The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 45% win probability (draw 20%, FC Porto 33%). The final result was SC Braga 1–2 FC Porto. In 1 previous meetings, SC Braga have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Porto.
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
3
0.99
Actual xG
1.19
62%
Possession
38%
3
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
45.71%
SC
20.39%
X
33.9%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto)
33.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
0.99
-1.21
1.81
1.19
-0.62
xG dominance was balanced (0.99 – 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Braga vs FC Porto?
The final score was SC Braga 1–2 FC Porto.
What did the model predict before SC Braga vs FC Porto?
The model assigned 45% probability to a SC Braga win, 20% to a draw, and 33% to an FC Porto win.