Seattle Sounders 1–1 CF Montreal — pre-match prediction — MLS — October 18, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 30 October 18, 2026 04:30 Lumen Field, Seattle

Seattle Sounders

#7 · 43 pts

1 – 1

Final score

CF Montreal

#15 · 25 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Seattle Sounders, result Draw

Sebastian Gomez 66'

13' (ast. Noah Streit) Gennadiy Synchuk

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Seattle Sounders a 80% win probability (draw 11%, CF Montreal 8%). The final result was Seattle Sounders 1–1 CF Montreal.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.56

Actual xG

1.31

Saves

63%

Possession

37%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

13'

ast. Noah Streit · Gennadiy Synchuk⚽

Hassani Dotson

14'

33'

Alexis Sanchez

↕ Alexander Roldan / Sebastian Gomez

45'

↕ Caden Clark / Kalani Kossa-Rienzi

45'

52'

Victor Loturi

64'

Dawid Bugaj / Jalen Neal ↕

↕ Ryan Sailor / Snyder Brunell

64'

↕ Albert Rusnák / Jesús Ferreira

64'

⚽Sebastian Gomez

66'

79'

Daniel Pereira / Victor Loturi ↕

79'

Wikelman·Carmona / Noah Streit ↕

87'

Olger Escobar / Fabian Herbers ↕

↕ Hassani Dotson / Paul Arriola

87'

Matthew Longstaff / Samuel Piette ↕

Pre-match prediction

80.52%

Seattle

11.1%

X ←

8.38%

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 11.1% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Seattle

3.11

1.56

-1.55

0.75

1.31

+0.56

xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.31). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	55
2	FC Dallas	31	54
3	St. Louis City	31	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	48
6	Los Angeles FC	32	47
7	Seattle Sounders	31	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	42
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	32	41
10	Real Salt Lake	31	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	37
12	San Diego	31	35
13	Minnesota United FC	31	35
14	Austin	31	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	22

Lineups

Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1

A. Thomas G 6.36

N. Tolo D 6.56

R. Sailor 64' D 6.71

Y. Gómez D 6.85

A. Roldan 45' D 6.06

C. Roldan M 7.17

H. Dotson 87' M 6.39

J. Morris M 6.57

A. Rusnák 64' M 6.23

C. Clark 45' M 6.23

D. Joveljić F 6.29

Bench

Antino Lopez D 0.00

D. Musovski F 0.00

J. Ferreira 26' F 7.18

K. Kossa-Rienzi 45' M 6.99

P. Arriola 3' F 6.50

P. Kingston M 0.00

S. Brunell 26' M 6.85

S. Frei G 0.00

S. Gomez 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.93

CF Montreal 4-2-3-1

S. Breza G 7.18

V. Radojević D 6.11

B. Craig D 6.91

E. Morales D 6.76

J. Neal 64' D 6.50

V. Loturi 79' M 6.32

S. Piette 87' M 6.33

N. Streit 1 👟 79' M 7.70

F. Herbers 87' M 6.68

H. Synchuk 1 ⚽ M 7.81

A. Sánchez F 6.03

Bench

D. Bugaj 26' D 6.61

D. Pereira 11' M 6.15

D. Ríos F 0.00

L. Petrasso D 0.00

M. Longstaff 3' M 6.05

O. Escobar 3' F 6.54

S. Keita G 0.00

W. Carmona 11' M 6.15

Best on the pitch

S. Gomez

M · Seattle

7.93

1 ⚽

3 shots · 22 pass

H. Synchuk

M · CF

7.81

1 ⚽

2 shots · 26 pass

N. Streit

M · CF

7.70

1 👟

2 shots · 22 pass

J. Ferreira

F · Seattle

7.18

3 shots · 40 pass

S. Breza

G · CF

7.18

· 29 pass

C. Roldan

M · Seattle

7.17

1 shots · 84 pass

Seattle Sounders — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Thomas	G	90	6.36	—	—	0	22	18%	0	—	—
N. Tolo	D	90	6.56	—	—	0	68	57%	3	—	—
R. Sailor	D	64	6.71	—	—	0	76	68%	2	—	—
Y. Gómez	D	90	6.85	—	—	0	108	99%	4	—	—
A. Roldan	D	45	6.06	—	—	0	32	26%	0	—	—
C. Roldan	M	90	7.17	—	—	1	84	77%	0	—	—
H. Dotson	M	87	6.39	—	—	1	71	65%	1	1	—
J. Morris	M	90	6.57	—	—	5	22	19%	1	—	—
A. Rusnák	M	64	6.23	—	—	0	36	29%	1	—	—
C. Clark	M	45	6.23	—	—	0	15	13%	0	—	—
D. Joveljić	F	90	6.29	—	—	3	17	13%	0	—	—
J. Ferreira	F	26	7.18	—	—	3	40	36%	0	—	—
K. Kossa-Rienzi	M	45	6.99	—	—	1	46	43%	1	—	—
P. Arriola	F	3	6.50	—	—	0	3	3%	0	—	—
S. Brunell	M	26	6.85	—	—	1	28	27%	0	—	—
S. Gomez	M	45	7.93	1	—	3	22	18%	0	—	—

CF Montreal — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Breza	G	90	7.18	—	—	0	29	21%	0	—	—
V. Radojević	D	90	6.11	—	—	1	34	20%	4	—	—
B. Craig	D	90	6.91	—	—	0	50	43%	0	—	—
E. Morales	D	90	6.76	—	—	0	38	30%	2	—	—
J. Neal	D	64	6.50	—	—	0	35	25%	1	—	—
V. Loturi	M	79	6.32	—	—	0	40	33%	2	1	—
S. Piette	M	87	6.33	—	—	0	38	33%	1	—	—
N. Streit	M	79	7.70	—	1	2	22	21%	2	—	—
F. Herbers	M	87	6.68	—	—	1	29	26%	2	—	—
H. Synchuk	M	90	7.81	1	—	2	26	20%	1	—	—
A. Sánchez	F	90	6.03	—	—	1	50	40%	0	1	—
D. Bugaj	D	26	6.61	—	—	0	6	5%	0	—	—
D. Pereira	M	11	6.15	—	—	0	5	5%	0	—	—
M. Longstaff	M	3	6.05	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
O. Escobar	F	3	6.54	—	—	1	1	1%	1	—	—
W. Carmona	M	11	6.15	—	—	1	3	3%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?

The final score was Seattle Sounders 1–1 CF Montreal.

What did the model predict before Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?

The model assigned 80% probability to a Seattle Sounders win, 11% to a draw, and 8% to an CF Montreal win.