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UEFA Nations League · League B - 4 October 06, 2026 20:45 Hampden Park, Glasgow
Scotland
#3 · 4 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Slovenia
#2 · 7 pts
Ryan Christie (ast. Oliver McBurnie) 31'
56' (ast. Danijel Sturm) Aljosa Matko
71' (ast. Aljosa Matko) Danijel Sturm
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Scotland a 45% win probability (draw 36%, Slovenia 17%). The final result was Scotland 1–2 Slovenia. In 1 previous meetings, Scotland have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Slovenia.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
0
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
1
Corners
4
18
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
30'
Erik Janža
⚽Ryan Christie · ast. Oliver McBurnie
31'
John McGinn
44'
54'
David Zec
56'
ast. Danijel Sturm · Aljosa Matko⚽
↕ Oliver McBurnie / Kieron Bowie
66'
↕ Stephen Welsh / Aaron Hickey
66'
Luis Binks
68'
71'
ast. Aljosa Matko · Danijel Sturm⚽
↕ Ryan Christie / Josh Mcpake
72'
↕ Ben Gannon-Doak / Findlay Curtis
73'
79'
Žan Celar / Zan Vipotnik ↕
85'
Mark Zabukovnik
↕ John McGinn / Robbie Ure
87'
89'
Srđan Kuzmić / Aljosa Matko ↕
90'+2
Žan Celar
Pre-match prediction
45.86%
Scotland
36.66%
X
17.48%
Slovenia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Slovenia) 17.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Scotland
1.01
—
—
Slovenia
0.52
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Switzerland Switzerland 4 12
2 Slovenia Slovenia 4 7
3 Scotland Scotland 4 4
4 FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia 4 0
Lineups
Scotland Scotland 3-5-1-1
1 A. Gunn A. Gunn G 6.49
4 L. Binks L. Binks D 6.35
13 J. Hendry J. Hendry D 6.97
5 S. Welsh S. Welsh 66' D 6.84
3 A. Robertson A. Robertson M 6.38
8 B. Gilmour B. Gilmour M 6.26
19 L. Ferguson L. Ferguson M 6.87
7 J. McGinn J. McGinn 87' M 5.96
17 B. Doak B. Doak 73' M 6.24
11 R. Christie R. Christie 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.56
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie 1 👟 66' F 6.87
Bench
2 A. Hickey A. Hickey 24' D 6.45
16 Findlay Curtis Findlay Curtis 17' F 6.57
6 J. Doig J. Doig D 0.00
15 J. McPake J. McPake 18' F 6.59
20 K. Bowie K. Bowie 24' F 6.66
23 Kristi Montgomery Kristi Montgomery M 0.00
18 L. Graham L. Graham D 0.00
12 L. Kelly L. Kelly G 0.00
14 L. Miller L. Miller M 0.00
22 N. Patterson N. Patterson D 0.00
10 R. Ure R. Ure 3' F 6.24
21 S. Bain S. Bain G 0.00
Slovenia Slovenia 5-4-1
1 J. Oblak J. Oblak G 7.23
13 E. Janža E. Janža D 6.14
17 D. Zec D. Zec D 6.44
6 J. Bijol J. Bijol D 7.31
23 D. Brekalo D. Brekalo D 7.11
2 Ž. Karničnik Ž. Karničnik D 6.59
15 D. Šturm D. Šturm 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.86
22 A. Čerin A. Čerin M 6.38
4 M. Zabukovnik M. Zabukovnik M 6.05
20 A. Matko A. Matko 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 8.21
18 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 79' F 6.27
Bench
16 I. Vekič I. Vekič G 0.00
3
J. Balkovec D 0.00
7 J. Urbančič J. Urbančič D 0.00
12 M. Vidovšek M. Vidovšek G 0.00
5 S. Kuzmić S. Kuzmić 1' D 6.30
8 S. Lovrić S. Lovrić M 0.00
9 T. Begić T. Begić F 0.00
19 T. Horvat T. Horvat M 0.00
10 Timi Max Elšnik Timi Max Elšnik M 0.00
14 T. Svetlin T. Svetlin M 0.00
21 Vanja Drkušić Vanja Drkušić D 0.00
11 Ž. Celar Ž. Celar 11' F 6.17
Best on the pitch
D. Šturm
D. Šturm
M · Slovenia
8.86
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 33 pass
A. Matko
A. Matko
M · Slovenia
8.21
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 6 pass
R. Christie
R. Christie
M · Scotland
7.56
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
J. Bijol
J. Bijol
D · Slovenia
7.31
· 83 pass
J. Oblak
J. Oblak
G · Slovenia
7.23
· 38 pass
D. Brekalo
D. Brekalo
D · Slovenia
7.11
· 66 pass
Scotland Scotland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Gunn G 90 6.49 — — 0 23 22% 0 — —
L. Binks D 90 6.35 — — 1 71 63% 2 1 —
J. Hendry D 90 6.97 — — 1 92 85% 1 — —
S. Welsh D 66 6.84 — — 0 71 61% 1 — —
A. Robertson M 90 6.38 — — 0 50 45% 0 — —
B. Gilmour M 90 6.26 — — 1 90 76% 1 — —
L. Ferguson M 90 6.87 — — 0 76 72% 2 — —
J. McGinn M 87 5.96 — — 2 25 21% 1 1 —
B. Doak M 73 6.24 — — 1 36 29% 2 — —
R. Christie M 72 7.56 1 — 2 25 20% 2 — —
O. McBurnie F 66 6.87 — 1 1 10 8% 3 — —
A. Hickey D 24 6.45 — — 0 24 22% 1 — —
Findlay Curtis F 17 6.57 — — 1 12 11% 0 — —
J. McPake F 18 6.59 — — 0 12 9% 2 — —
K. Bowie F 24 6.66 — — 2 4 4% 0 — —
R. Ure F 3 6.24 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Slovenia Slovenia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Oblak G 90 7.23 — — 0 38 30% 0 — —
E. Janža D 90 6.14 — — 0 50 42% 2 1 —
D. Zec D 90 6.44 — — 1 53 50% 1 1 —
J. Bijol D 90 7.31 — — 0 83 78% 0 — —
D. Brekalo D 90 7.11 — — 0 66 61% 3 — —
Ž. Karničnik D 90 6.59 — — 0 56 53% 4 — —
D. Šturm M 90 8.86 1 1 2 33 26% 1 — —
A. Čerin M 90 6.38 — — 2 61 53% 1 — —
M. Zabukovnik M 90 6.05 — — 1 52 46% 0 1 —
A. Matko M 89 8.21 1 1 2 6 4% 1 — —
Z. Vipotnik F 79 6.27 — — 2 18 17% 0 — —
S. Kuzmić D 1 6.30 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Ž. Celar F 11 6.17 — — 0 4 4% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Scotland vs Slovenia?
The final score was Scotland 1–2 Slovenia.
What did the model predict before Scotland vs Slovenia?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Scotland win, 36% to a draw, and 17% to an Slovenia win.