Conference League
· League Stage - 1
October 15, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction SC Freiburg
V. Grifo
15'
D. Pavlovic
53'
(og)
M. Eggestein
(ast. L. Kubler)
65'
28'
(ast. J. Slama)
A. Rusek
90'+3
G. Kuol
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 61% win probability (draw 24%, FK Jablonec 14%). The final result was SC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
1
1.85
Actual xG
0.78
0
Saves
8
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
1
10
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
N. Tekijaski
⚽V. Grifo
15'
28'
ast. J. Slama ·
A. Rusek⚽
⚽D. Pavlovic
(og)
53'
L. Holer
/ I. Matanovic
59'
C. Gunter
/ J. Makengo
59'
63'
N. Okeke
⚽M. Eggestein
· ast. L. Kubler
65'
66'
G. Kuol
/
S. Alioum
66'
S. Nebyla
/
N. Okeke
M. Rosenfelder
/ P. Lienhart
71'
C. Irie
/ K. Goto
71'
P. Osterhage
72'
76'
D. Holly
/
A. Rusek
76'
D. Soucek
/
R. Sedlacek
77'
D. Holly
84'
J. Chramosta
/
M. Polidar
L. Kubler
/ P. Treu
84'
90'+3
G. Kuol⚽
Pre-match prediction
61.05%
SC ←
24.27%
X
14.68%
FK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg)
61.05%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.79
1.85
+0.06
0.63
0.78
+0.15
SC Freiburg dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.78).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
M. Backhaus
84'
G
M. Backhaus
84'
G
30
C. Günter
59'
D
C. Günter
59'
D
37
M. Rosenfelder
71'
D
M. Rosenfelder
71'
D
28
M. Ginter
84'
D
M. Ginter
84'
D
17
L. Kübler
1 👟
84'
D
L. Kübler
1 👟
84'
D
6
P. Osterhage
84'
M
P. Osterhage
84'
M
8
M. Eggestein
1 ⚽
84'
M
M. Eggestein
1 ⚽
84'
M
32
V. Grifo
1 ⚽
84'
M
V. Grifo
1 ⚽
84'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
84'
M
Y. Suzuki
84'
M
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
71'
M
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
71'
M
9
L. Höler
59'
F
L. Höler
59'
F
Bench
5
A. Jung
D
A. Jung
D
21
F. Müller
G
F. Müller
G
31
I. Matanović
25'
F
I. Matanović
25'
F
24
Jannik Huth
G
Jannik Huth
G
33
J. Makengo
25'
D
J. Makengo
25'
D
42
K. Goto
13'
F
K. Goto
13'
F
40
Mateo Zelic
F
Mateo Zelic
F
3
P. Lienhart
13'
D
P. Lienhart
13'
D
29
P. Treu
D
P. Treu
D
20
R. Yamamoto
M
R. Yamamoto
M
16
Y. Engelhardt
M
Y. Engelhardt
M
1
J. Hanuš
84'
G
J. Hanuš
84'
G
20
J. Sláma
1 👟
84'
D
J. Sláma
1 👟
84'
D
15
D. Pavlović
1 ⚽
84'
D
D. Pavlović
1 ⚽
84'
D
4
N. Tekijaški
84'
D
N. Tekijaški
84'
D
18
M. Cedidla
84'
D
M. Cedidla
84'
D
13
R. Sedláček
76'
M
R. Sedláček
76'
M
6
N. Okeke
66'
M
N. Okeke
66'
M
21
M. Polidar
84'
M
M. Polidar
84'
M
17
S. Alioum
66'
M
S. Alioum
66'
M
7
V. Tchanturishvili
84'
M
V. Tchanturishvili
84'
M
9
A. Růsek
1 ⚽
76'
F
A. Růsek
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
12
David Nykrin
D
David Nykrin
D
24
D. Hollý
8'
M
D. Hollý
8'
M
14
D. Souček
8'
D
D. Souček
8'
D
31
Evzen Maly
D
Evzen Maly
D
57
F. Novák
D
F. Novák
D
8
F. Zorvan
M
F. Zorvan
M
36
G. Kuol
1 ⚽
18'
M
G. Kuol
1 ⚽
18'
M
19
J. Chramosta
F
J. Chramosta
F
99
K. Mihelak
G
K. Mihelak
G
25
S. Nebyla
18'
M
S. Nebyla
18'
M
Best on the pitch
V. Grifo
M · SC
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 42 pass
M. Eggestein
M · SC
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 80 pass
M. Rosenfelder
D · SC
7.70
· 72 pass
Y. Suzuki
M · SC
7.50
· 27 pass
M. Cedidla
D · FK
7.50
· 30 pass
A. Růsek
F · FK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Backhaus | G | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| C. Günter | D | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Rosenfelder | D | 71 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 72 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ginter | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Kübler | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Osterhage | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 63% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 84 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 80 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 84 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Kalou Irié | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Makengo | D | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. Goto | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| P. Lienhart | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
FK Jablonec — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hanuš | G | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Sláma | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Pavlović | D | 84 | 5.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tekijaški | D | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Cedidla | D | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Sedláček | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| N. Okeke | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Polidar | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Alioum | M | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| V. Tchanturishvili | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Růsek | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Hollý | M | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Souček | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Kuol | M | 18 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| S. Nebyla | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
The final score was SC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
The model assigned 61% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 24% to a draw, and 14% to an FK Jablonec win.