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SC Covilha - Mortágua

Taça de Portugal August 30, 2026 18:00
SC Covilha
vs
Mortágua
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
SC Covilha
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Mortágua
1.17
Expected xG
0.57

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.3%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives SC Covilha a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Mortágua. Expected goals are 1.2 for SC Covilha and 0.6 for Mortágua (total 1.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.3% probability.

Season Stats

SC Covilha
1W 1D 1L
Mortágua
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
1.3
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
75%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
25%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
SC Covilha
1W 0D 1L · at home
Mortágua
1W 0D 1L · away
0.5
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.5
50%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ SC Covilha Mortágua →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.6% 10.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 20.6% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 12.0% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% — —
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% — — —
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

SC Covilha SC Covilha
L Lusitano Évora 1911 0–2
W Uniao Nogueirense 1–0
D Ovarense 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Mortágua Mortágua
L Guimaraes 4–0
W Portimonense B 2–0
D Os Marialvas 0–0
W Carregal 1–2

Playing profile

SC Covilha SC Covilha
Attack
31
Defence
74
Form
57
Mortágua Mortágua
Attack
23
Defence
62
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SC Covilha vs Mortágua?
The model gives SC Covilha a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Mortágua win.
How many goals are expected in SC Covilha vs Mortágua?
Expected goals: SC Covilha 1.2, Mortágua 0.6 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in SC Covilha vs Mortágua?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.