MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 10, 2026 04:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Seattle Sounders, result Draw
D. Musovski
(ast. C. Roldan)
80'
18'
(ast. O. Valakari)
M. Ingvartsen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Seattle Sounders a 58% win probability (draw 23%, San Diego 18%). The final result was Seattle Sounders 1–1 San Diego.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
2.46
Actual xG
1.68
4
Saves
3
47%
Possession
53%
8
Corners
2
12
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
ast. O. Valakari ·
M. Ingvartsen⚽
J. Ferreira
51'
S. Brunell
56'
C. Roldan
57'
S. Brunell
/ D. Musovski
63'
K. Kossa-Rienzi
/ P. Kingston
63'
Nouhou
/ A. Lopez
65'
74'
A. Mighten
/
A. Pellegrino
75'
A. Mighten
78'
O. Verhoeven
⚽D. Musovski
· ast. C. Roldan
80'
86'
A. Alvarado Jr
/
D. Vazquez
87'
K. Sargeant
/
L. Bombino
Pre-match prediction
58.34%
Seattle
23.24%
X ←
18.42%
San
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.66
2.46
-0.2
0.73
1.68
+0.95
Seattle Sounders dominated by xG (2.46 vs 1.68).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
Andrew Thomas
G
Andrew Thomas
G
5
Nouhou Tolo
65'
D
Nouhou Tolo
65'
D
25
Jackson Ragen
D
Jackson Ragen
D
16
Alex Roldán
D
Alex Roldán
D
85
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
63'
D
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
63'
D
7
C. Roldan
1 👟
M
C. Roldan
1 👟
M
37
Snyder Brunell
63'
M
Snyder Brunell
63'
M
14
Paul Rothrock
M
Paul Rothrock
M
11
Albert Rusnák
M
Albert Rusnák
M
9
Jesús Ferreira
M
Jesús Ferreira
M
13
Jordan Morris
F
Jordan Morris
F
Bench
35
Antino Lopez
25'
D
Antino Lopez
25'
D
19
Daniel Musovski
1 ⚽
27'
F
Daniel Musovski
1 ⚽
27'
F
31
Hassani Dotson
M
Hassani Dotson
M
20
Kim Kee-hee
D
Kim Kee-hee
D
95
Osaze De Rosario
F
Osaze De Rosario
F
17
Paul Arriola
F
Paul Arriola
F
45
Peter Kingston
27'
M
Peter Kingston
27'
M
90
Sebastian Gomez
M
Sebastian Gomez
M
24
Stefan Frei
G
Stefan Frei
G
18
D. Ferree
G
27
L. Bombino
87'
D
L. Bombino
87'
D
26
M. Duah
D
M. Duah
D
97
C. McVey
D
C. McVey
D
33
Oscar Verhoeven
D
Oscar Verhoeven
D
19
D. Vazquez
86'
M
D. Vazquez
86'
M
20
Aníbal Godoy
M
Aníbal Godoy
M
8
Onni Valakari
1 👟
M
Onni Valakari
1 👟
M
90
Amahl Pellegrino
74'
F
Amahl Pellegrino
74'
F
7
M. Ingvartsen
1 ⚽
F
M. Ingvartsen
1 ⚽
F
10
A. Dreyer
F
A. Dreyer
F
Bench
70
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
10'
F
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
10'
F
77
Alex Mighten
16'
F
Alex Mighten
16'
F
29
Anisse Saidi
F
Anisse Saidi
F
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
Bryan Zamblé
F
25
Ian Pilcher
D
Ian Pilcher
D
98
Jacob Jackson
G
Jacob Jackson
G
5
Kieran Sargeant
9'
D
Kieran Sargeant
9'
D
15
Pedro Soma
M
Pedro Soma
M
22
Wilson Eisner
D
Wilson Eisner
D
Best on the pitch
M. Ingvartsen
F · San
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 26 pass
D. Ferree
G · San
7.70
· 46 pass
Jackson Ragen
D · Seattle
7.60
1 shots
· 95 pass
Albert Rusnák
M · Seattle
7.50
1 shots
· 41 pass
Onni Valakari
M · San
7.50
1 👟
· 59 pass
C. Roldan
M · Seattle
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 52 pass
Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Thomas | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Nouhou Tolo | D | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Jackson Ragen | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 95 | 88% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Roldán | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 90 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Roldan | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 52 | 46% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jordan Morris | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Antino Lopez | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 27 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 5 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Peter Kingston | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ferree | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| L. Bombino | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Duah | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 94 | 91% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 81 | 74% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Vazquez | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Aníbal Godoy | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| Onni Valakari | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 59 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Amahl Pellegrino | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 5 | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Alvarado Jr | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alex Mighten | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs San Diego?
The final score was Seattle Sounders 1–1 San Diego.
What did the model predict before Seattle Sounders vs San Diego?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Seattle Sounders win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an San Diego win.