Seattle Sounders - Guadalajara Chivas
Leagues Cup
August 13, 2026 04:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.49%
Win
Seattle Sounders
30.03%
Draw
31.48%
Win
Guadalajara Chivas
1.65
1.34
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.97%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
30%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
62%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Seattle Sounders a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Guadalajara Chivas. Expected goals are 1.7 for Seattle Sounders and 1.3 for Guadalajara Chivas (total 3.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.97% probability.
Season Stats
6W
3D
6L
7W
4D
4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.9
1.5
Conceded
1.2
5.1
Shots OT
6.0
5.2
Corners
7.3
56%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
67%
60%
BTTS
47%
13%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
47%
O 3.5
79%
BTTS
6W
1D
2L
· at home
4W
2D
4L
· away
2.0
gls/g
1.5
1.6
Conceded
1.9
67%
Win %
40%
78%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
90%
67%
O 2.5
80%
44%
O 3.5
50%
78%
BTTS
80%
11%
Clean Sht
10%
11%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Seattle Sounders
Guadalajara Chivas →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Seattle Sounders
Attack
38
Defence
51
Form
38
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack
33
Defence
66
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model gives Seattle Sounders a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an Guadalajara Chivas win.
How many goals are expected in Seattle Sounders vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 1.7, Guadalajara Chivas 1.3 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Seattle Sounders vs Guadalajara Chivas?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.97%.