2'
(ast. B. Diaz)
I. Saibari
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Morocco a 37% win probability (draw 25%, Scotland 36%). The final result was Scotland 0–1 Morocco.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
8
0
Shots on target
2
0.54
Actual xG
0.95
1
Saves
0
41%
Possession
59%
1
Corners
5
20
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
ast. B. Diaz ·
I. Saibari⚽
23'
I. Diop
K. Tierney
/ B. Gannon-Doak
60'
A. Robertson
65'
C. Adams
/ L. Dykes
71'
R. Christie
/ K. McLean
71'
84'
S. Rahimi
/
I. Saibari
84'
C. Talbi
/
B. El Khannouss
84'
A. Amaimouni
/
B. Diaz
N. Patterson
/ A. Ralston
89'
J. McGinn
/ R. Stewart
89'
90'
S. El Mourabet
/
A. Ounahi
Pre-match prediction
36.24%
Scotland
25.83%
X
37.93%
Morocco ←
we assigned to the actual result (Morocco)
37.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
0.54
-0.99
1.46
0.95
-0.51
Morocco dominated by xG (0.95 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Gunn
G
A. Gunn
G
3
A. Robertson
D
A. Robertson
D
13
J. Hendry
D
J. Hendry
D
5
G. Hanley
D
G. Hanley
D
22
N. Patterson
89'
D
N. Patterson
89'
D
6
K. Tierney
60'
M
K. Tierney
60'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
11
R. Christie
71'
M
R. Christie
71'
M
7
J. McGinn
89'
M
J. McGinn
89'
M
4
S. McTominay
F
S. McTominay
F
10
C. Adams
71'
F
C. Adams
71'
F
Bench
2
A. Hickey
D
A. Hickey
D
24
A. Ralston
7'
D
A. Ralston
7'
D
17
B. Doak
36'
F
B. Doak
36'
F
21
Craig Gordon
G
Craig Gordon
G
16
D. Hyam
D
D. Hyam
D
25
Findlay Curtis
F
Findlay Curtis
F
18
G. Hirst
F
G. Hirst
F
15
John Souttar
D
John Souttar
D
23
K. McLean
25'
M
K. McLean
25'
M
9
L. Dykes
25'
F
L. Dykes
25'
F
12
L. Kelly
G
L. Kelly
G
20
L. Shankland
F
L. Shankland
F
14
R. Stewart
7'
F
R. Stewart
7'
F
26
S. McKenna
D
S. McKenna
D
8
T. Fletcher
M
T. Fletcher
M
1
Y. Bounou
G
Y. Bounou
G
3
N. Mazraoui
D
N. Mazraoui
D
18
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
14
I. Diop
D
I. Diop
D
2
A. Hakimi
D
A. Hakimi
D
24
N. El Aynaoui
M
N. El Aynaoui
M
6
A. Bouaddi
M
A. Bouaddi
M
23
B. El Khannouss
84'
M
B. El Khannouss
84'
M
8
A. Ounahi
M
A. Ounahi
M
10
Brahim Díaz
1 👟
84'
M
Brahim Díaz
1 👟
84'
M
11
I. Saibari
1 ⚽
84'
F
I. Saibari
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
21
A. Amaimouni
12'
F
A. Amaimouni
12'
F
20
A. El Kaabi
F
A. El Kaabi
F
26
A. Salah-Eddine
D
A. Salah-Eddine
D
17
A. Sbaï
F
A. Sbaï
F
22
A. Tagnaouti
G
7
C. Talbi
12'
F
C. Talbi
12'
F
16
Gessime Yassine
F
Gessime Yassine
F
5
M. Saâdane
D
M. Saâdane
D
12
Munir
G
Munir
G
25
R. Halhal
D
R. Halhal
D
15
S. El Mourabet
6'
M
S. El Mourabet
6'
M
4
Sofyan Amrabat
M
Sofyan Amrabat
M
9
S. Rahimi
12'
F
S. Rahimi
12'
F
19
Youssef Belammari
D
Youssef Belammari
D
13
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Best on the pitch
I. Saibari
F · Morocco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
J. Hendry
D · Scotland
7.70
· 74 pass
Brahim Díaz
M · Morocco
7.30
1 👟
· 41 pass
L. Ferguson
M · Scotland
7.30
· 66 pass
Chadi Riad
D · Morocco
7.20
· 69 pass
N. Mazraoui
D · Morocco
7.20
· 54 pass
Scotland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gunn | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Robertson | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Hendry | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 74 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Hanley | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| N. Patterson | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Tierney | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | 7 | — | — |
| R. Christie | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. McTominay | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Adams | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ralston | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| B. Doak | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. McLean | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Dykes | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Stewart | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Morocco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Bounou | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — |
| N. Mazraoui | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Chadi Riad | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 66% | — | — | — |
| I. Diop | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 93 | 79% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 75% | — | — | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 77% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Bouaddi | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ounahi | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 73 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 39% | — | — | — |
| I. Saibari | F | 84 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Amaimouni | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| C. Talbi | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Rahimi | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Scotland vs Morocco?
The final score was Scotland 0–1 Morocco.
What did the model predict before Scotland vs Morocco?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Scotland win, 25% to a draw, and 37% to an Morocco win.