✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München
J. Manzambi
(ast. M. Eggestein)
46'
L. Holer
71'
81'
(ast. L. Karl)
T. Bischof
90'
(ast. M. Olise)
T. Bischof
90'
(ast. A. Davies)
L. Karl
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 67% win probability (draw 14%, SC Freiburg 18%). The final result was SC Freiburg 2–3 Bayern München. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bayern München.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
9
1.82
Actual xG
2.80
6
Saves
2
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
8
23
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Christian Günter
-5'
25'
Jonathan Tah
Matthias Ginter
29'
⚽J. Manzambi
· ast. M. Eggestein
46'
56'
K. Laimer
/
J. Tah
56'
M. Olise
/
R. Guerreiro
56'
A. Pavlovic
/
L. Goretzka
C. Gunter
/ L. Kubler
65'
65'
J. Musiala
/
S. Gnabry
⚽L. Holer
71'
73'
Michael Olise
J. Manzambi
/ I. Matanovic
78'
J. Beste
/ C. Irie
78'
81'
ast. L. Karl ·
T. Bischof⚽
87'
A. Davies
/
Kim Min-Jae
L. Holer
/ B. Ogbus
89'
Noah Atubolu
90'+9
90'+10
Lennart Karl
Y. Suzuki
/ N. Hofler
90'
90'
ast. M. Olise ·
T. Bischof⚽
90'
ast. A. Davies ·
L. Karl⚽
Pre-match prediction
18.53%
SC
14.36%
X
67.11%
Bayern ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München)
67.11%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
1.82
+0.41
3.19
2.80
-0.39
Bayern München dominated by xG (2.80 vs 1.82).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Noah Atubolu
G
Noah Atubolu
G
30
Christian Günter
65'
D
Christian Günter
65'
D
3
Philipp Lienhart
D
Philipp Lienhart
D
28
Matthias Ginter
D
Matthias Ginter
D
29
Philipp Treu
D
Philipp Treu
D
44
J. Manzambi
1 ⚽
78'
M
J. Manzambi
1 ⚽
78'
M
8
M. Eggestein
1 👟
M
M. Eggestein
1 👟
M
7
Derry Scherhant
M
Derry Scherhant
M
14
Y. Suzuki
89'
M
Y. Suzuki
89'
M
19
J. Beste
78'
M
J. Beste
78'
M
9
L. Höler
1 ⚽
89'
F
L. Höler
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
43
Bruno Ogbus
12'
D
Bruno Ogbus
12'
D
22
Cyriaque Irié
12'
F
31
Igor Matanović
12'
F
Igor Matanović
12'
F
17
Lukas Kübler
25'
D
Lukas Kübler
25'
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
11'
M
Nicolas Höfler
11'
M
32
V. Grifo
M
V. Grifo
M
1
Manuel Neuer
G
Manuel Neuer
G
20
Tom Bischof
2 ⚽
D
Tom Bischof
2 ⚽
D
4
Jonathan Tah
56'
D
Jonathan Tah
56'
D
3
Kim Min-Jae
87'
D
Kim Min-Jae
87'
D
44
Josip Stanišić
D
Josip Stanišić
D
8
Leon Goretzka
56'
M
Leon Goretzka
56'
M
6
J. Kimmich
M
J. Kimmich
M
14
L. Díaz
M
L. Díaz
M
22
Raphaël Guerreiro
56'
M
Raphaël Guerreiro
56'
M
42
Lennart Karl
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Lennart Karl
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
S. Gnabry
65'
F
S. Gnabry
65'
F
Bench
19
Alphonso Davies
1 👟
14'
D
Alphonso Davies
1 👟
14'
D
45
A. Pavlović
34'
M
A. Pavlović
34'
M
2
D. Upamecano
D
D. Upamecano
D
21
Hiroki Itō
D
Hiroki Itō
D
10
J. Musiala
25'
M
J. Musiala
25'
M
27
K. Laimer
34'
M
K. Laimer
34'
M
17
M. Olise
1 👟
34'
M
M. Olise
1 👟
34'
M
Best on the pitch
Tom Bischof
D · Bayern
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 52 pass
J. Beste
M · SC
8.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
J. Manzambi
M · SC
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
L. Höler
F · SC
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 14 pass
J. Kimmich
M · Bayern
7.50
2 shots
· 83 pass
M. Eggestein
M · SC
7.20
1 👟
· 27 pass
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Christian Günter | D | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 78 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 78 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 14 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Bayern München — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Neuer | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Tom Bischof | D | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 4 | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Tah | D | 56 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kim Min-Jae | D | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Josip Stanišić | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Leon Goretzka | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Kimmich | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 83 | 76% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Lennart Karl | M | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Gnabry | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Alphonso Davies | D | 14 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Pavlović | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Musiala | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| K. Laimer | M | 34 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Olise | M | 34 | 5.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
The final score was SC Freiburg 2–3 Bayern München.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
The model assigned 18% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 14% to a draw, and 67% to an Bayern München win.