Europa League
· Semi-finals
April 30, 2026 21:00
D. E. Tiknaz
(ast. V. Gomez)
8'
M. Dorgeles
90'+2
16'
(ast. J. Beste)
V. Grifo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 46% win probability (draw 24%, SC Freiburg 28%). The final result was SC Braga 2–1 SC Freiburg. In 1 previous meetings, SC Braga have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Freiburg.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
2.39
Actual xG
1.11
1
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
1
16
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. E. Tiknaz
· ast. V. Gomez
8'
16'
ast. J. Beste ·
V. Grifo⚽
Vitor Carvalho
16'
18'
V. Grifo
R. Horta
/ M. Dorgeles
26'
45'+1
P. Lienhart
⚽R. Zalazar
(missed pen.)
45'+2
V. Gomez
57'
72'
J. Makengo
R. Zalazar
/ F. Navarro
72'
81'
D. Scherhant
/
V. Grifo
81'
L. Holer
/
Y. Suzuki
⚽M. Dorgeles
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
46.98%
SC ←
24.94%
X
28.08%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (SC Braga)
46.98%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
2.39
+0.78
1.28
1.11
-0.17
SC Braga dominated by xG (2.39 vs 1.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Horníček
G
L. Horníček
G
6
Vitor Carvalho
D
Vitor Carvalho
D
15
Paulo Oliveira
D
Paulo Oliveira
D
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
G. Lagerbielke
D
2
Víctor Gómez
1 👟
D
Víctor Gómez
1 👟
D
34
E. Tıknaz
1 ⚽
M
E. Tıknaz
1 ⚽
M
8
João Moutinho
M
João Moutinho
M
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
M
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
M
21
Ricardo Horta
26'
M
Ricardo Horta
26'
M
10
R. Zalazar
72'
M
R. Zalazar
72'
M
18
Pau Victor
F
Pau Victor
F
Bench
9
A. El Ouazzani
F
A. El Ouazzani
F
39
Fran Navarro
23'
F
Fran Navarro
23'
F
5
Leonardo Lelo
D
Leonardo Lelo
D
90
Luisinho
M
20
M. Dorgeles
1 ⚽
69'
M
M. Dorgeles
1 ⚽
69'
M
1
N. Atubolu
G
N. Atubolu
G
33
J. Makengo
D
J. Makengo
D
3
P. Lienhart
D
P. Lienhart
D
28
M. Ginter
D
M. Ginter
D
29
P. Treu
D
P. Treu
D
44
J. Manzambi
M
J. Manzambi
M
8
M. Eggestein
M
M. Eggestein
M
32
V. Grifo
1 ⚽
81'
M
V. Grifo
1 ⚽
81'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
81'
M
Y. Suzuki
81'
M
19
J. Beste
1 👟
M
J. Beste
1 👟
M
31
I. Matanović
F
I. Matanović
F
Bench
30
C. Günter
D
C. Günter
D
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
F
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
F
7
D. Scherhant
14'
F
D. Scherhant
14'
F
43
I. Ogbus
D
I. Ogbus
D
9
L. Höler
14'
F
L. Höler
14'
F
17
L. Kübler
D
L. Kübler
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
M
Nicolas Höfler
M
Best on the pitch
Víctor Gómez
D · SC
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
N. Atubolu
G · SC
8.00
· 56 pass
E. Tıknaz
M · SC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
V. Grifo
M · SC
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
João Moutinho
M · SC
7.50
2 shots
· 62 pass
M. Dorgeles
M · SC
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Vitor Carvalho | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 73 | 63% | 4 | — | — |
| Víctor Gómez | D | 95 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 34% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. Tıknaz | M | 95 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 58 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Horta | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Zalazar | M | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Pau Victor | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Dorgeles | M | 69 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Atubolu | G | 95 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 40% | — | — | — |
| J. Makengo | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Lienhart | D | 95 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Ginter | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Treu | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 81 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Scherhant | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
The final score was SC Braga 2–1 SC Freiburg.
What did the model predict before SC Braga vs SC Freiburg?
The model assigned 46% probability to a SC Braga win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an SC Freiburg win.