G. Martinez
15'
P. Victor
90'
(pen.)
5'
S. Lekovic
90'+6
(ast. Jovane)
S. Lekovic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Estrela 23%). The final result was SC Braga 2–2 Estrela. In 2 previous meetings, SC Braga have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Estrela.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
2.41
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
2
74%
Possession
26%
7
Corners
1
14
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
5'
S. Lekovic⚽
⚽G. Martinez
15'
J. Moutinho
37'
G. Martinez
/ L. Lelo
46'
55'
R. Ribeiro
61'
Luan Patrick
R. Horta
/ Gorby
68'
68'
L. Antonetti
/
G. Doue
68'
Robinho
/
S. van Hooijdonk
68'
Jovane
/
I. Stoica
78'
K. Jansson
/
P. Moreira
L. Hornicek
/ J. Carvalho
80'
Luisinho
/ A. Gil
80'
P. Oliveira
/ J. Noro
85'
87'
A. Marcus
87'
S. Lekovic
90'+1
J. Meireles
/
A. Marcus
90'+6
ast. Jovane ·
S. Lekovic⚽
90'+7
S. Lekovic
90'+7
S. Lekovic
⚽P. Victor
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.06%
SC
31.62%
X ←
23.32%
Estrela
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
2.41
+1.49
0.69
0.54
-0.15
SC Braga dominated by xG (2.41 vs 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Horníček
80'
G
L. Horníček
80'
G
17
Gabriel Moscardo
D
Gabriel Moscardo
D
15
Paulo Oliveira
85'
D
Paulo Oliveira
85'
D
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
G. Lagerbielke
D
77
Gabri Martínez
1 ⚽
45'
M
Gabri Martínez
1 ⚽
45'
M
8
João Moutinho
M
João Moutinho
M
90
Luisinho
80'
M
2
Víctor Gómez
M
Víctor Gómez
M
21
Ricardo Horta
68'
F
Ricardo Horta
68'
F
39
Fran Navarro
F
Fran Navarro
F
18
Pau Victor
1 ⚽
F
Pau Victor
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
A. El Ouazzani
F
A. El Ouazzani
F
96
Afonso Sousa
D
Afonso Sousa
D
92
Antonio Gil
18'
M
Antonio Gil
18'
M
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
30'
M
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
30'
M
80
João Vasconcelos
M
João Vasconcelos
M
78
João Carvalho
18'
G
João Carvalho
18'
G
53
Jonatás Noro
13'
D
Jonatás Noro
13'
D
5
Leonardo Lelo
53'
D
Leonardo Lelo
53'
D
41
Yanis da Rocha
M
40
Renan Ribeiro
G
Renan Ribeiro
G
83
Otávio
D
Otávio
D
4
S. Leković
2 ⚽
D
S. Leković
2 ⚽
D
30
Luan Patrick
D
Luan Patrick
D
24
Bruno Langa
M
Bruno Langa
M
19
Paulo Moreira
77'
M
Paulo Moreira
77'
M
39
Eddy Doue
68'
M
Eddy Doue
68'
M
17
Jefferson Encada
M
Jefferson Encada
M
10
I. Stoica
68'
F
I. Stoica
68'
F
20
S. van Hooijdonk
68'
F
S. van Hooijdonk
68'
F
99
A. Marcus
F
A. Marcus
F
Bench
14
Bernardo Schappo
D
Bernardo Schappo
D
1
Diogo Pinto
G
Diogo Pinto
G
18
Jorge Meireles
7'
F
11
Jovane Cabral
1 👟
30'
F
Jovane Cabral
1 👟
30'
F
6
K. Höög Jansson
21'
M
K. Höög Jansson
21'
M
7
L. Antonetti
30'
F
L. Antonetti
30'
F
21
M. Scholze
D
M. Scholze
D
8
Robinho
30'
M
Robinho
30'
M
28
Tom Moustier
M
Tom Moustier
M
Best on the pitch
S. Leković
D · Estrela
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
João Moutinho
M · SC
7.30
1 shots
· 113 pass
Eddy Doue
M · Estrela
7.30
· 22 pass
Jovane Cabral
F · Estrela
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 4 pass
João Carvalho
G · SC
7.20
· 6 pass
Pau Victor
F · SC
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 61 pass
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 86% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabri Martínez | M | 45 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 113 | 106% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luisinho | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Gómez | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Horta | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Pau Victor | F | 98 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 61 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Antonio Gil | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| João Carvalho | G | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jonatás Noro | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Lelo | D | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
Estrela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | G | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Otávio | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Leković | D | 90 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Luan Patrick | D | 98 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Langa | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Eddy Doue | M | 68 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 6 | — | — |
| Jefferson Encada | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Stoica | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| S. van Hooijdonk | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Marcus | F | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jorge Meireles | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 30 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Höög Jansson | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Antonetti | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Robinho | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Braga vs Estrela?
The final score was SC Braga 2–2 Estrela.
What did the model predict before SC Braga vs Estrela?
The model assigned 45% probability to a SC Braga win, 31% to a draw, and 23% to an Estrela win.