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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8 October 09, 2026 21:15 Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
SC Braga
#9 · 11 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Sporting CP
#3 · 18 pts
Rui Silva 41' (og)
66' (ast. Nestory Irankunda) Luis Suárez
(og) 71' Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes
82' (ast. Geny Catamo) Rodrigo Zalazar
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 41% win probability (draw 29%, SC Braga 29%). The final result was SC Braga 1–3 Sporting CP. In 2 previous meetings, SC Braga have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Sporting CP.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
1.54
Actual xG
0.97
1
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
2
22
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Rui Silva (og)
41'
58'
Maximiliano Araujo / Georgios Vagiannidis ↕
58'
Rodrigo Zalazar / Silas Andersen ↕
59'
Luis Suárez / Fotis Ioannidis ↕
66'
ast. Nestory Irankunda · Luis Suárez⚽
↕ Denis Huseinbasic / Mario Dorgeles
66'
↕ Gabriel Silva / Gabriel Martínez Aguilera
67'
71'
(og) Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes⚽
↕ João Moutinho / Tommy Marqués
74'
↕ Pau Victor / Jonas Wind
74'
79'
Flávio Gonçalves / Nestory Irankunda ↕
82'
ast. Geny Catamo · Rodrigo Zalazar⚽
↕ Adrian Bajrami / Fra Navarro
84'
84'
João Simões / Rodrigo Zalazar ↕
Sergio Barcia
89'
89'
Flávio Gonçalves
Pre-match prediction
29.39%
SC
29.36%
X
41.25%
Sporting ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP) 41.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
0.80
1.54
+0.74
Sporting
1.53
0.97
-0.56
SC Braga dominated by xG (1.54 vs 0.97). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 9 27
2 Benfica Benfica 9 22
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 9 18
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 9 18
5 Arouca Arouca 9 17
6 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 9 17
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 9 14
8 Alverca Alverca 9 11
9 SC Braga SC Braga 9 11
10 Moreirense Moreirense 9 11
11 Famalicao Famalicao 9 10
12 Estrela Estrela 9 10
13 Vitória SC Vitória SC 9 8
14 Maritimo Maritimo 9 8
15 Nacional Nacional 9 7
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 9 7
17 Rio Ave Rio Ave 9 7
18 Estoril Estoril 9 2
Lineups
SC Braga SC Braga 3-4-2-1
31 Bernardo Fontes Bernardo Fontes 1 ⚽ G 5.56
44 A. Bajrami A. Bajrami 84' D 6.13
6 Vitor Carvalho Vitor Carvalho D 6.75
22 Sergio Barcia Sergio Barcia D 5.98
11 Gabriel Silva Gabriel Silva 67' M 5.60
8 João Moutinho João Moutinho 74' M 6.56
29 J. Gorby J. Gorby M 6.22
2 Víctor Gómez Víctor Gómez M 5.76
21 Ricardo Horta Ricardo Horta M 6.44
23 D. Huseinbašić D. Huseinbašić 66' M 6.31
10 Pau Victor Pau Victor 74' F 6.46
Bench
26 B. Arrey-Mbi B. Arrey-Mbi D 0.00
50 Diego Rodrigues Diego Rodrigues M 0.00
7 Diogo Travassos Diogo Travassos D 0.00
34 E. Tıknaz E. Tıknaz M 0.00
9 Fran Navarro Fran Navarro 6' F 6.37
77 Gabri Martínez Gabri Martínez 23' F 6.51
14 G. Lagerbielke G. Lagerbielke D 0.00
17 J. Milošević J. Milošević F 0.00
78 João Carvalho João Carvalho G 0.00
19 J. Wind J. Wind 16' F 6.56
20 M. Dorgeles M. Dorgeles 24' M 5.68
16 Tomás Marqués Tomás Marqués 16' M 6.00
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-3-3
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva 1 ⚽ G 6.21
13 G. Vagiannidis G. Vagiannidis 58' D 6.75
