World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 16, 2026 00:00
A. Al Amri
41'
80'
M. Araujo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Uruguay a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Saudi Arabia 27%). The final result was Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
19
3
Shots on target
9
0.99
Actual xG
1.48
8
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
4
Corners
10
11
Tackles
3
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Al Amri
41'
A. Al Amri
44'
46'
J. Sanabria
/
M. Vina
46'
A. Canobbio
/
D. Nunez
M. Al Juwayr
/ N. Al Dawsari
63'
72'
N. de la Cruz
/
M. Ugarte
80'
M. Araujo⚽
81'
B. Rodriguez
/
M. Araujo
M. Abu Al Shamat
/ N. Boushal
81'
S. Abdulhamid
/ A. Lajami
90'+3
M. Al Harbi
/ A. Al Hamdan
90'+3
F. Al Buraikan
/ A. Hejji
90'+3
90'
R. Aguirre
/
F. Vinas
Pre-match prediction
27.45%
Saudi
31.9%
X ←
40.65%
Uruguay
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
0.99
+0.09
1.02
1.48
+0.46
Uruguay dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.99).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
21
Mohammed Al-Owais
G
Mohammed Al-Owais
G
24
Moteb Al Harbi
D
Moteb Al Harbi
D
5
Hassan Tambakti
D
Hassan Tambakti
D
4
Abdulelah Al-Amri
1 ⚽
D
Abdulelah Al-Amri
1 ⚽
D
12
Saud Abdulhamid
D
Saud Abdulhamid
D
10
Salem Al-Dawsari
M
Salem Al-Dawsari
M
15
Abdullah Al Khaibari
M
Abdullah Al Khaibari
M
23
Mohamed Kanno
M
Mohamed Kanno
M
26
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
81'
M
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
81'
M
7
Musab Al Juwayr
63'
F
Musab Al Juwayr
63'
F
9
Firas Al-Buraikan
F
Firas Al-Buraikan
F
Bench
19
Abdullah Al Hamdan
1'
F
Abdullah Al Hamdan
1'
F
22
Ahmed Al-Kassar
G
Ahmed Al-Kassar
G
18
Ala'a Al-Hejji
1'
M
Ala'a Al-Hejji
1'
M
3
Ali Lajami
1'
D
Ali Lajami
1'
D
2
Ali Majrashi
D
Ali Majrashi
D
8
Ayman Yahya
M
Ayman Yahya
M
14
Hassan Kadesh
D
Hassan Kadesh
D
25
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
D
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
D
17
Khalid Al-Ghannam
F
Khalid Al-Ghannam
F
6
Nasser Al-Dawsari
31'
M
Nasser Al-Dawsari
31'
M
1
Nawaf Al-Aqidi
G
Nawaf Al-Aqidi
G
13
Nawaf Boushal
13'
D
Nawaf Boushal
13'
D
11
Saleh Al-Shehri
F
Saleh Al-Shehri
F
20
Sultan Mandash
F
Sultan Mandash
F
16
Ziyad Aljohani
M
Ziyad Aljohani
M
23
Fernando Muslera
G
Fernando Muslera
G
17
Matías Viña
45'
D
Matías Viña
45'
D
16
Mathías Olivera
D
Mathías Olivera
D
3
Sebastián Cáceres
D
Sebastián Cáceres
D
13
Guillermo Varela
D
Guillermo Varela
D
6
Rodrigo Bentancur
M
Rodrigo Bentancur
M
5
Manuel Ugarte
72'
M
Manuel Ugarte
72'
M
20
M. Araújo
1 ⚽
81'
M
M. Araújo
1 ⚽
81'
M
21
Federico Viñas
M
Federico Viñas
M
8
Federico Valverde
M
Federico Valverde
M
9
45'
F
Bench
14
A. Canobbio
49'
F
A. Canobbio
49'
F
18
B. Rodríguez
13'
F
B. Rodríguez
13'
F
15
Emiliano Martínez
M
Emiliano Martínez
M
11
Facundo Pellistri
M
Facundo Pellistri
M
22
Joaquín Piquerez
D
Joaquín Piquerez
D
2
José María Giménez
D
José María Giménez
D
25
Juan Sanabria
49'
M
Juan Sanabria
49'
M
7
N. de la Cruz
22'
M
N. de la Cruz
22'
M
19
Rodrigo Aguirre
4'
F
Rodrigo Aguirre
4'
F
26
Rodrigo Zalazar
M
Rodrigo Zalazar
M
24
Santiago Bueno
D
Santiago Bueno
D
12
Santiago Mele
G
Santiago Mele
G
1
Sergio Rochet
G
Sergio Rochet
G
Best on the pitch
Mohammed Al-Owais
G · Saudi
7.90
· 28 pass
Mathías Olivera
D · Uruguay
7.70
1 shots
· 101 pass
M. Araújo
M · Uruguay
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Abdulelah Al-Amri
D · Saudi
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
Moteb Al Harbi
D · Saudi
7.00
· 25 pass
Mohamed Kanno
M · Saudi
7.00
1 shots
· 36 pass
Saudi Arabia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Al-Owais | G | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Moteb Al Harbi | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Hassan Tambakti | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al-Amri | D | 94 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Saud Abdulhamid | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| Salem Al-Dawsari | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Kanno | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Musab Al Juwayr | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Firas Al-Buraikan | F | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ala'a Al-Hejji | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Lajami | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al-Dawsari | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Uruguay — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Muslera | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Matías Viña | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 98% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Cáceres | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 68% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Bentancur | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Manuel Ugarte | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 57% | — | — | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 81 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Federico Viñas | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Federico Valverde | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Canobbio | F | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| B. Rodríguez | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Juan Sanabria | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 25% | — | — | — |
| N. de la Cruz | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Aguirre | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
The final score was Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay.
What did the model predict before Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Saudi Arabia win, 31% to a draw, and 40% to an Uruguay win.