooja G

Kialonda Gaspar D

Matías Pérez D

N'Dri Konan 12' F 6.20

Nikola Štulić 1 ⚽ 12' F 7.50

Olaf Gorter M

Omri Gandelman 1 👟 18' M 6.90

Sadik Fofana M

Þórir Jóhann Helgason M

Best on the pitch

Walid Cheddira

F · Lecce

9.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 9 pass

A. Laurienté

F · Sassuolo

9.20

1 ⚽

4 shots · 59 pass

A. Pinamonti

F · Sassuolo

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 5 pass

Nikola Štulić

F · Lecce

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

I. Koné

M · Sassuolo

7.20

1 shots · 54 pass

D. Berardi

F · Sassuolo

7.20

1 shots · 33 pass

Sassuolo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Stefano Turati	G	46	6.30	—	—	—	23	14%	—	—	—
Ulisses Garcia	D	46	6.20	—	1	—	73	58%	1	—	—
T. Muharemović	D	46	6.30	—	—	—	90	83%	—	1	—
Pedro Felipe	D	46	6.60	—	1	—	77	71%	2	—	—
Woyo Coulibaly	D	46	6.20	—	—	—	42	37%	2	—	—
I. Koné	M	72	7.20	—	—	1	54	50%	1	—	—
Nemanja Matić	M	63	6.60	—	—	—	54	48%	1	—	—
Kristian Thorstvedt	M	46	6.60	—	—	1	48	42%	—	—	—
A. Laurienté	F	88	9.20	1	—	4	59	51%	3	—	—
M'bala Nzola	F	63	6.20	—	—	1	13	10%	—	—	—
D. Berardi	F	72	7.20	—	—	1	33	27%	—	—	—
A. Pinamonti	F	34	7.90	1	—	3	5	4%	—	—	—
Christian Frangella	M	9	6.50	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
C. Volpato	M	25	6.30	—	—	1	15	13%	—	—	—
D. Bakola	M	25	6.90	—	—	—	18	16%	2	—	—
Luca Lipani	M	34	6.60	—	—	—	15	12%	1	—	—

Lecce — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Wladimiro Falcone	G	46	6.90	—	—	—	19	6%	—	—	—
Antonino Gallo	D	46	6.20	—	—	—	17	11%	—	1	—
Tiago Gabriel	D	46	6.20	—	—	—	17	12%	2	1	—
J. Siebert	D	46	6.20	—	—	—	20	10%	1	—	—
Danilo Veiga	D	85	6.70	—	—	—	24	16%	2	1	—
Oumar Ngom	M	46	6.20	—	—	—	22	19%	2	—	—
Ylber Ramadani	M	85	6.60	—	—	1	21	14%	2	1	—
L. Banda	M	63	6.70	—	1	2	8	5%	—	—	—
Lassana Coulibaly	M	46	6.30	—	—	—	20	16%	—	—	—
Santiago Pierotti	M	79	6.60	—	—	1	12	10%	1	—	—
Walid Cheddira	F	80	9.20	2	—	3	9	7%	1	—	—
Francesco Camarda	F	17	6.70	—	—	1	5	3%	—	—	—
Gaby Jean	D	34	6.50	—	—	—	4	4%	1	—	—
N'Dri Konan	F	12	6.20	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
Nikola Štulić	F	12	7.50	1	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
Omri Gandelman	M	18	6.90	—	1	—	5	3%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Lecce?

The final score was Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce.

What did the model predict before Sassuolo vs Lecce?

The model assigned 48% probability to a Sassuolo win, 32% to a draw, and 18% to an Lecce win.