G. Martinez
15'
P. Victor
90'
(pen.)
5'
S. Lekovic
90'+6
(ast. Jovane)
S. Lekovic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Estrela 23%). The final result was SC Braga 2–2 Estrela. In 1 previous meetings, SC Braga have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Estrela.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
2.41
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
2
74%
Possession
26%
7
Corners
1
14
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
5'
S. Lekovic⚽
⚽G. Martinez
15'
J. Moutinho
37'
G. Martinez
/ L. Lelo
46'
55'
R. Ribeiro
61'
Luan Patrick
R. Horta
/ Gorby
68'
68'
L. Antonetti
/
G. Doue
68'
Robinho
/
S. van Hooijdonk
68'
Jovane
/
I. Stoica
78'
K. Jansson
/
P. Moreira
L. Hornicek
/ J. Carvalho
80'
Luisinho
/ A. Gil
80'
P. Oliveira
/ J. Noro
85'
87'
A. Marcus
87'
S. Lekovic
90'+1
J. Meireles
/
A. Marcus
90'+6
ast. Jovane ·
S. Lekovic⚽
90'+7
S. Lekovic
90'+7
S. Lekovic
⚽P. Victor
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.06%
SC
31.62%
X ←
23.32%
Estrela
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
2.41
+1.49
0.69
0.54
-0.15
SC Braga dominated by xG (2.41 vs 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lukáš Horníček
80'
G
17
Gabriel Moscardo
D
Gabriel Moscardo
D
15
Paulo Oliveira
85'
D
Paulo Oliveira
85'
D
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
77
Gabriel Martínez
1 ⚽
45'
M
8
João Moutinho
M
90
Luís Pinto
80'
M
2
Victor Gómez
M
21
Ricardo Horta
68'
F
39
Fran Navarro
F
18
Pau Víctor
1 ⚽
F
Bench
96
Afonso Sousa
D
Afonso Sousa
D
9
Amine El Ouazzani
F
Amine El Ouazzani
F
92
Antonio Gil
18'
M
Antonio Gil
18'
M
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
30'
M
78
Joao Carvalho
18'
G
Joao Carvalho
18'
G
80
João Vasconcelos
M
João Vasconcelos
M
53
Jonatás Noro
13'
D
5
Leonardo Lelo
53'
D
41
Yanis da Rocha
M
Yanis da Rocha
M
40
Renan Ribeiro
G
Renan Ribeiro
G
83
Otavio
D
Otavio
D
4
Stefan Leković
2 ⚽
D
Stefan Leković
2 ⚽
D
30
Luan Patrick
D
Luan Patrick
D
24
Bruno Langa
M
19
Paulo Moreira
77'
M
Paulo Moreira
77'
M
39
Eddy Doué
68'
M
Eddy Doué
68'
M
17
Jefferson Encada
M
Jefferson Encada
M
10
Ianis Stoica
68'
F
Ianis Stoica
68'
F
20
Sydney van Hooijdonk
68'
F
Sydney van Hooijdonk
68'
F
99
A. Marcus
F
A. Marcus
F
Bench
14
Bernardo Schappo
D
Bernardo Schappo
D
1
Diogo Pinto
G
Diogo Pinto
G
18
Jorge Meireles
7'
F
Jorge Meireles
7'
F
11
Jovane Cabral
1 👟
30'
F
Jovane Cabral
1 👟
30'
F
6
Kevin Höög Jansson
21'
M
Kevin Höög Jansson
21'
M
7
Leandro Antonetti
30'
F
Leandro Antonetti
30'
F
21
Max Scholze
D
Max Scholze
D
8
Robinho
30'
M
Robinho
30'
M
28
Tom Moustier
M
Tom Moustier
M
Best on the pitch
Stefan Leković
D · Estrela
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
João Moutinho
M · SC
7.30
1 shots
· 113 pass
Eddy Doué
M · Estrela
7.30
· 22 pass
Jovane Cabral
F · Estrela
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 4 pass
Joao Carvalho
G · SC
7.20
· 6 pass
Pau Víctor
F · SC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 61 pass
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Horníček | G | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 86% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Martínez | M | 45 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 113 | 106% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luís Pinto | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Gómez | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Horta | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Pau Víctor | F | 98 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 61 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Antonio Gil | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Joao Carvalho | G | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jonatás Noro | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Lelo | D | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
Estrela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | G | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Otavio | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Stefan Leković | D | 90 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Luan Patrick | D | 98 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Langa | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Eddy Doué | M | 68 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| Jefferson Encada | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Ianis Stoica | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Marcus | F | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jorge Meireles | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 30 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Antonetti | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Robinho | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Braga vs Estrela?
The final score was SC Braga 2–2 Estrela.
What did the model predict before SC Braga vs Estrela?
The model assigned 45% probability to a SC Braga win, 31% to a draw, and 23% to an Estrela win.