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D 6.68
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D 6.99
22 Iván Fresneda Iván Fresneda D 6.72
77 I. Doumbia I. Doumbia M 6.24
5 Sergi Altimira Sergi Altimira M 6.48
4 S. Andersen S. Andersen 58' M 5.83
19 N. Irankunda N. Irankunda 1 👟 79' F 6.92
7 F. Ioannidis F. Ioannidis 59' F 6.62
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 1 👟 F 6.85
Bench
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo Eduardo Felicíssimo M 0.00
58 Flávio Gonçalves Flávio Gonçalves 11' F 6.30
55 Ibrahima Ba Ibrahima Ba D 0.00
28 J. Derry J. Derry F 0.00
8 João Simões João Simões 6' M 5.91
30 Kaique Kaique G 0.00
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ 31' F 8.16
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme F 0.00
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo 32' M 6.41
21 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima M 0.00
9 Rafael Ferreira Nel Rafael Ferreira Nel F 0.00
17 R. Zalazar R. Zalazar 1 ⚽ 26' M 7.15
Best on the pitch
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
8.16
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
R. Zalazar
R. Zalazar
M · Sporting
7.15
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Eduardo Quaresma
Eduardo Quaresma
D · Sporting
6.99
· 71 pass
N. Irankunda
N. Irankunda
F · Sporting
6.92
1 👟
· 22 pass
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo
F · Sporting
6.85
1 👟
2 shots · 26 pass
G. Vagiannidis
G. Vagiannidis
D · Sporting
6.75
1 shots · 29 pass
SC Braga SC Braga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bernardo Fontes G 90 5.56 1 — 0 29 20% 0 — —
A. Bajrami D 84 6.13 — — 0 30 23% 2 — —
Vitor Carvalho D 90 6.75 — — 1 58 54% 1 — —
Sergio Barcia D 90 5.98 — — 1 36 28% 2 1 —
Gabriel Silva M 67 5.60 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
João Moutinho M 74 6.56 — — 0 56 49% 5 — —
J. Gorby M 90 6.22 — — 0 48 44% 1 — —
Víctor Gómez M 90 5.76 — — 1 37 28% 1 — —
Ricardo Horta M 90 6.44 — — 2 36 28% 1 — —
D. Huseinbašić M 66 6.31 — — 3 28 26% 3 — —
Pau Victor F 74 6.46 — — 2 25 20% 1 — —
Fran Navarro F 6 6.37 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Gabri Martínez F 23 6.51 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
J. Wind F 16 6.56 — — 1 10 8% 0 — —
M. Dorgeles M 24 5.68 — — 1 15 13% 1 — —
Tomás Marqués M 16 6.00 — — 1 9 9% 2 — —
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 90 6.21 1 — 0 51 38% 0 — —
G. Vagiannidis D 58 6.75 — — 1 29 27% 0 — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 90 6.68 — — 0 70 61% 0 — —
Eduardo Quaresma D 90 6.99 — — 0 71 63% 7 — —
Iván Fresneda D 90 6.72 — — 0 52 48% 2 — —
I. Doumbia M 90 6.24 — — 1 24 19% 1 — —
Sergi Altimira M 90 6.48 — — 2 44 42% 1 — —
S. Andersen M 58 5.83 — — 0 25 17% 3 — —
N. Irankunda F 79 6.92 — 1 0 22 17% 0 — —
F. Ioannidis F 59 6.62 — — 0 13 12% 1 — —
Geny Catamo F 90 6.85 — 1 2 26 22% 0 — —
Flávio Gonçalves F 11 6.30 — — 0 4 3% 0 1 —
João Simões M 6 5.91 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
L. Suárez F 31 8.16 1 — 1 8 6% 1 — —
M. Araújo M 32 6.41 — — 1 9 8% 1 — —
R. Zalazar M 26 7.15 1 — 1 9 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
The final score was SC Braga 1–3 Sporting CP.
What did the model predict before SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
The model assigned 29% probability to a SC Braga win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an Sporting CP win.