Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 21:30 Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

SC Braga

#4 · 59 pts

1 – 2

Final score

FC Porto

#1 · 88 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 45% win probability (draw 20%, FC Porto 33%). The final result was SC Braga 1–2 FC Porto. In 1 previous meetings, SC Braga have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Porto.

Match statistics

1

Shots on target

3

0.99

Actual xG

1.19

62%

Possession

38%

3

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

45.71%

SC

20.39%

X

33.9%

FC ←

we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto) 33.9% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SC

2.20

0.99

-1.21

FC

1.81

1.19

-0.62

xG dominance was balanced (0.99 – 1.19). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	88
2	Sporting CP	34	82
3	Benfica	34	80
4	SC Braga	34	59
5	Famalicao	34	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	50
7	Moreirense	34	43
8	Arouca	34	42
9	Guimaraes	34	42
10	Estoril	34	39
11	Alverca	34	39
12	Rio Ave	34	36
13	Santa Clara	34	36
14	Nacional	34	34
15	Estrela	34	30
16	Casa Pia	34	30
17	Tondela	34	28
18	AVS	34	21