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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1 August 30, 2026 15:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
SC Freiburg
#1 · 9 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Werder Bremen
#12 · 3 pts
Y. Suzuki (ast. J. Beste) 29'
I. Matanovic (ast. M. Ginter) 45'
Y. Suzuki 48'
Y. Suzuki (ast. I. Matanovic) 55'
76' (ast. M. Grull) D. Stalmach
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Werder Bremen 32%). The final result was SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen. In 2 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Werder Bremen.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
3
1.94
Actual xG
0.48
2
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
5
9
Tackles
28
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Y. Suzuki · ast. J. Beste
29'
⚽I. Matanovic · ast. M. Ginter
45'
↕ J. Beste / C. Irie
46'
46'
D. Stalmach / S. Lynen ↕
⚽Y. Suzuki
48'
48'
L. Reis
⚽Y. Suzuki · ast. I. Matanovic
55'
61'
S. Musah / J. Njinmah ↕
61'
C. Itten / N. Fullkrug ↕
↕ P. Lienhart / M. Rosenfelder
69'
↕ L. Kubler / P. Treu
69'
↕ I. Matanovic / L. Holer
73'
76'
ast. M. Grull · D. Stalmach⚽
↕ Y. Suzuki / K. Goto
80'
85'
E. Dinkci / L. Reis ↕
85'
P. Covic / M. Grull ↕
K. Goto
88'
Pre-match prediction
34.66%
SC ←
32.78%
X
32.57%
Werder
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg) 34.66% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
1.25
1.94
+0.69
Werder
0.98
0.48
-0.5
SC Freiburg dominated by xG (1.94 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
10 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
11 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2 3
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 2 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
1 M. Backhaus M. Backhaus G 5.90
33 J. Makengo J. Makengo D 6.90
3 P. Lienhart P. Lienhart 69' D 7.90
28 M. Ginter M. Ginter 1 👟 D 7.30
17 L. Kübler L. Kübler 69' D 7.90
16 Y. Engelhardt Y. Engelhardt M 6.20
8 M. Eggestein M. Eggestein M 6.90
7 D. Scherhant D. Scherhant M 7.20
14 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 3 ⚽ 80' M 9.50
19 J. Beste J. Beste 1 👟 45' M 7.30
31 I. Matanović I. Matanović 1 ⚽ 1 👟 73' F 9.30
Bench
27 Berkay Yilmaz Berkay Yilmaz D
30 C. Günter C. Günter D
22 Cyriaque Kalou Irié Cyriaque Kalou Irié 45' F 6.70
21 F. Müller F. Müller G
42 K. Goto K. Goto 10' F 6.50
9 L. Höler L. Höler 17' F 6.70
37 M. Rosenfelder M. Rosenfelder 21' D 6.20
29 P. Treu P. Treu 21' D 6.50
32 V. Grifo V. Grifo M
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4-3-3
1 K. Hein K. Hein G 6.00
2 O. Deman O. Deman D 5.90
32 M. Friedl M. Friedl D 6.20
5 A. Pieper A. Pieper D 6.70
33 Mick Schmetgens Mick Schmetgens D 5.90
15 L. Reis L. Reis 85' M 6.90
14 Senne Lynen Senne Lynen 45' M 6.30
20 Chuky San José Chuky San José M 6.20
17 M. Grüll M. Grüll 1 👟 85' F 7.90
10 N. Füllkrug N. Füllkrug 61' F 6.30
11 Justin Njinmah Justin Njinmah 61' F 6.90
Bench
30 A. Schlager A. Schlager G
26 C. Itten C. Itten 29' F 6.50
23 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 1 ⚽ 45' M 8.00
18 E. Dinkçi E. Dinkçi 9' F 6.30
22 Julián Malatini Julián Malatini D
24 P. Čović P. Čović 9' M 6.30
38 P. Erevbenagie P. Erevbenagie F
29 Salim Musah Salim Musah 29' F 6.30
7 S. Mbangula S. Mbangula F
Best on the pitch
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
M · SC
9.50
3 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
I. Matanović
I. Matanović
F · SC
9.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 12 pass
Dariusz Stalmach
Dariusz Stalmach
M · Werder
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
P. Lienhart
P. Lienhart
D · SC
7.90
· 58 pass
L. Kübler
L. Kübler
D · SC
7.90
· 35 pass
M. Grüll
M. Grüll
F · Werder
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Backhaus G 90 5.90 — — — 31 26% — — —
J. Makengo D 90 6.90 — — — 49 45% 2 — —
P. Lienhart D 69 7.90 — — — 58 57% — — —
M. Ginter D 90 7.30 — 1 2 71 64% — — —
L. Kübler D 69 7.90 — — — 35 32% 2 — —
Y. Engelhardt M 90 6.20 — — 1 40 31% — — —
M. Eggestein M 90 6.90 — — 1 56 53% 1 — —
D. Scherhant M 90 7.20 — — 1 29 22% 2 — —
Y. Suzuki M 80 9.50 3 — 3 30 27% — — —
J. Beste M 45 7.30 — 1 2 23 21% — — —
I. Matanović F 73 9.30 1 1 2 12 10% — — —
Cyriaque Kalou Irié F 45 6.70 — — — 15 14% — — —
K. Goto F 10 6.50 — — — 4 3% — 1 —
L. Höler F 17 6.70 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
M. Rosenfelder D 21 6.20 — — — 13 13% — — —
P. Treu D 21 6.50 — — — 14 11% 1 — —
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Hein G 90 6.00 — — — 37 29% — — —
O. Deman D 90 5.90 — — — 47 41% 1 — —
M. Friedl D 90 6.20 — — — 70 68% 1 — —
A. Pieper D 90 6.70 — — 1 63 54% 2 — —
Mick Schmetgens D 90 5.90 — — — 33 29% 1 — —
L. Reis M 85 6.90 — — — 31 30% 7 1 —
Senne Lynen M 45 6.30 — — — 12 10% 2 — —
Chuky San José M 90 6.20 — — — 33 25% 1 — —
M. Grüll F 85 7.90 — 1 1 28 23% 6 — —
N. Füllkrug F 61 6.30 — — 1 18 13% — — —
Justin Njinmah F 61 6.90 — — — 12 8% 2 — —
C. Itten F 29 6.50 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 45 8.00 1 — 1 19 19% 3 — —
E. Dinkçi F 9 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
P. Čović M 9 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Salim Musah F 29 6.30 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
The final score was SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
The model assigned 34% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Werder Bremen win.