Europa League
· Quarter-finals
April 09, 2026 21:00
V. Grifo
(ast. J. Manzambi)
10'
J. Beste
(ast. I. Matanovic)
32'
M. Ginter
(ast. J. Beste)
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 51% win probability (draw 20%, Celta Vigo 27%). The final result was SC Freiburg 3–0 Celta Vigo. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Celta Vigo.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
0
1.56
Actual xG
0.58
0
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
0
19
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽V. Grifo
· ast. J. Manzambi
10'
⚽J. Beste
· ast. I. Matanovic
32'
46'
J. El Abdellaoui
/
W. Swedberg
46'
F. Lopez
/
J. Rodriguez
61'
M. Vecino
/
H. Sotelo
73'
P. Duran
/
F. Jutgla
73'
I. Aspas
/
B. Iglesias
V. Grifo
/ L. Holer
74'
Y. Suzuki
/ D. Scherhant
74'
⚽M. Ginter
· ast. J. Beste
78'
J. Beste
/ L. Kubler
89'
M. Eggestein
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
51.76%
SC ←
20.85%
X
27.39%
Celta
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg)
51.76%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
1.56
-0.54
1.79
0.58
-1.21
SC Freiburg dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.58).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Noah Atubolu
G
Noah Atubolu
G
33
Jordy Makengo
D
Jordy Makengo
D
3
Philipp Lienhart
D
Philipp Lienhart
D
28
Matthias Ginter
1 ⚽
D
Matthias Ginter
1 ⚽
D
29
Philipp Treu
D
Philipp Treu
D
44
J. Manzambi
1 👟
M
J. Manzambi
1 👟
M
8
M. Eggestein
M
M. Eggestein
M
32
V. Grifo
1 ⚽
74'
M
V. Grifo
1 ⚽
74'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
74'
M
Y. Suzuki
74'
M
19
J. Beste
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
J. Beste
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
31
Igor Matanović
1 👟
F
Igor Matanović
1 👟
F
Bench
43
Bruno Ogbus
D
Bruno Ogbus
D
30
Christian Günter
D
Christian Günter
D
22
Cyriaque Irié
F
7
Derry Scherhant
16'
F
Derry Scherhant
16'
F
9
L. Höler
16'
F
L. Höler
16'
F
17
Lukas Kübler
1'
D
Lukas Kübler
1'
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
M
Nicolas Höfler
M
13
Ionuț Radu
G
Ionuț Radu
G
20
Marcos Alonso
D
Marcos Alonso
D
4
D
32
Javi Rodríguez
45'
D
Javi Rodríguez
45'
D
5
M
6
I. Moriba
M
I. Moriba
M
22
Hugo Sotelo
61'
M
Hugo Sotelo
61'
M
3
Óscar Mingueza
M
Óscar Mingueza
M
19
W. Swedberg
45'
F
W. Swedberg
45'
F
7
Borja Iglesias
73'
F
Borja Iglesias
73'
F
9
Ferran Jutglà
73'
F
Ferran Jutglà
73'
F
Bench
14
Alvaro Núñez
D
Alvaro Núñez
D
36
Andrés Antañón
M
Andrés Antañón
M
30
Fer López
45'
M
Fer López
45'
M
10
Iago Aspas
17'
F
Iago Aspas
17'
F
15
Matías Vecino
29'
M
Matías Vecino
29'
M
18
Pablo Durán
17'
F
Pablo Durán
17'
F
29
Yoel Lago
D
Yoel Lago
D
Best on the pitch
Matthias Ginter
D · SC
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 67 pass
J. Manzambi
M · SC
8.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 52 pass
J. Beste
M · SC
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
V. Grifo
M · SC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Philipp Treu
D · SC
7.60
· 61 pass
M. Eggestein
M · SC
7.60
1 shots
· 55 pass
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 67 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 59% | — | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 52 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 74 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | F | 16 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț Radu | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| I. Moriba | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Fer López | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Matías Vecino | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs Celta Vigo?
The final score was SC Freiburg 3–0 Celta Vigo.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs Celta Vigo?
The model assigned 51% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 20% to a draw, and 27% to an Celta Vigo win.