Europa League
· Round of 16
March 19, 2026 18:45
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 43% win probability (draw 22%, SC Freiburg 33%). The final result was SC Freiburg 5–1 Genk. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Genk.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
1.95
Actual xG
1.06
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
33.09%
SC ←
22.93%
X
43.98%
Genk
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg)
33.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.68
1.95
+1.27
1.96
1.06
-0.9
SC Freiburg dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs Genk?
The final score was SC Freiburg 5–1 Genk.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs Genk?
The model assigned 33% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 22% to a draw, and 43% to an Genk win.