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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4 September 20, 2026 19:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
SC Paderborn 07
#12 · 4 pts
3 – 1
Final score
1899 Hoffenheim
#14 · 3 pts
Santiago Castaneda 29'
Stefano Marino (ast. Laurin Curda) 42'
Steffen Tigges (ast. Jonah Sticker) 69'
50' (ast. Max Moerstedt) Adam Daghim
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 37% win probability (draw 31%, SC Paderborn 07 30%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
23
5
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
34%
Possession
66%
6
Corners
5
22
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Santiago Castaneda
29'
⚽Stefano Marino · ast. Laurin Curda
42'
45'
Wouter Burger
45'
Albian Hajdari / Mats Rots ↕
↕ Marvin Pieringer / Steffen Tigges
45'
50'
ast. Max Moerstedt · Adam Daghim⚽
62'
Tim Lemperle / Max Moerstedt ↕
62'
Patrick Wimmer / Adam Hložek ↕
↕ Raphael Obermair / Jonah Sticker
63'
⚽Steffen Tigges · ast. Jonah Sticker
69'
↕ Gabriel Vidović / Tom Baack
73'
↕ Stefano Marino / Rayan Philippe
73'
↕ Mattes Hansen / Felix Götze
75'
80'
Andrej Kramarić / Adam Daghim ↕
80'
Fisnik Asllani / Leon Avdullahu ↕
Pre-match prediction
30.42%
SC ←
31.7%
X
37.89%
1899
we assigned to the actual result (SC Paderborn 07) 30.42% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
0.58
—
—
1899
1.22
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 Bayern München Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4 7
6 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 4 7
8 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 4 3
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2
15 N. Noll N. Noll G 6.21
22 M. Hansen M. Hansen 75' D 6.44
25 T. Scheller T. Scheller D 6.77
21 J. ter Horst J. ter Horst D 6.89
23 R. Obermair R. Obermair 63' M 6.10
40 G. Vidović G. Vidović 73' M 6.49
5 S. Castañeda S. Castañeda 1 ⚽ M 7.97
28 L. Ulrich L. Ulrich M 6.46
17 L. Curda L. Curda 1 👟 M 6.96
30 S. Marino S. Marino 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.72
18 M. Pieringer M. Pieringer 45' F 6.87
Bench
38 D. Zeitler D. Zeitler F 0.00
20 F. Götze F. Götze 15' D 6.34
3 Jonah Benedict Sticker Jonah Benedict Sticker 1 👟 27' M 6.64
1 M. Schubert M. Schubert G 0.00
9 R. Philippe R. Philippe 17' F 6.63
2 Ruben Müller Ruben Müller F 0.00
11 S. Michel S. Michel F 0.00
27 S. Tigges S. Tigges 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.61
6 T. Baack T. Baack 17' M 6.38
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 4-4-2
1 O. Baumann O. Baumann G 5.71
39 M. Rots M. Rots 45' D 6.19
28 K. Machida K. Machida D 6.99
5 O. Kabak O. Kabak D 6.23
34 V. Coufal V. Coufal D 6.04
14 A. Daghim A. Daghim 1 ⚽ 80' M 6.70
18 W. Burger W. Burger M 5.86
7 L. Avdullahu L. Avdullahu 80' M 6.52
20 B. Conté B. Conté M 6.86
9 Max Moerstedt Max Moerstedt 1 👟 62' F 6.83
10 A. Hložek A. Hložek 62' F 6.31
Bench
21 A. Hajdari A. Hajdari 45' D 6.43
27 A. Kramarić A. Kramarić 10' F 6.28
11 F. Asllani F. Asllani 10' F 6.62
37 L. Philipp L. Philipp G 0.00
17 Nathan De Cat Nathan De Cat M 0.00
8 P. Wimmer P. Wimmer 28' M 6.57
2 R. Hranáč R. Hranáč D 0.00
19 T. Lemperle T. Lemperle 28' F 6.44
15 V. Gendrey V. Gendrey D 0.00
Best on the pitch
S. Castañeda
S. Castañeda
M · SC
7.97
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
S. Marino
S. Marino
F · SC
7.72
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
S. Tigges
S. Tigges
F · SC
7.61
1 ⚽
3 shots · 6 pass
K. Machida
K. Machida
D · 1899
6.99
1 shots · 86 pass
L. Curda
L. Curda
M · SC
6.96
1 👟
· 32 pass
J. ter Horst
J. ter Horst
D · SC
6.89
1 shots · 22 pass
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Noll G 90 6.21 — — 0 48 17% 0 — —
M. Hansen D 75 6.44 — — 0 33 27% 0 — —
T. Scheller D 90 6.77 — — 0 27 21% 2 — —
J. ter Horst D 90 6.89 — — 1 22 17% 4 — —
R. Obermair M 63 6.10 — — 2 20 17% 0 — —
G. Vidović M 73 6.49 — — 1 22 20% 1 — —
S. Castañeda M 90 7.97 1 — 2 26 20% 4 — —
L. Ulrich M 90 6.46 — — 0 30 20% 2 — —
L. Curda M 90 6.96 — 1 0 32 23% 3 — —
S. Marino F 73 7.72 1 — 2 14 9% 1 — —
M. Pieringer F 45 6.87 — — 1 20 18% 0 — —
F. Götze D 15 6.34 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
Jonah Benedict Sticker M 27 6.64 — 1 0 8 8% 2 — —
R. Philippe F 17 6.63 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
S. Tigges F 45 7.61 1 — 3 6 4% 0 — —
T. Baack M 17 6.38 — — 0 7 4% 2 — —
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Baumann G 90 5.71 — — 0 44 38% 0 — —
M. Rots D 45 6.19 — — 0 46 41% 1 — —
K. Machida D 90 6.99 — — 1 86 81% 2 — —
O. Kabak D 90 6.23 — — 0 72 63% 2 — —
V. Coufal D 90 6.04 — — 1 61 47% 1 — —
A. Daghim M 80 6.70 1 — 1 29 17% 0 — —
W. Burger M 90 5.86 — — 2 64 50% 2 1 —
L. Avdullahu M 80 6.52 — — 0 66 59% 1 — —
B. Conté M 90 6.86 — — 7 30 27% 3 — —
Max Moerstedt F 62 6.83 — 1 0 14 11% 1 — —
A. Hložek F 62 6.31 — — 2 26 19% 0 — —
A. Hajdari D 45 6.43 — — 2 50 42% 2 — —
A. Kramarić F 10 6.28 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
F. Asllani F 10 6.62 — — 3 7 7% 1 — —
P. Wimmer M 28 6.57 — — 3 19 19% 1 — —
T. Lemperle F 28 6.44 — — 1 15 11% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The final score was SC Paderborn 07 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim.
What did the model predict before SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The model assigned 30% probability to a SC Paderborn 07 win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an 1899 Hoffenheim win.