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Seattle Sounders - Guadalajara Chivas

Leagues Cup August 13, 2026 04:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.49%
Win
Seattle Sounders
30.03%
Draw
31.48%
Win
Guadalajara Chivas
1.65
Expected xG
1.34

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.97%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 30%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 62%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Seattle Sounders a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Guadalajara Chivas. Expected goals are 1.7 for Seattle Sounders and 1.3 for Guadalajara Chivas (total 3.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.97% probability.

Season Stats

Seattle Sounders
6W 3D 6L
Guadalajara Chivas
7W 4D 4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.9
1.5
Conceded
1.2
5.1
Shots OT
6.0
5.2
Corners
7.3
56%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
67%
60%
BTTS
47%
13%
Clean Sht
47%
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
47%
O 3.5
79%
BTTS
Seattle Sounders
6W 1D 2L · at home
Guadalajara Chivas
4W 2D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.5
1.6
Conceded
1.9
67%
Win %
40%
78%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
90%
67%
O 2.5
80%
44%
O 3.5
50%
78%
BTTS
80%
11%
Clean Sht
10%
11%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Seattle Sounders Guadalajara Chivas →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.3% 11.1% 7.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.2% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.8% 5.1% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 12%
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
Attack
38
Defence
51
Form
38
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
Attack
33
Defence
66
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model gives Seattle Sounders a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an Guadalajara Chivas win.
How many goals are expected in Seattle Sounders vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 1.7, Guadalajara Chivas 1.3 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Seattle Sounders vs Guadalajara Chivas?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.97%.