Maximilian Eggestein
10'
Keisuke Goto
(ast. Vincenzo Grifo)
85'
30'
(ast. Adrian Tobias Gantenbein)
Kenan Karaman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 40% win probability (draw 29%, FC Schalke 04 29%). The final result was SC Freiburg 2–1 FC Schalke 04.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
1
1.07
Actual xG
0.32
0
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
2
15
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Maximilian Eggestein
10'
30'
ast. Adrian Tobias Gantenbein ·
Kenan Karaman⚽
Yuito Suzuki
49'
Matthias Ginter
57'
Yuito Suzuki
64'
Igor Matanovic
/ Lucas Höler
65'
Jan-Niklas Beste
/ Cyriaque Irié
69'
Yannick Engelhardt
/ Keisuke Goto
69'
69'
Ron Schallenberg
/
Satoshi Tanaka
69'
Edin Džeko
/
Junior Chukwubuike Adamu
79'
Adil Aouchiche
/
Adrian Tobias Gantenbein
79'
Timo Becker
/
Maximilian Wöber
79'
Hwang Hee-Chan
/
Moussa Sylla
Philipp Treu
/ Lukas Kübler
83'
Derry Lionel Scherhant
/ Vincenzo Grifo
83'
⚽Keisuke Goto
· ast. Vincenzo Grifo
85'
87'
Hwang Hee-Chan
Pre-match prediction
40.51%
SC ←
29.88%
X
29.61%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg)
40.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
1.07
-0.93
1.27
0.32
-0.95
SC Freiburg dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Backhaus
G
M. Backhaus
G
33
J. Makengo
D
J. Makengo
D
3
P. Lienhart
D
P. Lienhart
D
28
M. Ginter
D
M. Ginter
D
29
P. Treu
83'
D
P. Treu
83'
D
16
Yannick Engelhardt
69'
M
Yannick Engelhardt
69'
M
8
M. Eggestein
1 ⚽
M
M. Eggestein
1 ⚽
M
7
D. Scherhant
83'
M
D. Scherhant
83'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
64'
M
Y. Suzuki
64'
M
19
J. Beste
69'
M
J. Beste
69'
M
31
I. Matanović
65'
F
I. Matanović
65'
F
Bench
30
C. Günter
D
C. Günter
D
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
21'
F
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
21'
F
24
Jannik Huth
G
Jannik Huth
G
42
K. Goto
1 ⚽
21'
F
K. Goto
1 ⚽
21'
F
9
L. Höler
25'
F
L. Höler
25'
F
17
L. Kübler
7'
D
L. Kübler
7'
D
37
M. Rosenfelder
D
M. Rosenfelder
D
6
P. Osterhage
M
P. Osterhage
M
32
V. Grifo
1 👟
7'
M
V. Grifo
1 👟
7'
M
1
L. Karius
G
L. Karius
G
39
M. Wöber
79'
D
M. Wöber
79'
D
25
N. Katić
D
N. Katić
D
4
H. Kuruçay
D
H. Kuruçay
D
8
R. Gosens
M
R. Gosens
M
13
S. Tanaka
69'
M
S. Tanaka
69'
M
23
S. El-Faouzi
M
S. El-Faouzi
M
17
A. Gantenbein
1 👟
79'
M
A. Gantenbein
1 👟
79'
M
19
K. Karaman
1 ⚽
M
K. Karaman
1 ⚽
M
9
M. Sylla
79'
M
M. Sylla
79'
M
20
J. Adamu
69'
F
J. Adamu
69'
F
Bench
24
A. Aouchiche
11'
M
A. Aouchiche
11'
M
10
E. Džeko
21'
F
E. Džeko
21'
F
7
Hwang Hee-Chan
11'
F
Hwang Hee-Chan
11'
F
29
J. Dina Ebimbe
M
J. Dina Ebimbe
M
22
K. Müller
G
K. Müller
G
43
M. Ayhan
D
M. Ayhan
D
6
R. Schallenberg
21'
M
R. Schallenberg
21'
M
5
T. Becker
11'
D
T. Becker
11'
D
33
Vitalie Becker
D
Vitalie Becker
D
Best on the pitch
M. Eggestein
M · SC
7.78
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 40 pass
K. Goto
F · SC
7.68
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
H. Kuruçay
D · FC
7.12
· 55 pass
M. Ginter
D · SC
6.89
2 shots
· 68 pass
M. Wöber
D · FC
6.88
· 51 pass
L. Höler
F · SC
6.81
· 12 pass
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Backhaus | G | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Makengo | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Lienhart | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ginter | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Treu | D | 83 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Yannick Engelhardt | M | 69 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 90 | 7.78 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Scherhant | M | 83 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 64 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | 1 |
| J. Beste | M | 69 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 65 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Cyriaque Kalou Irié | F | 21 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Goto | F | 21 | 7.68 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 25 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Kübler | D | 7 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 7 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Karius | G | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Wöber | D | 79 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Katić | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Kuruçay | D | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Gosens | M | 90 | 5.79 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Tanaka | M | 69 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. El-Faouzi | M | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gantenbein | M | 79 | 6.79 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| K. Karaman | M | 90 | 6.62 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sylla | M | 79 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Adamu | F | 69 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Aouchiche | M | 11 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Džeko | F | 21 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Hwang Hee-Chan | F | 11 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Schallenberg | M | 21 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Becker | D | 11 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
The final score was SC Freiburg 2–1 FC Schalke 04.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
The model assigned 40% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an FC Schalke 04 win.