SC Braga - Estrela

Primeira Liga May 16, 2026 19:00

SC Braga

#4 · 58 pts

19:00

vs

Estrela

#15 · 29 pts

Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 16.0°C 💨 15 km/h · Braga

⚡ Pre-match analysis

43.46%

Win

SC Braga

32.76%

Draw

23.77%

Win

Estrela

0.92

Expected xG

0.69

The ForzaPitch prediction gives SC Braga a 43% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Estrela. Expected goals are 0.9 for SC Braga and 0.7 for Estrela (total 1.6), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 20.0% probability. In 1 previous meetings, SC Braga have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Estrela.

Score Matrix

↕ SC Braga Estrela →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	20.0%	13.8%	4.7%	1.1%	0.2%	—
1	18.4%	12.7%	4.4%	1.0%	0.2%	—
2	8.5%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%	—
3	2.6%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%	—	—
4	0.6%	0.4%	0.1%	—	—	—
5	0.1%	0.1%	—	—	—	—

Recent form

SC Braga

D Benfica 2–2

D Estoril 1–1

L Santa Clara 2–1

W Casa Pia 0–1

D Famalicao 2–2

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 37%

Estrela

D Famalicao 0–0

L Moreirense 3–2

L FC Porto 1–2

L Arouca 1–0

L Sporting CP 0–1

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 19%

Playing profile

SC Braga

Attack

26

Defence

66

Form

52

Estrela

Attack

33

Defence

62

Form

32

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0

SC Braga

1

Draw

0

Estrela

D 3 Jan 2026 Primeira Liga 3–3

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	33	85
2	Sporting CP	33	79
3	Benfica	33	77
4	SC Braga	33	58
5	Famalicao	33	53
6	GIL Vicente	33	50
7	Moreirense	33	42
8	Guimaraes	33	42
9	Estoril	33	39
10	Arouca	33	39
11	Alverca	33	39
12	Santa Clara	33	36
13	Rio Ave	33	35
14	Nacional	33	31
15	Estrela	33	29
16	Casa Pia	33	29
17	Tondela	33	28
18	AVS	33	20