Europa League
· Final
May 20, 2026 21:00
41'
(ast. M. Rogers)
Y. Tielemans
45'+3
(ast. J. McGinn)
E. Buendia
58'
(ast. E. Buendia)
M. Rogers
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 49% win probability (draw 19%, SC Freiburg 31%). The final result was SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
6
0.22
Actual xG
2.08
3
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
1
Corners
8
16
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
P. Treu
5'
15'
E. Buendia
21'
M. Cash
41'
ast. M. Rogers ·
Y. Tielemans⚽
45'+3
ast. J. McGinn ·
E. Buendia⚽
58'
ast. E. Buendia ·
M. Rogers⚽
P. Lienhart
/ M. Rosenfelder
61'
N. Hofler
/ L. Holer
61'
66'
A. Onana
/
V. Lindelof
V. Grifo
/ D. Scherhant
73'
L. Kubler
/ J. Makengo
73'
81'
J. Sancho
/
E. Buendia
81'
I. Maatsen
/
L. Digne
84'
J. McGinn
J. Beste
/ C. Gunter
86'
88'
T. Mings
/
P. Torres
88'
Douglas Luiz
/
Y. Tielemans
Pre-match prediction
31.08%
SC
19.6%
X
49.32%
Aston ←
we assigned to the actual result (Aston Villa)
49.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
0.22
-1.72
2.49
2.08
-0.41
Aston Villa dominated by xG (2.08 vs 0.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
N. Atubolu
G
N. Atubolu
G
29
P. Treu
D
P. Treu
D
3
P. Lienhart
61'
D
P. Lienhart
61'
D
28
M. Ginter
D
M. Ginter
D
17
L. Kübler
73'
D
L. Kübler
73'
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
61'
M
Nicolas Höfler
61'
M
8
M. Eggestein
M
M. Eggestein
M
32
V. Grifo
73'
M
V. Grifo
73'
M
44
J. Manzambi
M
J. Manzambi
M
19
J. Beste
86'
M
J. Beste
86'
M
31
I. Matanović
F
I. Matanović
F
Bench
5
Anthony Jung
D
Anthony Jung
D
30
C. Günter
4'
D
C. Günter
4'
D
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
F
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
F
7
D. Scherhant
17'
F
D. Scherhant
17'
F
21
F. Müller
G
F. Müller
G
43
I. Ogbus
D
I. Ogbus
D
24
Jannik Huth
G
Jannik Huth
G
33
J. Makengo
17'
D
J. Makengo
17'
D
9
L. Höler
29'
F
L. Höler
29'
F
26
Maximilian Philipp
F
Maximilian Philipp
F
37
M. Rosenfelder
29'
D
M. Rosenfelder
29'
D
6
Patrick Osterhage
M
Patrick Osterhage
M
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
12
L. Digne
81'
D
L. Digne
81'
D
14
Pau Torres
88'
D
Pau Torres
88'
D
4
E. Konsa
D
E. Konsa
D
2
M. Cash
D
M. Cash
D
8
Y. Tielemans
1 ⚽
88'
M
Y. Tielemans
1 ⚽
88'
M
3
V. Lindelöf
66'
M
V. Lindelöf
66'
M
10
E. Buendía
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
M
E. Buendía
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
M
27
M. Rogers
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
M. Rogers
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
J. McGinn
1 👟
M
J. McGinn
1 👟
M
11
O. Watkins
F
O. Watkins
F
Bench
24
Amadou Onana
24'
M
Amadou Onana
24'
M
16
Andrés García
D
Andrés García
D
21
Douglas Luiz
2'
M
Douglas Luiz
2'
M
9
H. Elliott
M
H. Elliott
M
22
I. Maatsen
9'
D
I. Maatsen
9'
D
19
Jadon Sancho
9'
F
Jadon Sancho
9'
F
64
J. Wright
G
J. Wright
G
31
L. Bailey
F
L. Bailey
F
26
L. Bogarde
M
L. Bogarde
M
40
M. Bizot
G
M. Bizot
G
18
T. Abraham
F
T. Abraham
F
5
T. Mings
2'
D
T. Mings
2'
D
Best on the pitch
Y. Tielemans
M · Aston
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
E. Buendía
M · Aston
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 29 pass
M. Rogers
M · Aston
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 15 pass
J. McGinn
M · Aston
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
E. Martínez
G · Aston
7.00
· 34 pass
M. Rosenfelder
D · SC
6.90
1 shots
· 26 pass
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Atubolu | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| P. Treu | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Lienhart | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ginter | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Kübler | D | 73 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Günter | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Scherhant | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Makengo | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Rosenfelder | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Torres | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| E. Konsa | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | — | — | — |
| M. Cash | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 88 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 81 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Rogers | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Watkins | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Amadou Onana | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Maatsen | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jadon Sancho | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Mings | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa?
The final score was SC Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa?
The model assigned 31% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 19% to a draw, and 49% to an Aston Villa win.