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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5 October 10, 2026 15:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
SC Paderborn 07
#13 · 8 pts
0 – 2
Final score
VfB Stuttgart
#15 · 6 pts
25' (ast. Angelo Stiller) Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot
83' (ast. Angelo Stiller) Chris Führich
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 40% win probability (draw 29%, SC Paderborn 07 29%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
18
6
Shots on target
8
1.91
Actual xG
2.45
5
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
5
24
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
25'
ast. Angelo Stiller · Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot⚽
Marvin Pieringer
45'
↕ Stefano Marino / Steffen Tigges
70'
↕ Marvin Pieringer / Rayan Philippe
70'
72'
Finn Jeltsch / Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot ↕
77'
Dženan Pejčinović / Ermedin Demirović ↕
77'
Bilal El Khannouss / Jamie Leweling ↕
↕ Laurin Ulrich / Oliver Batista Meier
80'
83'
ast. Angelo Stiller · Chris Führich⚽
↕ Mattes Hansen / Felix Götze
85'
↕ Tjark Scheller / Jonah Sticker
85'
85'
Grischa Prömel / Deniz Undav ↕
85'
Leo Sauer / Chris Führich ↕
Pre-match prediction
29.96%
SC
29.79%
X
40.25%
VfB ←
we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 40.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
1.10
1.91
+0.81
VfB
1.37
2.45
+1.08
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (2.45 vs 1.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2
15 N. Noll N. Noll G 6.54
22 M. Hansen M. Hansen 85' D 7.11
25 T. Scheller T. Scheller 85' D 6.45
21 J. ter Horst J. ter Horst D 6.56
23 R. Obermair R. Obermair M 6.22
40 G. Vidović G. Vidović M 7.06
5 S. Castañeda S. Castañeda M 5.99
28 L. Ulrich L. Ulrich 80' M 6.30
17 L. Curda L. Curda M 6.92
30 S. Marino S. Marino 70' F 6.31
18 M. Pieringer M. Pieringer 70' F 6.11
Bench
20 F. Götze F. Götze 5' D 6.20
3 Jonah Benedict Sticker Jonah Benedict Sticker 5' D 5.95
1 M. Schubert M. Schubert G 0.00
7 O. Batista Meier O. Batista Meier 10' M 6.10
9 R. Philippe R. Philippe 20' F 6.75
2 Ruben Müller Ruben Müller D 0.00
11 S. Michel S. Michel F 0.00
27 S. Tigges S. Tigges 20' F 7.47
6 T. Baack T. Baack M 0.00
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1
41 D. Seimen D. Seimen G 7.24
7 M. Mittelstädt M. Mittelstädt D 7.63
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot 1 ⚽ 72' D 8.39
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks D 7.66
10 C. Führich C. Führich 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20
6 A. Stiller A. Stiller 2 👟 M 8.60
16 A. Karazor A. Karazor M 6.60
4 J. Vagnoman J. Vagnoman M 6.44
26 D. Undav D. Undav 85' M 7.20
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 77' M 6.50
9 E. Demirović E. Demirović 77' F 6.39
Bench
11 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 13' M 7.08
17 D. Pejčinović D. Pejčinović 13' F 6.49
1 F. Bredlow F. Bredlow G 0.00
29 Finn Jeltsch Finn Jeltsch 18' D 7.01
21 G. Prömel G. Prömel 5' M 6.78
22 L. Assignon L. Assignon D 0.00
44 L. Sauer L. Sauer 5' F 6.56
20 L. Stergiou L. Stergiou D 0.00
47 Y. Spalt Y. Spalt D 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Stiller
A. Stiller
M · VfB
8.60
2 👟
· 70 pass
J. Chabot
J. Chabot
D · VfB
8.39
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
C. Führich
C. Führich
M · VfB
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
R. Hendriks
R. Hendriks
D · VfB
7.66
· 48 pass
M. Mittelstädt
M. Mittelstädt
D · VfB
7.63
· 45 pass
S. Tigges
S. Tigges
F · SC
7.47
4 shots · 6 pass
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Noll G 90 6.54 — — 0 47 25% 0 — —
M. Hansen D 85 7.11 — — 0 63 55% 7 — —
T. Scheller D 85 6.45 — — 0 61 51% 3 — —
J. ter Horst D 90 6.56 — — 1 54 49% 2 — —
R. Obermair M 90 6.22 — — 2 32 28% 1 — —
G. Vidović M 90 7.06 — — 4 52 51% 3 — —
S. Castañeda M 90 5.99 — — 1 39 30% 1 — —
L. Ulrich M 80 6.30 — — 3 29 21% 3 — —
L. Curda M 90 6.92 — — 3 38 28% 3 — —
S. Marino F 70 6.31 — — 1 17 13% 0 — —
M. Pieringer F 70 6.11 — — 2 23 17% 0 1 —
F. Götze D 5 6.20 — — 0 12 12% 0 — —
Jonah Benedict Sticker D 5 5.95 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
O. Batista Meier M 10 6.10 — — 1 3 3% 1 — —
R. Philippe F 20 6.75 — — 2 3 2% 0 — —
S. Tigges F 20 7.47 — — 4 6 3% 0 — —
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Seimen G 90 7.24 — — 0 37 23% 0 — —
M. Mittelstädt D 90 7.63 — — 0 45 36% 7 — —
J. Chabot D 72 8.39 1 — 2 36 32% 0 — —
R. Hendriks D 90 7.66 — — 0 48 44% 1 — —
C. Führich M 85 8.20 1 — 3 30 26% 3 — —
A. Stiller M 90 8.60 — 2 0 70 63% 1 — —
A. Karazor M 90 6.60 — — 1 49 38% 3 — —
J. Vagnoman M 90 6.44 — — 0 47 35% 1 — —
D. Undav M 85 7.20 — — 3 36 24% 1 — —
J. Leweling M 77 6.50 — — 2 19 8% 0 — —
E. Demirović F 77 6.39 — — 5 18 12% 0 — —
B. El Khannouss M 13 7.08 — — 0 9 7% 3 — —
D. Pejčinović F 13 6.49 — — 1 3 1% 0 — —
Finn Jeltsch D 18 7.01 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
G. Prömel M 5 6.78 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
L. Sauer F 5 6.56 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
The final score was SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart.
What did the model predict before SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model assigned 29% probability to a SC Paderborn 07 win, 29% to a draw, and 40% to an VfB Stuttgart win.