Seattle Sounders 2–2 Chicago Fire — pre-match prediction — MLS — August 29, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 29, 2026 22:30

Seattle Sounders

#7 · 43 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Chicago Fire

#4 · 51 pts

D. Joveljic (ast. S. Gomez) 12'

D. Joveljic (ast. A. Rusnak) 48'

38' (ast. R. Lewandowski) M. Haile-Selassie

82' (ast. P. Dithejane) R. Lewandowski

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 46% win probability (draw 26%, Seattle Sounders 26%). The final result was Seattle Sounders 2–2 Chicago Fire.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.80

Actual xG

1.60

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽D. Joveljic · ast. S. Gomez

12'

38'

ast. R. Lewandowski · M. Haile-Selassie⚽

⚽D. Joveljic · ast. A. Rusnak

48'

S. Brunell

51'

↕ S. Brunell / C. Roldan

57'

63'

P. Dithejane / R. Lod ↕

↕ S. Gomez / J. Morris

69'

↕ A. Roldan / H. Dotson

69'

73'

J. Bamba / A. Saletros ↕

73'

S. Oregel / J. Dean ↕

82'

ast. P. Dithejane · R. Lewandowski⚽

88'

L. Barroso / P. Zinckernagel ↕

Pre-match prediction

26.85%

Seattle

26.18%

X ←

46.97%

Chicago

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.18% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Seattle

0.86

0.80

-0.06

Chicago

1.39

1.60

+0.21

Chicago Fire dominated by xG (1.60 vs 0.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	55
2	FC Dallas	31	54
3	St. Louis City	31	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	48
6	Los Angeles FC	32	47
7	Seattle Sounders	31	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	42
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	32	41
10	Real Salt Lake	31	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	37
12	San Diego	31	35
13	Minnesota United FC	31	35
14	Austin	31	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	22

Lineups

Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1

A. Thomas G 8.30

N. Tolo D 6.30

S. Hawkins D 7.20

Kim Kee-Hee D 6.90

K. Kossa-Rienzi D 6.30

A. Roldan 68' M 6.30

S. Brunell 57' M 6.60

P. Rothrock M 6.30

A. Rusnák 1 👟 M 7.30

S. Gomez 1 👟 69' M 7.90

D. Joveljić 2 ⚽ F 8.90

Bench

Antino Lopez D

C. Roldan 34' M 7.00

D. Musovski F

H. Dotson 23' M 6.60

J. Morris 22' F 6.60

R. Sailor D

S. Frei G

Chicago Fire 4-3-3

C. Brady G 5.30

A. Gutman D 6.70

J. Elliott D 7.20

S. Rogers D 7.00

J. Dean 73' D 6.60

R. Lod 63' M 6.20

T. D'Avilla M 7.20

A. Salétros 73' M 7.20

M. Haile-Selassie 1 ⚽ F 7.90

R. Lewandowski 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.20

P. Zinckernagel 88' F 7.20

Bench

J. Bamba 18' F 6.30

J. Cohen G

J. Waterman D

Leonardo Barroso 3' D

M. Pineda D

P. Dithejane 1 👟 28' F 7.30

Samuel Williams M

S. Oregel 18' M 6.70

V. Radojević D

Best on the pitch

D. Joveljić

F · Seattle

8.90

2 ⚽

2 shots · 28 pass

A. Thomas

G · Seattle

8.30

· 26 pass

M. Haile-Selassie

F · Chicago

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

S. Gomez

M · Seattle

7.90

1 👟

· 26 pass

P. Dithejane

F · Chicago

7.30

1 👟

· 6 pass

A. Rusnák

M · Seattle

7.30

1 👟

· 47 pass

Seattle Sounders — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Thomas	G	91	8.30	—	—	—	26	15%	—	—	—
N. Tolo	D	91	6.30	—	—	1	46	39%	1	—	—
S. Hawkins	D	91	7.20	—	—	1	45	38%	3	—	—
Kim Kee-Hee	D	91	6.90	—	—	—	44	40%	1	—	—
K. Kossa-Rienzi	D	91	6.30	—	—	1	54	42%	1	—	—
A. Roldan	M	68	6.30	—	—	3	45	37%	—	—	—
S. Brunell	M	57	6.60	—	—	—	30	27%	1	1	—
P. Rothrock	M	91	6.30	—	—	—	23	18%	2	—	—
A. Rusnák	M	91	7.30	—	1	—	47	41%	—	—	—
S. Gomez	M	69	7.90	—	1	—	26	23%	5	—	—
D. Joveljić	F	91	8.90	2	—	2	28	21%	—	—	—
C. Roldan	M	34	7.00	—	—	—	19	17%	1	—	—
H. Dotson	M	23	6.60	—	—	—	11	9%	1	—	—
J. Morris	F	22	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	1	—	—

Chicago Fire — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Brady	G	91	5.30	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
A. Gutman	D	91	6.70	—	—	—	38	28%	1	—	—
J. Elliott	D	91	7.20	—	—	1	89	77%	1	—	—
S. Rogers	D	91	7.00	—	—	—	98	91%	2	—	—
J. Dean	D	73	6.60	—	—	—	39	32%	3	—	—
R. Lod	M	63	6.20	—	—	—	18	14%	—	—	—
T. D'Avilla	M	91	7.20	—	—	2	70	66%	—	—	—
A. Salétros	M	73	7.20	—	—	1	52	46%	2	—	—
M. Haile-Selassie	F	91	7.90	1	—	2	34	31%	1	—	—
R. Lewandowski	F	91	7.20	1	1	2	14	10%	—	—	—
P. Zinckernagel	F	88	7.20	—	—	3	39	34%	1	—	—
J. Bamba	F	18	6.30	—	—	1	8	7%	—	—	—
Leonardo Barroso	D	3	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
P. Dithejane	F	28	7.30	—	1	—	6	5%	—	—	—
S. Oregel	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	17	16%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire?

The final score was Seattle Sounders 2–2 Chicago Fire.

What did the model predict before Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire?

The model assigned 26% probability to a Seattle Sounders win, 26% to a draw, and 46% to an Chicago Fire win.