World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 16, 2026 00:00
A. Al Amri
41'
80'
M. Araujo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Uruguay a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Saudi Arabia 27%). The final result was Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
19
3
Shots on target
9
0.99
Actual xG
1.48
8
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
4
Corners
10
11
Tackles
3
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Al Amri
41'
A. Al Amri
44'
46'
J. Sanabria
/
M. Vina
46'
A. Canobbio
/
D. Nunez
M. Al Juwayr
/ N. Al Dawsari
63'
72'
N. de la Cruz
/
M. Ugarte
80'
M. Araujo⚽
81'
B. Rodriguez
/
M. Araujo
M. Abu Al Shamat
/ N. Boushal
81'
S. Abdulhamid
/ A. Lajami
90'+3
M. Al Harbi
/ A. Al Hamdan
90'+3
F. Al Buraikan
/ A. Hejji
90'+3
90'
R. Aguirre
/
F. Vinas
Pre-match prediction
27.45%
Saudi
31.9%
X ←
40.65%
Uruguay
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
0.99
+0.09
1.02
1.48
+0.46
Uruguay dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.99).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
21
Mohammed Al Owais
G
Mohammed Al Owais
G
24
Moteb Al Harbi
D
Moteb Al Harbi
D
5
Hassan Tambakti
D
Hassan Tambakti
D
4
Abdulelah Al Amri
1 ⚽
D
Abdulelah Al Amri
1 ⚽
D
12
Saud Abdulhamid
D
Saud Abdulhamid
D
10
Salem Al Dawsari
M
Salem Al Dawsari
M
15
Abdullah Al Khaibari
M
Abdullah Al Khaibari
M
23
Mohamed Kanno
M
Mohamed Kanno
M
26
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
81'
M
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
81'
M
7
Musab Al Juwayr
63'
F
Musab Al Juwayr
63'
F
9
Feras Al Brikan
F
Feras Al Brikan
F
Bench
19
Abdullah Al Hamdan
1'
F
Abdullah Al Hamdan
1'
F
22
Ahmed Al Kassar
G
Ahmed Al Kassar
G
18
Ala Al Hajji
1'
M
Ala Al Hajji
1'
M
3
Ali Lajami
1'
D
Ali Lajami
1'
D
2
Ali Majrashi
D
Ali Majrashi
D
8
Ayman Yahya
M
Ayman Yahya
M
14
Hassan Kadesh
D
Hassan Kadesh
D
25
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
D
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
D
17
Khalid Al Ghannam
F
Khalid Al Ghannam
F
6
Nasser Al Dawsari
31'
M
Nasser Al Dawsari
31'
M
1
Nawaf Al Aqidi
G
Nawaf Al Aqidi
G
13
Nawaf Boushal
13'
D
Nawaf Boushal
13'
D
11
Saleh Al Shehri
F
Saleh Al Shehri
F
20
Sultan Mandash
F
Sultan Mandash
F
16
Ziyad Al Johani
M
Ziyad Al Johani
M
23
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
17
M. Viña
45'
D
M. Viña
45'
D
16
M. Olivera
D
M. Olivera
D
3
S. Cáceres
D
S. Cáceres
D
13
G. Varela
D
G. Varela
D
6
R. Bentancur
M
R. Bentancur
M
5
M. Ugarte
72'
M
M. Ugarte
72'
M
20
M. Araújo
1 ⚽
81'
M
M. Araújo
1 ⚽
81'
M
21
F. Viñas
M
F. Viñas
M
8
F. Valverde
M
F. Valverde
M
9
45'
F
Bench
14
A. Canobbio
49'
F
A. Canobbio
49'
F
18
B. Rodríguez
13'
F
B. Rodríguez
13'
F
15
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
11
F. Pellistri
M
F. Pellistri
M
2
J. Giménez
D
J. Giménez
D
22
J. Piquerez
D
J. Piquerez
D
25
J. Sanabria
49'
M
J. Sanabria
49'
M
7
N. de la Cruz
22'
M
N. de la Cruz
22'
M
19
R. Aguirre
4'
F
R. Aguirre
4'
F
26
R. Zalazar
M
R. Zalazar
M
24
S. Bueno
D
S. Bueno
D
1
Sergio Rochet
G
Sergio Rochet
G
12
S. Mele
G
S. Mele
G
Best on the pitch
Mohammed Al Owais
G · Saudi
7.90
· 28 pass
M. Olivera
D · Uruguay
7.70
1 shots
· 101 pass
M. Araújo
M · Uruguay
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Abdulelah Al Amri
D · Saudi
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
Moteb Al Harbi
D · Saudi
7.00
· 25 pass
Mohamed Kanno
M · Saudi
7.00
1 shots
· 36 pass
Saudi Arabia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Al Owais | G | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Moteb Al Harbi | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Hassan Tambakti | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al Amri | D | 94 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Saud Abdulhamid | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| Salem Al Dawsari | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Kanno | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Abu Al Shamat | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Musab Al Juwayr | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Feras Al Brikan | F | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ala Al Hajji | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Lajami | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al Dawsari | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Uruguay — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Viña | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 98% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Cáceres | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 68% | — | — | — |
| G. Varela | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| R. Bentancur | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ugarte | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 57% | — | — | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 81 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Viñas | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| F. Valverde | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Canobbio | F | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| B. Rodríguez | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Sanabria | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 25% | — | — | — |
| N. de la Cruz | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Aguirre | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
The final score was Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay.
What did the model predict before Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Saudi Arabia win, 31% to a draw, and 40% to an Uruguay win.