World Cup
· Group Stage - 3
June 25, 2026 00:00
7'
(ast. Rayan)
Vinicius Junior
45'+3
(ast. Bruno Guimaraes)
Vinicius Junior
60'
(ast. Bruno Guimaraes)
M. Cunha
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brazil a 49% win probability (draw 22%, Scotland 27%). The final result was Scotland 0–3 Brazil.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
9
0.87
Actual xG
4.41
5
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
6
10
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
ast. Rayan ·
Vinicius Junior⚽
22'
45'+3
ast. Bruno Guimaraes ·
Vinicius Junior⚽
A. Robertson
/ K. Tierney
46'
60'
ast. Bruno Guimaraes ·
M. Cunha⚽
62'
Danilo
65'
Fabinho
/
Casemiro
66'
G. Martinelli
/
Lucas Paqueta
76'
Neymar
/
M. Cunha
N. Patterson
/ A. Ralston
82'
B. Gannon-Doak
/ R. Christie
82'
82'
Alex Sandro
/
Douglas Santos
82'
Endrick
/
Rayan
82'
Fabinho
R. Christie
89'
L. Shankland
/ C. Adams
90'+1
J. McGinn
/ F. Curtis
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
27.78%
Scotland
22.98%
X
49.24%
Brazil ←
we assigned to the actual result (Brazil)
49.24%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
0.87
-0.78
2.05
4.41
+2.36
Brazil dominated by xG (4.41 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Angus Gunn
G
Angus Gunn
G
3
Andy Robertson
45'
D
Andy Robertson
45'
D
26
Scott McKenna
D
Scott McKenna
D
13
J. Hendry
D
J. Hendry
D
22
Nathan Patterson
82'
D
Nathan Patterson
82'
D
23
K. McLean
M
K. McLean
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
7
J. McGinn
M
J. McGinn
M
4
S. McTominay
M
S. McTominay
M
17
Ben Gannon-Doak
82'
M
Ben Gannon-Doak
82'
M
20
L. Shankland
F
L. Shankland
F
Bench
2
Aaron Hickey
D
Aaron Hickey
D
10
C. Adams
2'
F
C. Adams
2'
F
21
Craig Gordon
G
Craig Gordon
G
16
Dominic Hyam
D
Dominic Hyam
D
25
Findlay Curtis
2'
F
Findlay Curtis
2'
F
18
George Hirst
F
George Hirst
F
5
Grant Hanley
D
15
John Souttar
D
John Souttar
D
6
Kieran Tierney
48'
D
Kieran Tierney
48'
D
12
Liam Kelly
G
Liam Kelly
G
9
Lyndon Dykes
F
Lyndon Dykes
F
11
R. Christie
11'
M
R. Christie
11'
M
14
Ross Stewart
F
Ross Stewart
F
24
Tony Ralston
11'
D
Tony Ralston
11'
D
8
Tyler Fletcher
M
Tyler Fletcher
M
1
Alisson
G
Alisson
G
16
Douglas Santos
82'
D
Douglas Santos
82'
D
3
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
4
Marquinhos
D
Marquinhos
D
13
Danilo
D
Danilo
D
20
Lucas Paquetá
66'
M
Lucas Paquetá
66'
M
5
Casemiro
65'
M
Casemiro
65'
M
8
Bruno Guimarães
2 👟
M
Bruno Guimarães
2 👟
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
2 ⚽
F
Vinícius Júnior
2 ⚽
F
9
Matheus Cunha
1 ⚽
76'
F
Matheus Cunha
1 ⚽
76'
F
26
Rayan
1 👟
82'
F
Rayan
1 👟
82'
F
Bench
6
Alex Sandro
11'
D
Alex Sandro
11'
D
14
Bremer
D
Bremer
D
18
Danilo Santos
M
Danilo Santos
M
23
Ederson
G
Ederson
G
2
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
19
Endrick
11'
F
Endrick
11'
F
17
Fabinho
28'
M
Fabinho
28'
M
22
Gabriel Martinelli
27'
F
Gabriel Martinelli
27'
F
24
Ibañez
D
Ibañez
D
25
Igor Thiago
F
Igor Thiago
F
15
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
21
Luiz Henrique
F
Luiz Henrique
F
10
Neymar
17'
F
Neymar
17'
F
12
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
Best on the pitch
Vinícius Júnior
F · Brazil
9.00
2 ⚽
7 shots
· 28 pass
Angus Gunn
G · Scotland
8.20
· 34 pass
Rayan
F · Brazil
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 25 pass
Matheus Cunha
F · Brazil
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 26 pass
L. Ferguson
M · Scotland
7.90
2 shots
· 91 pass
Bruno Guimarães
M · Brazil
7.90
2 👟
· 43 pass
Scotland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Gunn | G | 93 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Andy Robertson | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Scott McKenna | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | — | — | — |
| J. Hendry | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Patterson | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| K. McLean | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | — | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 91 | 87% | 3 | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Gannon-Doak | M | 82 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Shankland | F | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Adams | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Findlay Curtis | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Tierney | D | 48 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| R. Christie | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Tony Ralston | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Brazil — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisson | G | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Santos | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 95 | 90% | 2 | — | — |
| Marquinhos | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 85 | 81% | — | — | — |
| Danilo | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Casemiro | M | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | 2 | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | F | 93 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 7 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Cunha | F | 76 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayan | F | 82 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Sandro | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Endrick | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Neymar | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Scotland vs Brazil?
The final score was Scotland 0–3 Brazil.
What did the model predict before Scotland vs Brazil?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Scotland win, 22% to a draw, and 49% to an Brazil win.