Europa League · Round of 16 March 19, 2026 18:45

SC Freiburg

#7 · 17 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Genk

#9 · 16 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 43% win probability (draw 22%, SC Freiburg 33%). The final result was SC Freiburg 5–1 Genk. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Genk.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

3

1.95

Actual xG

1.06

46%

Possession

54%

3

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

33.09%

SC ←

22.93%

X

43.98%

Genk

we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg) 33.09% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SC

0.68

1.95

+1.27

Genk

1.96

1.06

-0.9

SC Freiburg dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lyon	8	21
2	Aston Villa	8	21
3	FC Midtjylland	8	19
4	Real Betis	8	17
5	FC Porto	8	17
6	SC Braga	8	17
7	SC Freiburg	8	17
8	AS Roma	8	16
9	Genk	8	16
10	Bologna	8	15
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	15
12	Ferencvarosi TC	8	15
13	Nottingham Forest	8	14
14	Plzen	8	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	14
16	Celta Vigo	8	13
17	PAOK	8	12
18	Lille	8	12
19	Fenerbahçe	8	12
20	Panathinaikos	8	12
21	Celtic	8	11
22	Ludogorets	8	10
23	Dinamo Zagreb	8	10
24	Brann	8	9
25	BSC Young Boys	8	9
26	Sturm Graz	8	7
27	FCSB	8	7
28	GO Ahead Eagles	8	7
29	Feyenoord	8	6
30	FC Basel 1893	8	6
31	Red Bull Salzburg	8	6
32	Rangers	8	4
33	Nice	8	3
34	Utrecht	8	1
35	Malmo FF	8	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	1