2'
(ast. B. Diaz)
I. Saibari
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Morocco a 37% win probability (draw 25%, Scotland 36%). The final result was Scotland 0–1 Morocco.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
2
0.54
Actual xG
0.95
1
Saves
0
41%
Possession
59%
1
Corners
5
20
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. B. Diaz ·
I. Saibari⚽
23'
I. Diop
K. Tierney
/ B. Gannon-Doak
60'
A. Robertson
65'
C. Adams
/ L. Dykes
71'
R. Christie
/ K. McLean
71'
84'
S. Rahimi
/
I. Saibari
84'
C. Talbi
/
B. El Khannouss
84'
A. Amaimouni
/
B. Diaz
N. Patterson
/ A. Ralston
89'
J. McGinn
/ R. Stewart
89'
90'
S. El Mourabet
/
A. Ounahi
Pre-match prediction
36.24%
Scotland
25.83%
X
37.93%
Morocco ←
we assigned to the actual result (Morocco)
37.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
0.54
-0.99
1.46
0.95
-0.51
Morocco dominated by xG (0.95 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Angus Gunn
G
Angus Gunn
G
3
Andy Robertson
D
Andy Robertson
D
13
Jack Hendry
D
Jack Hendry
D
5
Grant Hanley
D
Grant Hanley
D
22
Nathan Patterson
89'
D
Nathan Patterson
89'
D
6
Kieran Tierney
60'
M
Kieran Tierney
60'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
11
R. Christie
71'
M
R. Christie
71'
M
7
John McGinn
89'
M
John McGinn
89'
M
4
S. McTominay
F
S. McTominay
F
10
Che Adams
71'
F
Che Adams
71'
F
Bench
2
Aaron Hickey
D
Aaron Hickey
D
17
Ben Gannon-Doak
36'
F
Ben Gannon-Doak
36'
F
21
Craig Gordon
G
Craig Gordon
G
16
Dominic Hyam
D
Dominic Hyam
D
25
Findlay Curtis
F
Findlay Curtis
F
18
George Hirst
F
George Hirst
F
15
John Souttar
D
John Souttar
D
23
K. McLean
25'
M
K. McLean
25'
M
20
Lawrence Shankland
F
Lawrence Shankland
F
12
Liam Kelly
G
Liam Kelly
G
9
Lyndon Dykes
25'
F
Lyndon Dykes
25'
F
14
Ross Stewart
7'
F
Ross Stewart
7'
F
26
Scott McKenna
D
Scott McKenna
D
24
Tony Ralston
7'
D
Tony Ralston
7'
D
8
Tyler Fletcher
M
Tyler Fletcher
M
1
Yassine Bounou
G
Yassine Bounou
G
3
Noussair Mazraoui
D
Noussair Mazraoui
D
18
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
14
Issa Diop
D
Issa Diop
D
2
Achraf Hakimi
D
Achraf Hakimi
D
24
Neil El Aynaoui
M
Neil El Aynaoui
M
6
A. Bouaddi
M
A. Bouaddi
M
23
Bilal El Khannouss
84'
M
Bilal El Khannouss
84'
M
8
Azzedine Ounahi
M
Azzedine Ounahi
M
10
Brahim Díaz
1 👟
84'
M
Brahim Díaz
1 👟
84'
M
11
I. Saibari
1 ⚽
84'
F
I. Saibari
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
20
A. El Kaabi
F
A. El Kaabi
F
17
Amine Sbai
F
Amine Sbai
F
26
A. Salah-Eddine
D
A. Salah-Eddine
D
22
A. Tagnaouti
G
A. Tagnaouti
G
21
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
12'
F
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
12'
F
7
Chemsdine Talbi
12'
F
Chemsdine Talbi
12'
F
16
Gessime Yassine
F
Gessime Yassine
F
5
Marwane Saadane
D
Marwane Saadane
D
12
M. Mohamedi
G
M. Mohamedi
G
25
R. Halhal
D
R. Halhal
D
15
Samir El Mourabet
6'
M
Samir El Mourabet
6'
M
4
Sofyan Amrabat
M
Sofyan Amrabat
M
9
Soufiane Rahimi
12'
F
Soufiane Rahimi
12'
F
19
Youssef Belammari
D
Youssef Belammari
D
13
Zakaria El Ouahdi
D
Zakaria El Ouahdi
D
Best on the pitch
I. Saibari
F · Morocco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Jack Hendry
D · Scotland
7.70
· 74 pass
Brahim Díaz
M · Morocco
7.30
1 👟
· 41 pass
L. Ferguson
M · Scotland
7.30
· 66 pass
Chadi Riad
D · Morocco
7.20
· 69 pass
Noussair Mazraoui
D · Morocco
7.20
· 54 pass
Scotland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Gunn | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Andy Robertson | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| Jack Hendry | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 74 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| Grant Hanley | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Patterson | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Kieran Tierney | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | 7 | — | — |
| R. Christie | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| John McGinn | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. McTominay | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Che Adams | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Gannon-Doak | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. McLean | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Lyndon Dykes | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Tony Ralston | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Morocco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yassine Bounou | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Noussair Mazraoui | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Chadi Riad | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Issa Diop | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 93 | 79% | — | 1 | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Neil El Aynaoui | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 77% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Bouaddi | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Bilal El Khannouss | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Azzedine Ounahi | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 73 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 39% | — | — | — |
| I. Saibari | F | 84 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Samir El Mourabet | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Soufiane Rahimi | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Scotland vs Morocco?
The final score was Scotland 0–1 Morocco.
What did the model predict before Scotland vs Morocco?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Scotland win, 25% to a draw, and 37% to an Morocco win.